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412 Dellwood Ave
C+ Composite 63.73
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.0/30.0
  • DSCR +9.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$174,900

412 Dellwood Ave · Fairmont, IL 60441
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 964 sqft · Other public records · 17 Days on market
Built 1960 8,712 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Fantastic Lockport opportunity. Great Ranch home in Lockport. 2 bedrooms 1 bathroom. Living room and family room! Breakfast bar in kitchen. Detached garage. Located near 355 Expressway for convenient transportation.

Key facts

  • Remodeled bathroom
  • Functional layout
  • Conveniently located

Tags

REMODELED BATHROOMFUNCTIONAL LAYOUTDETACHED GARAGECONVENIENTLY LOCATED

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Home design: House
  • Exterior features: Lot of approximately 0.20 acres

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $487 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
  • Recommended offer: $172k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#455 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, health & safety F.
  • Lockport Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 35% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #153 of 620 in IL (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Fairmont School (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #1,517 of 2,056 statewide, top 78%, 312 students, 0% FRL); Lockport Township High Sch East (math 35% / reading 38%, grade F, #117 of 693 statewide, top 17%, 3,872 students, 0% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 23% at this address vs 36% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Lockport Twp Hsd 205 average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 133 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,028 units permitted in Will County in 2024 (530 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Will County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.9% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $56k; list at $175k implies a 212% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $172,276 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.22%
Cap rate
9.64%
Cash-on-cash
11.94%
DSCR
1.53
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.91% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.5%
Equity multiple
1.10×
Total profit
$4,707
Equity at exit
$26,078
10-year hold
IRR
12.9%
Equity multiple
2.07×
Total profit
$52,448
Equity at exit
$15,122

Cash invested: $48,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60441

Home prices YoY
-33.0%
Rents YoY
3.9%
Active inventory
133
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,139 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$917
Tax from tax record
$212 /mo · $2,548/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$449
Net cashflow
$487

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,522
Max offer price $174,900
Occupancy floor 72%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $586 -5% $537 +0% $487 +5% $438 +10% $388
Rent -10% $318 -5% $403 +0% $487 +5% $572 +10% $656
Rate -1.0pp $575 -0.5pp $532 base $487 +0.5pp $442 +1.0pp $396

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,725
Closing costs
$5,247
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
333 Hughes Ave Unit 1S Lockport, IL 2.0 1.0 800 $1,345 $1.68 27d 1 0.61mi
333 Hughes Ave Lockport, IL 2.0 1.0 800 $1,345 $1.68 23d 1 0.61mi
1200 Ada St Joliet, IL 2.0 1.0 1023 $1,900 $1.86 26d 1 1.21mi
560 Diane Ct Lockport, IL 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 721 $1,800 $2.50 1d 4 1.28mi
309 May St Lockport, IL 3.0 1.0 1000 $2,600 $2.60 5d 1 1.35mi
309 May St Unit 2 Lockport, IL 3.0 1.0 1000 $2,400 $2.40 12d 1 1.35mi
309 May St Unit 1 Lockport, IL 3.0 1.0 1000 $2,600 $2.60 12d 1 1.35mi
557 E Division St Unit 2 Lockport, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,700 $1.70 24d 1 1.47mi
575 E Division St Lockport, IL 3.0 1.0 800 $1,950 $2.44 27d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $174,900 Active 17 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $174,900 Active 14 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $174,900 Active 13 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $174,900 Active 12 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $174,900 Active 11 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $174,900 Active 9 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $174,900 Active 5 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $174,900 Active 4 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $174,900 Active 3 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    remarks 699-char remark
  11. 2026-06-04
    listed $174,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,548 · $212/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,259 · $272/mo
Expected delta
+$711/yr (+$59/mo · 27.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,668
− Mortgage interest
−$9,797
− Property taxes
−$2,548
− Insurance
−$874
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,053
− Management
−$2,053
− Depreciation
−$5,088
Taxable income
$3,254
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$781
After-tax cash flow
$5,068/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lockport Twp Hsd 205
NCES district ID
1723350
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$69,994
Composite
33.5/100
National rank
#5440
State rank
#153 of 620 in IL

Livability — Fairmont

Score
68/100
State rank
#455
US rank
#9333

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fairmont, IL
County
Will County · 412,448 people
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
36,844
Household income
$103,374
Rent vs Own
15.9% rent · 84.1% own
Severe rent burden
519.0

Population outlook (Will County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
705,368 people
By 2030
708,154 · +0.4%
By 2040
702,692 · -0.4%
By 2050
680,249 · -3.6%
By 2075
611,990 · -13.2%
By 2100
516,215 · -26.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 9% Black 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 18% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 7% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Will

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.1% · R 48.5% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-11.6pp toward R · 2008: 13.2pp · 2024: 1.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+1.6 2020: D+8.3 2016: D+5.7 2012: D+3.7 2008: D+13.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -99.43%
Current HPI
201.5857
Rent YoY
▲ 3.91%
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+234.4% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $174,900 ForSaleByOwner.com
  • 2019-03-20 Sold (MLS) $56,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-02-27 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-01-30 Listed $52,300 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-07-24 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-07-22 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-02-09 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-11-11 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+2.3%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,548 · +10.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…