8564 E Mcdonald Dr · Scottsdale, AZ 85250

$379,000

4 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,584 sqft · Townhouse public records · 38 Days on market

Built 1964 $239/sqft · 11% below area Est $425k · 11% under $399/mo HOA · 11% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +18.1/30.0
• ARV discount +12.4/15.0
• DSCR +5.7/10.0
• 1% rule +4.8/10.0
• Schools +4.8/10.0
• Livability +4.0/5.0
• Rent growth +3.8/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

This Scottsdale two-story offers granite kitchen countertops, stainless steel appliances, and two carports. Upgraded features include fresh interior paint . and new carpet in select rooms. A community pool, clubhouse, and park are part of the ark Scottsdale Townhouse HOA. Home comes with a 30-day buyback guarantee. Terms and conditions apply.

Key facts

• Secure storage shed
• Remodeled bathroom
• Private patio

Tags

• REMODELED BATHROOM
• PRIVATE PATIO
• SECURE STORAGE SHED
• PLAYGROUND

Property features AI

Finance

• Financial info: Current financing: FHA
• HOA & community: Monthly HOA fee of $399; HOA covers roof repair and replacement, insurance, exterior and grounds maintenance, front yard maintenance, trash, water, and other items; Community amenities include a pool, playground, and biking/walking path

Exterior

• Parking: Covered parking for 2; Assigned parking with separate storage area; 2-car carport
• Utilities: City water; Public sewer
• Home design: Attached townhouse; Fee simple ownership
• Construction: Stucco and painted block construction; Composition roof
• Exterior features: Block fencing; Desert front and grass front landscaping

Interior

• Kitchen: Built-in microwave; Dishwasher; Disposal; Kitchen island; Pantry
• Bedrooms: Up to 4 bedrooms
• Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Tile
• Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms (1 full, 1 half)
• Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Granite counters; Eat-in kitchen; Kitchen island; Pantry; Storage
• Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookup only

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath townhouse listed at $379k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $331 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $373k (1.7% below list).
• Recommended offer: $368k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 2.5% in Scottsdale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 80/100 on livability (#4 in AZ, #1,756 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: health & safety C-, cost of living F.
• Scottsdale Unified District (4240) (urban): math 53% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #30 of 249 in AZ (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Navajo Elementary School (math 42% / reading 42%, grade F, #371 of 1,109 statewide, top 34%, 472 students, 46% FRL); Mohave Middle School (math 45% / reading 48%, grade D+, #43 of 218 statewide, top 20%, 799 students, 31% FRL); Saguaro High School (math 37% / reading 41%, grade F, #78 of 381 statewide, top 20%, 1,466 students, 25% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 213 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $3,726/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($96k/yr) (locally 288% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($368k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 16 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $249k; list at $379k implies a 52% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $367,630 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.98% ✗
• Cap rate: 7.34%
• Cash-on-cash: 3.74%
• DSCR: 1.17
• GRM: 8.5

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $425,001
• List price: $379,000
• Delta: -10.82%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
8560 E Mcdonald Dr	0.01mi	4/1.5	1,584 (0%)	4mo	$324,000	$205	90
6027 N Granite Reef Rd	0.17mi	4/2.5	1,584 (0%)	4mo	$459,000	$290	86
8520 E Montebello Ave	0.23mi	4/2.5	1,584 (0%)	4mo	$455,500	$288	83
8447 E Montebello Ave	0.30mi	4/2.5	1,584 (0%)	6mo	$535,000	$338	79
8329 E Keim Dr	0.31mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,584 (0%)	10mo	$494,500	$312	68
6131 N Granite Reef Rd	0.12mi	3/2.5 (-1)	1,408 (-11%)	4mo	$408,000	$290	66
5941 N 83rd St	0.33mi	3/2.5 (-1)	1,692 (+7%)	1mo	$415,000	$245	65
8554 E Mcdonald Dr	0.02mi	3/1.5 (-1)	1,408 (-11%)	11mo	$382,500	$272	60
6173 N Granite Reef Rd	0.14mi	3/2.5 (-1)	1,408 (-11%)	11mo	$408,000	$290	59
5835 N 83rd St	0.42mi	4/2.5	1,757 (+11%)	3mo	$485,000	$276	58
6005 N Granite Reef Rd	0.19mi	3/2.5 (-1)	1,408 (-11%)	11mo	$430,000	$305	56
8341 E Keim Dr	0.29mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,352 (-15%)	11mo	$500,000	$370	44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.17% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -8.0%
• Equity multiple: 0.70×
• Total profit: $-31,982
• Equity at exit: $56,510

10-year hold

• IRR: 4.1%
• Equity multiple: 1.33×
• Total profit: $35,149
• Equity at exit: $32,769

Cash invested: $106,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Arizona: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 85250

• Rents YoY: 5.2%
• Active inventory: 213
• Price-to-rent: 8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $3,726 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,988
• Tax from tax record: −$68 /mo · $822/yr
• Insurance: −$158
• HOA: −$399
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$783
• Net cashflow: $331

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,308

Max offer price $379,000

Occupancy floor 86%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $545	-5% $438	+0% $331	+5% $224	+10% $-336
Rent	-10% $36	-5% $184	+0% $331	+5% $478	+10% $625
Rate	-1.0pp $522	-0.5pp $427	base $331	+0.5pp $233	+1.0pp $133

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $94,750
• Closing costs: $11,370
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 40 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
6063 N Granite Reef Rd Scottsdale, AZ	3.0	2.5	1584	$2,400	$1.52	9d	1	0.09mi
5853 N Granite Reef Rd Unit 5853 Scottsdale, AZ	3.0	2.5	1584	$2,500	$1.58	45d	1	0.15mi
8531 E Keim Dr Unit 1558682P Scottsdale, AZ	4.0	3.0	2142	$4,870	$2.27	0d	1	0.18mi
8702 E Starlight Way Scottsdale, AZ	3.0	2.0	1583	$2,950	$1.86	12d	1	0.22mi
8340 E McDonald Dr #1002 Scottsdale, AZ	3.0	2.5	1809	$3,300	$1.82	23d	1	0.23mi
8340 E McDonald Dr Scottsdale, AZ	3.0	2.5	1854	$3,398	$1.83	0d	2	0.23mi
8420 E Keim Dr Scottsdale, AZ	4.0	2.0	2154	$4,400	$2.04	25d	1	0.24mi
8656 E Solano Dr Scottsdale, AZ	3.0	2.0	1540	$3,750	$2.44	19d	1	0.24mi
8372 E Solano Dr Scottsdale, AZ	3.0	2.5	1714	$2,750	$1.60	45d	1	0.26mi
8738 E Starlight Way Scottsdale, AZ	3.0	1.5	1583	$3,500	$2.21	45d	1	0.28mi
5818 N Granite Reef Rd Scottsdale, AZ	4.0	3.0	1679	$5,900	$3.51	45d	1	0.30mi
8743 E Berridge Ln Scottsdale, AZ	3.0	2.0	1559	$2,650	$1.70	19d	1	0.30mi
8737 E Rose Ln Scottsdale, AZ	4.0	2.0	1654	$5,000	$3.02	45d	1	0.36mi
8225 E Berridge Ln Scottsdale, AZ	4.0	2.0	1746	$2,895	$1.66	21d	1	0.38mi
8225 E Berridge Ln Scottsdale, AZ	4.0	2.0	1746	$2,895	$1.66	45d	1	0.38mi
6332 N Granite Reef Rd Scottsdale, AZ	3.0	2.0	1380	$2,800	$2.03	0d	1	0.45mi
8625 E Lincoln Dr Scottsdale, AZ	4.0	2.0	1837	$6,500	$3.54	45d	1	0.48mi
8308 E Buena Terra Way Scottsdale, AZ	3.0	2.0	1852	$3,495	$1.89	45d	1	0.49mi
5909 N 81st St Scottsdale, AZ	3.0	2.5	1344	$5,000	$3.72	45d	1	0.50mi
8501 E Jackrabbit Rd Scottsdale, AZ	4.0	3.0	2050	$6,000	$2.93	45d	1	0.52mi
6508 N 85th Pl Scottsdale, AZ	4.0	3.0	1816	$5,400	$2.97	4d	1	0.53mi
8307 E Arlington Rd Scottsdale, AZ	4.0	2.0	1956	$4,500	$2.30	25d	1	0.55mi
5420 N Granite Reef Rd Scottsdale, AZ	3.0	2.0	1575	$3,600	$2.29	9d	1	0.61mi
5420 N Granite Reef Rd Scottsdale, AZ	3.0	2.0	1575	$4,199	$2.67	45d	1	0.61mi
8737 E Sage Dr Scottsdale, AZ	4.0	2.0	1795	$3,300	$1.84	21d	1	0.63mi
8225 E Jackrabbit Rd Scottsdale, AZ	3.0	2.0	1655	$7,995	$4.83	4d	1	0.64mi
8426 E Plaza Ave Scottsdale, AZ	3.0	2.5	1372	$7,000	$5.10	45d	1	0.65mi
8737 E Plaza Ave Scottsdale, AZ	3.0	2.0	1620	$3,650	$2.25	23d	1	0.72mi
8737 E Plaza Ave Scottsdale, AZ	3.0	2.0	1620	$3,650	$2.25	25d	1	0.72mi
8611 E Vista Dr Scottsdale, AZ	3.0	2.0	1756	$3,995	$2.28	25d	1	0.78mi
6630 N 81st Pl Scottsdale, AZ	3.0	2.5	1704	$4,900	$2.88	45d	1	0.81mi
7906 E Keim Dr Scottsdale, AZ	3.0	1.0	1053	$3,700	$3.51	45d	1	0.81mi
7931 E San Miguel Ave #8 Scottsdale, AZ	3.0	2.5	1673	$2,700	$1.61	16d	1	0.82mi
7908 E Solano Dr Scottsdale, AZ	3.0	2.0	1850	$7,500	$4.05	45d	1	0.86mi
7845 E Valley Vista Dr Scottsdale, AZ	3.0	2.0	1053	$2,450	$2.33	45d	1	0.88mi
8413 E Orange Blossom Ln Scottsdale, AZ	3.0	2.0	1260	$3,500	$2.78	45d	1	0.88mi
7818 E Rovey Ave Scottsdale, AZ	3.0	2.0	1233	$3,250	$2.64	45d	1	0.89mi
6249 N 78th St #13 Scottsdale, AZ	3.0	3.0	1925	$7,500	$3.90	16d	1	0.89mi
7826 E San Miguel Ave Scottsdale, AZ	3.0	2.0	1827	$3,195	$1.75	0d	1	0.89mi
8141 E Vista Dr Scottsdale, AZ	3.0	2.5	1728	$2,850	$1.65	25d	1	0.92mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $399 · $4,788/yr
• Likely covers: pool

Listing history 50 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $379,000 Active 38 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $379,000 Active 35 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $379,000 Active 34 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $379,000 Active 33 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $379,000 Active 32 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $379,000 Active 30 DOM
7. 2026-06-13
   days on market $379,000 Active 29 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $379,000 Active 26 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $379,000 Active 25 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $379,000 Active 24 DOM
11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $379,000 Active 21 DOM
12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $379,000 Active 20 DOM
13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $379,000 Active 19 DOM
14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $379,000 Active 18 DOM
15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $379,000 Active 17 DOM
16. 2026-05-14
    listed $379,000 Active 788-char remark
17. 2026-03-24
    historical
18. 2026-02-27
    price $385,000
19. 2026-02-13
    price $399,000
20. 2026-01-28
    price $408,000
21. 2026-01-02
    price $418,000
22. 2025-12-03
    price $420,000
23. 2025-11-14
    price $434,000
24. 2025-11-04
    price $444,000
25. 2025-10-16
    listed $459,000 Active
26. 2019-05-24
    soldstatus $249,000 Closed

    Show marketing remark (344 chars)

    This Scottsdale two-story offers granite kitchen countertops, stainless steel appliances, and two carports. Upgraded features include fresh interior paint . and new carpet in select rooms. A community pool, clubhouse, and park are part of the ark Scottsdale Townhouse HOA. Home comes with a 30-day buyback guarantee. Terms and conditions apply.

27. 2019-05-24
    soldstatus $249,000

    Show marketing remark (344 chars)

    This Scottsdale two-story offers granite kitchen countertops, stainless steel appliances, and two carports. Upgraded features include fresh interior paint . and new carpet in select rooms. A community pool, clubhouse, and park are part of the ark Scottsdale Townhouse HOA. Home comes with a 30-day buyback guarantee. Terms and conditions apply.

28. 2019-04-29
    status Pending

    Show marketing remark (344 chars)

    This Scottsdale two-story offers granite kitchen countertops, stainless steel appliances, and two carports. Upgraded features include fresh interior paint . and new carpet in select rooms. A community pool, clubhouse, and park are part of the ark Scottsdale Townhouse HOA. Home comes with a 30-day buyback guarantee. Terms and conditions apply.

29. 2019-04-25
    price $249,000

    Show marketing remark (344 chars)

    This Scottsdale two-story offers granite kitchen countertops, stainless steel appliances, and two carports. Upgraded features include fresh interior paint . and new carpet in select rooms. A community pool, clubhouse, and park are part of the ark Scottsdale Townhouse HOA. Home comes with a 30-day buyback guarantee. Terms and conditions apply.

30. 2019-04-11
    price $250,000

    Show marketing remark (344 chars)

    This Scottsdale two-story offers granite kitchen countertops, stainless steel appliances, and two carports. Upgraded features include fresh interior paint . and new carpet in select rooms. A community pool, clubhouse, and park are part of the ark Scottsdale Townhouse HOA. Home comes with a 30-day buyback guarantee. Terms and conditions apply.

31. 2019-03-21
    price $253,000

    Show marketing remark (344 chars)

    This Scottsdale two-story offers granite kitchen countertops, stainless steel appliances, and two carports. Upgraded features include fresh interior paint . and new carpet in select rooms. A community pool, clubhouse, and park are part of the ark Scottsdale Townhouse HOA. Home comes with a 30-day buyback guarantee. Terms and conditions apply.

32. 2019-03-07
    price $255,000

    Show marketing remark (344 chars)

    This Scottsdale two-story offers granite kitchen countertops, stainless steel appliances, and two carports. Upgraded features include fresh interior paint . and new carpet in select rooms. A community pool, clubhouse, and park are part of the ark Scottsdale Townhouse HOA. Home comes with a 30-day buyback guarantee. Terms and conditions apply.

33. 2019-02-21
    price $257,000

    Show marketing remark (344 chars)

    This Scottsdale two-story offers granite kitchen countertops, stainless steel appliances, and two carports. Upgraded features include fresh interior paint . and new carpet in select rooms. A community pool, clubhouse, and park are part of the ark Scottsdale Townhouse HOA. Home comes with a 30-day buyback guarantee. Terms and conditions apply.

34. 2019-02-07
    price $259,000

    Show marketing remark (344 chars)

    This Scottsdale two-story offers granite kitchen countertops, stainless steel appliances, and two carports. Upgraded features include fresh interior paint . and new carpet in select rooms. A community pool, clubhouse, and park are part of the ark Scottsdale Townhouse HOA. Home comes with a 30-day buyback guarantee. Terms and conditions apply.

35. 2019-01-23
    listed $262,000 Active

    Show marketing remark (344 chars)

    This Scottsdale two-story offers granite kitchen countertops, stainless steel appliances, and two carports. Upgraded features include fresh interior paint . and new carpet in select rooms. A community pool, clubhouse, and park are part of the ark Scottsdale Townhouse HOA. Home comes with a 30-day buyback guarantee. Terms and conditions apply.

36. 2019-01-04
    soldstatus $243,000 Closed
37. 2018-12-19
    historical Under Contract Accepting Backups
38. 2018-12-06
    status Active
39. 2018-10-22
    historical Under Contract Accepting Backups
40. 2018-09-14
    listed $254,900 Active
41. 2016-01-01
    historical
42. 2015-11-27
    price $215,000
43. 2015-10-20
    price $220,000
44. 2015-09-02
    price $229,999
45. 2015-08-01
    listed $235,000 Active
46. 2014-09-05
    soldstatus $174,250 Closed
47. 2014-09-05
    soldstatus $175,000
48. 2014-07-21
    historical Under Contract Accepting Backups
49. 2014-07-11
    listed $184,900 Active
50. 2014-06-10
    historical

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $822 · $68/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,501 · $208/mo
• Expected delta: +$1,679/yr (+$140/mo · 204.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $44,715
• − Mortgage interest: −$21,230
• − Property taxes: −$822
• − Insurance: −$1,895
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$3,577
• − Management: −$3,577
• − HOA: −$4,788
• − Depreciation: −$11,025
• Taxable loss: −$2,200
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$528
• After-tax cash flow: $4,498/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Scottsdale Unified District (4240)
• NCES district ID: 0407570
• Math proficiency: 53% ▼ -10.00%
• Reading proficiency: 55% ▼ -8.00%
• Median HH income: $70,139
• Composite: 48.02/100
• National rank: #2196
• State rank: #30 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Scottsdale

• Score: 80/100
• State rank: #4
• US rank: #1756

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime B+ Employment A+ Housing A- Health & safety C- User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Scottsdale, AZ
• County: Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
• City population: 290,846
• Metro: Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
• Population (ZIP): 15,394
• Household income: $95,761
• Rent vs Own: 21.9% rent · 78.1% own
• Severe rent burden: 288.0

Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 4,979,203 people
• By 2030: 5,378,229 · +8.0%
• By 2040: 6,156,598 · +23.6%
• By 2050: 6,872,376 · +38.0%
• By 2075: 8,401,270 · +68.7%
• By 2100: 9,247,439 · +85.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (78%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 78% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 8% Asian 5% Native American 2% Black 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 6%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 4% Portuguese 2% Lithuanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 10% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 91% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: +7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -568.01%
• Current HPI: 385.5354
• Rent YoY: ▲ 5.17%
• Metro: Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 4.54%
• F500 in state: 20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Technology	2	$13B
▸Mining / Metals	1	$23B
▸Environmental Services	1	$16B
▸Metals / Steel	1	$14B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$9B
▸Homebuilding	1	$8B

Price history

+1526.6% since first listed

62 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-14 Listed $379,000 ARMLS
• 2026-03-24 Listing Removed — ARMLS
• 2026-02-27 Price Changed $385,000 ARMLS
• 2026-02-13 Price Changed $399,000 ARMLS
• 2026-01-28 Price Changed $408,000 ARMLS
• 2026-01-02 Price Changed $418,000 ARMLS
• 2025-12-03 Price Changed $420,000 ARMLS
• 2025-11-14 Price Changed $434,000 ARMLS
• 2025-11-04 Price Changed $444,000 ARMLS
• 2025-10-16 Listed $459,000 ARMLS
• 2019-05-24 Sold (Public Records) $249,000 Public Records
• 2019-05-24 Sold (MLS) $249,000 ARMLS
• 2019-04-29 Pending — ARMLS
• 2019-04-25 Price Changed $249,000 ARMLS
• 2019-04-11 Price Changed $250,000 ARMLS
• 2019-03-21 Price Changed $253,000 ARMLS
• 2019-03-07 Price Changed $255,000 ARMLS
• 2019-02-21 Price Changed $257,000 ARMLS
• 2019-02-07 Price Changed $259,000 ARMLS
• 2019-01-23 Listed $262,000 ARMLS
• 2019-01-04 Sold (MLS) $243,000 ARMLS
• 2018-12-19 Contingent — ARMLS
• 2018-12-06 Relisted — ARMLS
• 2018-10-22 Contingent — ARMLS
• 2018-09-14 Listed $254,900 ARMLS
• 2016-01-01 Listing Removed — ARMLS
• 2015-11-27 Price Changed $215,000 ARMLS
• 2015-10-20 Price Changed $220,000 ARMLS
• 2015-09-02 Price Changed $229,999 ARMLS
• 2015-08-01 Listed $235,000 ARMLS
• 2014-09-05 Sold (Public Records) $175,000 Public Records
• 2014-09-05 Sold (MLS) $174,250 ARMLS
• 2014-07-21 Contingent — ARMLS
• 2014-07-11 Listed $184,900 ARMLS
• 2014-06-10 Price Changed $184,900 ARMLS
• 2014-06-10 Listing Removed — ARMLS
• 2014-06-07 Price Changed $194,900 ARMLS
• 2014-06-03 Price Changed $199,750 ARMLS
• 2014-05-29 Price Changed $199,800 ARMLS
• 2014-05-22 Price Changed $199,970 ARMLS
• 2014-05-19 Price Changed $199,980 ARMLS
• 2014-05-08 Listed $199,990 ARMLS
• 2009-05-29 Sold (MLS) $117,100 ARMLS
• 2009-05-01 Listing Removed — ARMLS
• 2008-12-19 Listed $119,900 ARMLS
• 2008-01-09 Listing Removed — ARMLS
• 2007-07-09 Listed $245,900 ARMLS
• 2007-07-06 Listing Removed — ARMLS
• 2007-05-26 Listed $249,500 ARMLS
• 2007-05-21 Listing Removed — ARMLS
• 2007-02-21 Listed $250,000 ARMLS
• 2007-02-14 Listing Removed — ARMLS
• 2006-11-07 Listed $245,000 ARMLS
• 2006-11-01 Listing Removed — ARMLS
• 2006-08-24 Listed $249,900 ARMLS
• 2006-08-23 Listing Removed — ARMLS
• 2006-08-01 Listed $246,500 ARMLS
• 2006-07-20 Listing Removed — ARMLS
• 2006-06-16 Listed $278,900 ARMLS
• 2006-03-02 Sold (Public Records) $200,000 Public Records
• 1977-05-25 Sold (Public Records) $28,500 Public Records
• 1972-11-15 Sold (Public Records) $23,300 Public Records

Property tax history

-2.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $822 · +4.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.