1884 Peavine Rd · Rock Spring, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 11.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +1.7/10.0
$210,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Looking for a move-in-ready home with great outdoor space? This charming 2-bedroom, 2-bath home offers 1,104 square feet of well-maintained living space and a fenced backyard that's perfect for pets, play, or entertaining. Inside, you'll find new flooring in the kitchen and bathrooms, while outside you'll love the spacious back deck and convenient storage building. Whether you're a first-time homebuyer, downsizing, or searching for an investment property, 1884 Peavine Road offers comfort, functionality, and value in a desirable Rock Spring location.
Key facts
- Spacious back deck
- New flooring
- Storage building
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area and building area reported as 1104 (assessor source); Lot size approximately 0.34 acres (agent-calculated)
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car) with garage door opener; Driveway; Concrete parking areas; Total 1 parking space (1 covered)
- Security: Carbon monoxide detector(s); Fire alarm
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Electricity available; Water available
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Three or more levels; Entry level information not provided
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Other roof type; Block foundation; Existing (previously built)
- Exterior features: Deck; Back yard fencing; Other lot features
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven; Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric oven; Cooktop; Dishwasher; Pantry
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms; Primary suite with attached master bathroom
- Flooring: Wood; Other
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric, ENERGY STAR qualified equipment); Central air (electric); Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Walk-in closet(s); Ceiling fan(s); Carbon monoxide detector(s); Fire alarm
- Laundry & utility: Storage space
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $263 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $200k (5.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $200k (5.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 3.6% in Rock Spring — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Walker County (rural): math 25% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #114 of 174 in GA (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Rock Spring Elementary School (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #810 of 1,228 statewide, top 69%, 412 students, 55% FRL); Lafayette High School (math 5% / reading 15%, grade F, #353 of 424 statewide, top 86%, 1,164 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools at 58% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 58 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 347 units permitted in Walker County in 2024 (24 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Walker County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($207k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $135k; list at $210k implies a 56% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.37%
- DSCR
- 1.24
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $252,816
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1826 Peavine Rd | 0.06mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,214 (+10%) | 21mo | $229,900 | $189 | 56 |
| 1115 Long Hollow Rd Lot 4 | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,201 (+9%) | 19mo | $275,000 | $229 | 47 |
| 1129 Long Hollow Rd Lot 3 | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,201 (+9%) | 19mo | $275,000 | $229 | 47 |
| 1149 Long Hollow Rd Lot 2 | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,201 (+9%) | 19mo | $275,000 | $229 | 46 |
| 1161 Long Hollow Rd | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,201 (+9%) | 19mo | $275,000 | $229 | 46 |
| 1236 Peavine Rd | 0.66mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,016 (-8%) | 8mo | $145,000 | $143 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.71×
- Total profit
- $-17,321
- Equity at exit
- $31,312
- IRR
- 1.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.11×
- Total profit
- $6,278
- Equity at exit
- $18,157
Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30739
- Home prices YoY
- -2.4%
- Active inventory
- 58
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,995 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,101
- Tax from tax record
- −$124 /mo · $1,489/yr
- Insurance
- −$88
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$419
- Net cashflow
- $263
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $382 | -5% $323 | +0% $263 | +5% $204 | +10% $144 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $106 | -5% $184 | +0% $263 | +5% $342 | +10% $421 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $369 | -0.5pp $317 | base $263 | +0.5pp $209 | +1.0pp $153 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,500
- Closing costs
- $6,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1161 Long Hollow Rd Rock Spring, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1375 | $1,995 | $1.45 | 16d | 1 | 0.40mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $210,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $210,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $210,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $210,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $210,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $210,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $210,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $220,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $220,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $220,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $220,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-05remarks 555-char remark
-
2026-06-05$220,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,489 · $124/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,932 · $161/mo
- Expected delta
- +$443/yr (+$37/mo · 29.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 11% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,940
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,763
- − Property taxes
- −$1,489
- − Insurance
- −$1,050
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,915
- − Management
- −$1,915
- − Depreciation
- −$6,109
- Taxable loss
- −$302
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$72
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,231/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Walker County
- NCES district ID
- 1305370
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,889
- Composite
- 22.74/100
- National rank
- #8035
- State rank
- #114 of 174 in GA
Livability — Rock Spring
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,854
Population outlook (Walker County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 66,050 people
- By 2030
- 64,305 · -2.6%
- By 2040
- 60,127 · -9.0%
- By 2050
- 55,551 · -15.9%
- By 2075
- 44,886 · -32.0%
- By 2100
- 34,015 · -48.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 3% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Walker
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+59.3) · D 20.1% · R 79.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.5pp toward R · 2008: -46.8pp · 2024: -59.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+59.3 2020: R+59.3 2016: R+61.5 2012: R+50.2 2008: R+46.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -6.64%
- Current HPI
- 267.6364
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+1366.7% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $220,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-06-04 Listed $220,000 GCAR
- 2026-06-04 Listed $220,000 RCAOR
- 2021-09-16 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records
- 2021-09-14 Sold (MLS) $135,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-09-14 Sold (MLS) $135,000 GCAR
- 2021-08-13 Delisted — GCAR
- 2021-08-09 Listed $130,000 GCAR
- 2008-05-05 Listed $104,000 RCAOR
- 1992-01-03 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,489 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…