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403 4th St
C Composite 57.29
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.7/30.0
  • Appreciation +8.3/10.0
  • DSCR +7.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.9/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$100,000

403 4th St · Neligh, NE 68756
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,128 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 67 Days on market
Built 1945 $89/sqft · 36% above area Est $74k · 36% over ↓ 9% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This beautifully remodeled 3 bed, 1 bath home is truly move-in ready and packed with modern updates throughout. From the moment you arrive, you’ll appreciate the fresh exterior featuring new siding, a new roof, and updated windows that enhance both curb appeal and efficiency. Inside, the home features all new flooring and a fully updated kitchen complete with modern finishes and all appliances included, making your move seamless from day one. Every detail has been thoughtfully updated, including a new HVAC system for year-round comfort. The attached one-car garage adds convenience and functionality, along with a brand new garage door. With major updates already completed, this home offers peace of mind and stylish living all in one. Don’t miss your opportunity to make it yours.

Key facts

  • New siding
  • Updated windows
  • New flooring

Tags

NEW SIDINGNEW ROOFUPDATED WINDOWSNEW FLOORINGFULLY UPDATED KITCHENNEW HVAC SYSTEM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $173 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $94k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#44 in NE, #2,260 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Neligh-Oakdale Schools (rural): math 45% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #189 of 245 in NE (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 13 units permitted in Antelope County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (6.7% local appreciation)).
  • Antelope County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (6.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 67 days — a 6% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $94,000 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 67 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.09%
Cap rate
8.37%
Cash-on-cash
7.41%
DSCR
1.33
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$73,598
List price
$100,000
Delta
35.87%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
5 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
807 N St 0.44mi 3/1.0 1,240 (+10%) 3mo $20,000 $16 61

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

6.69% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.0%
Equity multiple
2.57×
Total profit
$44,072
Equity at exit
$67,299
10-year hold
IRR
21.5%
Equity multiple
5.29×
Total profit
$120,122
Equity at exit
$126,067

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Nebraska
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempted; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 68756

Home prices YoY
3.5%
Active inventory
8
Price-to-rent
7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,094 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax est. 1.5%
$125 /mo · $1,500/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$230
Net cashflow
$173

Break-even live

Break-even rent $875
Max offer price $100,000
Occupancy floor 79%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $100,000 Active 67 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    price $100,000 Active 66 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $105,000 Active 66 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $105,000 Active 65 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $105,000 Active 64 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $105,000 Active 62 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $105,000 Active 61 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $105,000 Active 58 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $105,000 Active 57 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $105,000 Active 56 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $105,000 Active 55 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $105,000 Active 52 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $105,000 Active 51 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $105,000 Active 50 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $105,000 Active 49 DOM
  16. 2026-05-11
    status Pending 800-char remark
    Show marketing remark (800 chars)

    This beautifully remodeled 3 bed, 1 bath home is truly move-in ready and packed with modern updates throughout. From the moment you arrive, you’ll appreciate the fresh exterior featuring new siding, a new roof, and updated windows that enhance both curb appeal and efficiency. Inside, the home features all new flooring and a fully updated kitchen complete with modern finishes and all appliances included, making your move seamless from day one. Every detail has been thoughtfully updated, including a new HVAC system for year-round comfort. The attached one-car garage adds convenience and functionality, along with a brand new garage door. With major updates already completed, this home offers peace of mind and stylish living all in one. Don’t miss your opportunity to make it yours.

  17. 2026-04-27
    price $105,000 800-char remark
    Show marketing remark (800 chars)

    This beautifully remodeled 3 bed, 1 bath home is truly move-in ready and packed with modern updates throughout. From the moment you arrive, you’ll appreciate the fresh exterior featuring new siding, a new roof, and updated windows that enhance both curb appeal and efficiency. Inside, the home features all new flooring and a fully updated kitchen complete with modern finishes and all appliances included, making your move seamless from day one. Every detail has been thoughtfully updated, including a new HVAC system for year-round comfort. The attached one-car garage adds convenience and functionality, along with a brand new garage door. With major updates already completed, this home offers peace of mind and stylish living all in one. Don’t miss your opportunity to make it yours.

  18. 2026-04-03
    listed $115,000 Active 800-char remark
    Show marketing remark (800 chars)

    This beautifully remodeled 3 bed, 1 bath home is truly move-in ready and packed with modern updates throughout. From the moment you arrive, you’ll appreciate the fresh exterior featuring new siding, a new roof, and updated windows that enhance both curb appeal and efficiency. Inside, the home features all new flooring and a fully updated kitchen complete with modern finishes and all appliances included, making your move seamless from day one. Every detail has been thoughtfully updated, including a new HVAC system for year-round comfort. The attached one-car garage adds convenience and functionality, along with a brand new garage door. With major updates already completed, this home offers peace of mind and stylish living all in one. Don’t miss your opportunity to make it yours.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,124
− Mortgage interest
−$5,602
− Property taxes
−$1,500
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,050
− Management
−$1,050
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$514
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$123
After-tax cash flow
$1,952/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Neligh-Oakdale Schools
NCES district ID
3174220
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$41,663
Composite
40.07/100
National rank
#7871
State rank
#189 of 245 in NE

Livability — Neligh

Score
79/100
State rank
#44
US rank
#2260

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Neligh, NE
Population (ZIP)
1,932

Population outlook (Antelope County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,898 people
By 2030
5,669 · -3.9%
By 2040
5,252 · -11.0%
By 2050
4,905 · -16.8%
By 2075
4,385 · -25.7%
By 2100
3,763 · -36.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Portuguese 2% Danish 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 8%

Political lean MEDSL · Antelope

2024 margin
Solid R (+76.5) · D 11.5% · R 88.0%
2008→2024 swing
-25.4pp toward R · 2008: -51.0pp · 2024: -76.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+76.5 2020: R+73.7 2016: R+72.5 2012: R+62.8 2008: R+51.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 6.69%
Current HPI
196.4323
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 0.68%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-8.7% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Pending NNEMLS
  • 2026-04-27 Price Changed $105,000 NNEMLS
  • 2026-04-03 Listed $115,000 NNEMLS

Property tax history

-11.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $136 · +44.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…