7240 Gough St · Dundalk, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.0/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
End of group in need of rehab.
Key facts
- Built 1954
- Listed 13 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas service
- Home design: End-of-row townhouse; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Brick and combination construction; Block foundation; Shingle/composite roof; Built year recorded by assessor
- Exterior features: No tidal water
Interior
- Bedrooms: One main-level bedroom; Two bedrooms on the first upper level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (total)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating and hot water
- Interior features: Basement with connecting stairway, outside entrance, and partially finished area
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $590 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 6.1% in Dundalk — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 85/100 on livability (#16 in MD, #510 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Baltimore County Public Schools (suburban): math 15% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #11 of 24 in MD (top 46%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Colgate Elementary (math 7% / reading 10%, grade F, #664 of 860 statewide, top 78%, 502 students, 71% FRL); Holabird Middle (math 4% / reading 19%, grade F, #205 of 225 statewide, top 92%, 912 students, 65% FRL); Dundalk High (math 5% / reading 33%, grade F, #177 of 222 statewide, top 80%, 2,193 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools average 66% FRL vs 39% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 393 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,511 units permitted in Baltimore County in 2024 (643 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baltimore County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.3% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $55k; list at $150k implies a 173% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.40% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.88%
- DSCR
- 1.75
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $183,534
- List price
- $149,900
- Delta
- -18.33%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7169 Eastbrook Ave | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 996 (0%) | 7mo | $230,000 | $231 | 88 |
| 7279 Gough St | 0.08mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 996 (0%) | 4mo | $137,800 | $138 | 86 |
| 7304 Stratton Way | 0.21mi | 3/1.5 | 1,080 (+8%) | 5mo | $215,000 | $199 | 70 |
| 412 Overview Ave | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,124 (+13%) | 5mo | $180,000 | $160 | 65 |
| 7230 Conley St | 0.06mi | 3/1.5 | 1,144 (+15%) | 7mo | $180,000 | $157 | 65 |
| 7944 Lansdale Rd | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,024 (+3%) | 4mo | $137,200 | $134 | 60 |
| 7043 E Baltimore St | 0.16mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,124 (+13%) | 9mo | $230,000 | $205 | 54 |
| 7820 Wynbrook Rd | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 896 (-10%) | 3mo | $151,200 | $169 | 53 |
| 7911 Bank St | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 1,080 (+8%) | 5mo | $140,000 | $130 | 52 |
| 6811 Bank St | 0.44mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,084 (+9%) | 4mo | $178,000 | $164 | 52 |
| 319 Joplin St | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,050 (+5%) | 7mo | $154,000 | $147 | 46 |
| 334 Kane St | 0.70mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,050 (+5%) | 9mo | $195,000 | $186 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.31% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.23×
- Total profit
- $9,863
- Equity at exit
- $22,351
- IRR
- 14.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.03×
- Total profit
- $43,315
- Equity at exit
- $12,961
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 21224
- Rents YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 393
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,096 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax from tax record
- −$217 /mo · $2,601/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$440
- Net cashflow
- $590
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $675 | -5% $633 | +0% $590 | +5% $548 | +10% $506 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $425 | -5% $508 | +0% $590 | +5% $673 | +10% $756 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $666 | -0.5pp $629 | base $590 | +0.5pp $552 | +1.0pp $512 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 28 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7136 Eastbrook Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 996 | $2,200 | $2.21 | 6d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 7319 Conley St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,950 | $1.81 | 19d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 7261 Bridgewood Dr Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 896 | $2,495 | $2.78 | 25d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 7124 Gough St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1096 | $1,700 | $1.55 | 23d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 6802 Conley St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 939 | $1,750 | $1.86 | 23d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 309 52nd St Unit A Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 722 | $1,350 | $1.87 | 25d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 6905 Bank St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 784 | $1,650 | $2.10 | 45d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 7915 Eastdale Rd Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,500 | $1.67 | 45d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 7911 Bank St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,749 | $1.62 | 45d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 7948 Eastdale Rd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $1,700 | $1.66 | 45d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 7951 E Baltimore St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $1,750 | $1.71 | 3d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 7517 Belmont Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,800 | $2.50 | 19d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 8036 Lansdale Rd Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $1,750 | $1.71 | 0d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 334 Kane St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,675 | $1.60 | 25d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 630 47th St Unit B Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,200 | $1.60 | 45d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 628 47th St Apt RW2 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,200 | $1.60 | 12d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 901 Elton Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $2,800 | $2.65 | 45d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 932 Elton Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1024 | $1,950 | $1.90 | 19d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 944 Dalton Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1024 | $2,100 | $2.05 | 12d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 363 Gusryan St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 840 | $1,950 | $2.32 | 14d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 442 Folcroft St Unit A Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1071 | $1,600 | $1.49 | 5d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 456 Elrino St Unit B Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,600 | $2.00 | 45d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 7520 Durwood Rd Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1110 | $2,100 | $1.89 | 45d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 849 Loalan Ave Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1024 | $1,850 | $1.81 | 16d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 560 Bayview Blvd Baltimore, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1108 | $3,372 | $3.04 | 3d | 25 | 1.37mi |
| 6722 Brentwood Ave Unit 2FL Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,750 | $1.94 | 45d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1955 Walnut Ave Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $2,300 | $2.42 | 45d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 6518 Brown Ave Baltimore, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $1,300 | $1.93 | 25d | 3 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $149,900 Pending 13 DOM
-
2026-05-15status Active 537-char remark
-
2026-05-05historical 537-char remark
-
2026-04-29$149,900 Active 537-char remark
-
2012-07-25soldstatus $55,000 Sold 30-char remark
Show marketing remark (30 chars)
End of group in need of rehab.
-
2012-07-25soldstatus $55,000
Show marketing remark (30 chars)
End of group in need of rehab.
-
2012-06-29status Contract 30-char remark
Show marketing remark (30 chars)
End of group in need of rehab.
-
2012-06-29historical
Show marketing remark (30 chars)
End of group in need of rehab.
-
2012-06-28$55,000 Active 30-char remark
Show marketing remark (30 chars)
End of group in need of rehab.
-
2012-06-27$55,000
Show marketing remark (30 chars)
End of group in need of rehab.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,601 · $217/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,601 · $217/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,151
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$2,601
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,012
- − Management
- −$2,012
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable income
- $5,019
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,205
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,881/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400120
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,746
- Composite
- 23.17/100
- National rank
- #7948
- State rank
- #11 of 24 in MD
Livability — Dundalk
- Score
- 85/100
- State rank
- #16
- US rank
- #510
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dundalk, MD
- County
- Baltimore City · 558,601 people
- City population
- 59,407
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,465
- Household income
- $89,017
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1786.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 885,518 people
- By 2030
- 909,272 · +2.7%
- By 2040
- 951,547 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 990,955 · +11.9%
- By 2075
- 1,086,411 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 1,135,078 · +28.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Hispanic / Latino 21% Black 16% Two or more races 7% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.5) · D 61.0% · R 36.5% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.9pp toward D · 2008: 14.6pp · 2024: 24.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.5 2020: D+27.0 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+16.4 2008: D+14.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -332.23%
- Current HPI
- 241.284
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.31%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
||
| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
|
||
Price history
+172.5% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-22 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-15 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-05 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-29 Listed $149,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2012-07-25 Sold (MLS) $55,000 MRIS
- 2012-07-25 Sold (MLS) $55,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2012-06-29 Pending — MRIS
- 2012-06-29 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2012-06-28 Listed $55,000 MRIS
- 2012-06-27 Listed $55,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+1.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,601 · +25.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…