Multi-family
95 Montrose Ave · Buffalo, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.9/30.0
- ARV discount +12.8/15.0
- DSCR +8.7/10.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$279,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks
Welcome to 95 Montrose Avenue! This spacious and well-maintained duplex, on a double lot, offers nearly 2,500 square feet of living space, making it an exceptional opportunity for both investors and owner-occupants. Each unit features generous floor planes with 3 bedrooms, 1 bath, full kitchens, and comfortable living areas - ideal for families, students, or professionals seeking modern convenience and value. Located in the university district - with strong and steady monthly income. Whether you choose to live in one unit and rent the other, or lease both for maximum return, this property provides flexibility, stability and long-term upside. All kitchen appliances for both apartments includ
Key facts
- Double lot
- Vacant lot included
- 2 garage spots
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Two-unit property with separate gas and electric meters (one per unit); Each unit currently rents for $1,325; Operating expenses may include maintenance structure, maintenance, professional management, and water/sewer
- HOA & community: Owner pays grounds care, snow removal and water; Rent includes gardener, snow removal and water
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage; Concrete parking surface
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: 2-story multifamily building; Resale property; Vinyl siding exterior
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Existing (previously built) structure
- Exterior features: Balcony; Rectangular residential lot with city street frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Each unit includes oven/range and refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Two units each with 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Hardwood; Laminate; Varies
- Bathrooms: Each unit has 1 full bathroom (2 full bathrooms total)
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating with baseboard and forced air options
- Interior features: Hardwood, laminate and varied flooring throughout; Partial basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer in each unit; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $280k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $685 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $280k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.8%/yr); 90 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,955/mo this rent would consume 61% of the median local household income ($58k/yr) (locally 1820% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.8% rent growth), your $78k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1912 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1912 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.49%
- DSCR
- 1.47
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $317,322
- List price
- $279,900
- Delta
- -11.79%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 19 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 150 Englewood Ave | 0.12mi | 6/2.0 | 2,239 (-7%) | 5mo | $338,000 | $151 | 78 |
| 20 Hawthorne Ave | 0.18mi | 6/2.0 | 2,208 (-8%) | 11mo | $312,000 | $141 | 69 |
| 116 Nicholson St | 0.37mi | 6/2.0 | 2,464 (+2%) | 13mo | $151,000 | $61 | 68 |
| 300 Windermere Blvd | 0.72mi | 6/2.0 | 2,325 (-3%) | 2mo | $355,000 | $153 | 59 |
| 113 Groveland St | 0.49mi | 6/2.0 | 2,378 (-1%) | 19mo | $309,000 | $130 | 59 |
| 39 Custer St | 0.44mi | 6/2.0 | 2,323 (-3%) | 18mo | $275,000 | $118 | 59 |
| 1 Emsworth Ave | 0.29mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 2,482 (+3%) | 17mo | $250,000 | $101 | 58 |
| 192 Lisbon Ave | 0.68mi | 6/2.0 | 2,526 (+5%) | 4mo | $247,000 | $98 | 56 |
| 235 Heath St | 0.25mi | 6/2.0 | 2,058 (-14%) | 10mo | $303,000 | $147 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.81% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.09×
- Total profit
- $6,752
- Equity at exit
- $41,734
- IRR
- 14.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.26×
- Total profit
- $98,893
- Equity at exit
- $24,201
Cash invested: $78,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14214
- Rents YoY
- 5.8%
- Active inventory
- 90
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,955 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,468
- Tax from tax record
- −$65 /mo · $776/yr
- Insurance
- −$117
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$621
- Net cashflow
- $685
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $69,975
- Closing costs
- $8,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 196 Englewood Ave Buffalo, NY | 5.0 | 1.5 | 2560 | $2,000 | $0.78 | 2d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 133 Merrimac St Buffalo, NY | 7.0 | 2.0 | 2327 | $4,450 | $1.91 | 14d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 80 Capen Blvd Buffalo, NY | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2591 | $2,800 | $1.08 | 2d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 24 Custer St Buffalo, NY | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2500 | $3,000 | $1.20 | 14d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 85 Highgate Ave Buffalo, NY | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2193 | $3,750 | $1.71 | 14d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 175 Lisbon Ave Buffalo, NY | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $2,500 | $1.25 | 14d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 145 Minnesota Ave Buffalo, NY | 7.0 | 2.0 | 2551 | $4,900 | $1.92 | 14d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 4098 Bailey Ave Buffalo, NY | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2108 | $2,200 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-06status Pending 900-char remark
-
2026-04-24$279,900 Active 900-char remark
-
2026-02-09historical
-
2026-01-17price $289,900
-
2025-11-10$299,900 Active
-
2022-01-31soldstatus $488,703
-
2005-12-02soldstatus $95,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $776 · $65/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,753 · $229/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,977/yr (+$165/mo · 254.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $35,460
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,679
- − Property taxes
- −$776
- − Insurance
- −$1,400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,837
- − Management
- −$2,837
- − Depreciation
- −$8,143
- Taxable income
- $3,790
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$909
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,314/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605850
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,665
- Composite
- 33.17/100
- National rank
- #5544
- State rank
- #535 of 590 in NY
Livability — Buffalo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3011
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buffalo, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 440,021
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,314
- Household income
- $58,228
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1820.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Black 31% Asian 11% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Other Indo-European 7% Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -282.52%
- Current HPI
- 373.377
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.81%
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+194.6% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2026-04-24 Listed $279,900 WNYREIS
- 2026-02-09 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2026-01-17 Price Changed $289,900 WNYREIS
- 2025-11-10 Listed $299,900 WNYREIS
- 2022-01-31 Sold (Public Records) $488,703 Public Records
- 2005-12-02 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.8%/yrLatest (2025): $776 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…