3976 Vass-carthage Rd · Whispering Pines, NC
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 63.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.6/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.1/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$160,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Cash buyers and hard money only! Roughly 6 acres on Vass Carthage Rd. Large land with creek and road frontage. Property comes with a 1700+ sq ft home and several sheds. Perfect if you are looking for land or a great deal in Moore County.
Key facts
- Country living
- 6 acres
- Road frontage
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in Moore County, NC (postal code 28327)
- HOA & community: No homeowners association
Exterior
- Parking: 2-space carport; 3 open parking spaces (5 total parking spaces)
- Utilities: Septic tank; Public and well water sources
- Home design: One-story house
- Construction: Vinyl and wood siding; Metal roof; Concrete perimeter foundation; Built as a house (one level)
- Exterior features: 6-acre lot; Public maintained road access
Interior
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (all on the main level)
- Flooring: Combination flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Heating via fireplace(s); Window unit(s) for cooling
- Interior features: Living room fireplace; Crawl space basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $510 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
- Recommended offer: $155k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 2.4% in Whispering Pines — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#103 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, amenities F.
- Moore County Schools (rural): math 48% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #58 of 178 in NC (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.0%/yr); 231 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 941 units permitted in Moore County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Moore County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $80k; list at $160k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1944 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 63% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1944 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.45%
- DSCR
- 1.69
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.04% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.19×
- Total profit
- $8,604
- Equity at exit
- $23,857
- IRR
- 15.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.29×
- Total profit
- $57,846
- Equity at exit
- $13,834
Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28327
- Home prices YoY
- -33.0%
- Rents YoY
- 4.0%
- Active inventory
- 231
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,939 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax from tax record
- −$49 /mo · $590/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$407
- Net cashflow
- $510
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $40,000
- Closing costs
- $4,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $160,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $160,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $160,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $160,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $160,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $160,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $160,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $160,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $160,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $160,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $160,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $160,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $160,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $160,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $160,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $160,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-04-23$170,000 Active
-
2025-04-15soldstatus $80,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $590 · $49/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,312 · $109/mo
- Expected delta
- +$722/yr (+$60/mo · 122.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 63% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,266
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,962
- − Property taxes
- −$590
- − Insurance
- −$1,598
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,861
- − Management
- −$1,861
- − Depreciation
- −$4,655
- Taxable income
- $3,739
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$897
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,227/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Moore County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3703090
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▲ 5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,333
- Composite
- 43.63/100
- National rank
- #2967
- State rank
- #58 of 178 in NC
Livability — Whispering Pines
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #103
- US rank
- #6723
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Moore County · 75,247 people
- Metro
- Pinehurst-Southern Pines, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,386
- Household income
- $87,434
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 156.0
Population outlook (Moore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 106,902 people
- By 2030
- 113,134 · +5.8%
- By 2040
- 125,682 · +17.6%
- By 2050
- 137,811 · +28.9%
- By 2075
- 164,387 · +53.8%
- By 2100
- 175,595 · +64.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 6% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 5% Italian 3% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Moore
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+29.5) · D 34.8% · R 64.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.1pp toward R · 2008: -21.4pp · 2024: -29.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+29.5 2020: R+27.4 2016: R+29.6 2012: R+28.1 2008: R+21.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -93.86%
- Current HPI
- 190.6404
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.04%
- Metro
- Pinehurst-Southern Pines, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
+112.5% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-23 Listed $170,000 TMLS
- 2025-04-15 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.7%/yrLatest (2024): $590 · -4.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…