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3976 Vass-carthage Rd
B- Composite 68.13
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.6/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.1/10.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$160,000

3976 Vass-carthage Rd · Whispering Pines, NC 28327
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,780 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 57 Days on market
Built 1944 6.00 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Cash buyers and hard money only! Roughly 6 acres on Vass Carthage Rd. Large land with creek and road frontage. Property comes with a 1700+ sq ft home and several sheds. Perfect if you are looking for land or a great deal in Moore County.

Key facts

  • Country living
  • 6 acres
  • Road frontage

Tags

6 ACRESCREEKROAD FRONTAGESEVERAL SHEDSCOUNTRY LIVING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located in Moore County, NC (postal code 28327)
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-space carport; 3 open parking spaces (5 total parking spaces)
  • Utilities: Septic tank; Public and well water sources
  • Home design: One-story house
  • Construction: Vinyl and wood siding; Metal roof; Concrete perimeter foundation; Built as a house (one level)
  • Exterior features: 6-acre lot; Public maintained road access

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (all on the main level)
  • Flooring: Combination flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Heating via fireplace(s); Window unit(s) for cooling
  • Interior features: Living room fireplace; Crawl space basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $510 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
  • Recommended offer: $155k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 2.4% in Whispering Pines — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#103 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, amenities F.
  • Moore County Schools (rural): math 48% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #58 of 178 in NC (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.0%/yr); 231 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 941 units permitted in Moore County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Moore County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $80k; list at $160k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1944 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 63% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $155,200 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1944 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.21%
Cap rate
10.62%
Cash-on-cash
15.45%
DSCR
1.69
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.04% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.9%
Equity multiple
1.19×
Total profit
$8,604
Equity at exit
$23,857
10-year hold
IRR
15.2%
Equity multiple
2.29×
Total profit
$57,846
Equity at exit
$13,834

Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28327

Home prices YoY
-33.0%
Rents YoY
4.0%
Active inventory
231
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,939 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax from tax record
$49 /mo · $590/yr
Insurance
$67
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$407
Net cashflow
$510

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,293
Max offer price $160,000
Occupancy floor 69%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$40,000
Closing costs
$4,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $160,000 Active 57 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $160,000 Active 56 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $160,000 Active 55 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $160,000 Active 54 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $160,000 Active 53 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $160,000 Active 51 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $160,000 Active 50 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $160,000 Active 48 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $160,000 Active 47 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $160,000 Active 46 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $160,000 Active 45 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $160,000 Active 42 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $160,000 Active 40 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $160,000 Active 39 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $160,000 Active 38 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $160,000 Active 37 DOM
  17. 2026-04-23
    listed $170,000 Active
  18. 2025-04-15
    soldstatus $80,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$590 · $49/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,312 · $109/mo
Expected delta
+$722/yr (+$60/mo · 122.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 63% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,266
− Mortgage interest
−$8,962
− Property taxes
−$590
− Insurance
−$1,598
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,861
− Management
−$1,861
− Depreciation
−$4,655
Taxable income
$3,739
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$897
After-tax cash flow
$5,227/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Moore County Schools
NCES district ID
3703090
Math proficiency
48% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$50,333
Composite
43.63/100
National rank
#2967
State rank
#58 of 178 in NC

Livability — Whispering Pines

Score
71/100
State rank
#103
US rank
#6723

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living D- Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Moore County · 75,247 people
Metro
Pinehurst-Southern Pines, NC
Population (ZIP)
19,386
Household income
$87,434
Rent vs Own
19.5% rent · 80.5% own
Severe rent burden
156.0

Population outlook (Moore County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
106,902 people
By 2030
113,134 · +5.8%
By 2040
125,682 · +17.6%
By 2050
137,811 · +28.9%
By 2075
164,387 · +53.8%
By 2100
175,595 · +64.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 6% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 5% Italian 3% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Moore

2024 margin
Strong R (+29.5) · D 34.8% · R 64.3%
2008→2024 swing
-8.1pp toward R · 2008: -21.4pp · 2024: -29.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+29.5 2020: R+27.4 2016: R+29.6 2012: R+28.1 2008: R+21.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -93.86%
Current HPI
190.6404
Rent YoY
▲ 4.04%
Metro
Pinehurst-Southern Pines, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+112.5% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $170,000 TMLS
  • 2025-04-15 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.7%/yr

Latest (2024): $590 · -4.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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