4849 Peck Rd #25 · El Monte, CA 91732

$88,900

1 bd · 1.0 ba · 400 sqft · Manufactured · 15 Days on market

Built 2020 Good condition Est $96k · 7% under

---

Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +10.7/15.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Schools +4.2/10.0
• Condition / age +4.0/5.0
• Livability +3.1/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Freshly painted and meticulously maintained, this former model home offers a unique and efficient two-story layout featuring 1 bedroom, 1 bathroom, and two versatile loft spaces—perfect for a home office, guest area, or additional storage. With approximately 400 square feet of living space, the home showcases soaring ceilings and recessed lighting throughout, creating a bright and open atmosphere. The kitchen is equipped with stainless steel appliances, refrigerator, dishwasher, stove & storage shed are all included in the sale. Additional features include a storage shed, two dedicated parking spaces, and access to convenient community laundry facilities. Move-in ready and thoug

Key facts

• Built 2020
• Listed 14 days

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Located on Peck Rd between Hallwood Dr and Lower Azusa Rd (lat 34.092502, long -118.013992)
• HOA & community: Community has street lighting and sidewalks; Monthly land lease of $1,607 (current)

Exterior

• Parking: Located in El Rovia Trailer Village
• Utilities: Public sewer; District/public water
• Home design: Single-story mobile home (Silvercrest model); Mobile home remains on site; Mobile dimensions approximately 12 ft by 28 ft; Estimated living area
• Construction: Year built per assessor
• Exterior features: No pool; Corner lot

Interior

• Bathrooms: One full bathroom
• Interior features: Entry on the main level
• Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Gas dryer hookup

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $89k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $642 ($8k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $89k).
• Recommended offer: $88k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 15.0% vs local median 2.4% in El Monte — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 61/100 on livability (#554 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D, amenities F.
• El Monte Union High (suburban): math 34% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #543 of 1,400 in CA (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 84 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $87,566 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.79% ✓
• Cap rate: 14.96%
• Cash-on-cash: 30.96%
• DSCR: 2.38
• GRM: 4.7

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $95,600
• Comps found: 1

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
4849 Peck Rd #29	0.00mi	1/1.0	377 (-6%)	17mo	$89,950	$239	76

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 25.8%
• Equity multiple: 2.07×
• Total profit: $26,526
• Equity at exit: $13,255

10-year hold

• IRR: 33.5%
• Equity multiple: 4.05×
• Total profit: $75,871
• Equity at exit: $7,686

Cash invested: $24,892 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State California: 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 91732

• Active inventory: 84
• Price-to-rent: 4.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,591 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$466
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$111 /mo · $1,334/yr
• Insurance: −$37
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$334
• Net cashflow: $642

Break-even live

Break-even rent $778

Max offer price $88,900

Occupancy floor 55%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $22,225
• Closing costs: $2,667
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
4030 E Live Oak Ave Unit 105 Arcadia, CA	—	1.0	260	$1,400	$5.38	1d	1	1.12mi

Listing history 11 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $88,900 Active 15 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $88,900 Active 14 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $88,900 Active 13 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $88,900 Active 12 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $88,900 Active 10 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $88,900 Active 9 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $88,900 Active 6 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $88,900 Active 5 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   remarks 689-char remark
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $88,900 Active 4 DOM
11. 2026-06-04
    listed $88,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 7/10 Severe 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 14 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $19,088
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,980
• − Property taxes: −$1,334
• − Insurance: −$444
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,527
• − Management: −$1,527
• − Depreciation: −$2,586
• Taxable income: $6,690
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,606
• After-tax cash flow: $6,102/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This manufactured home is in good condition with minimal repairs needed. It has a good curb appeal and is move-in ready.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Painting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
• Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value
• Both New flooring in kitchen and bathrooms — Improves aesthetics and value
• Both New kitchen appliances — Modernizes the space and adds value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

• Both Painting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
• Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
• Both New flooring in kitchen and bathrooms — Improves aesthetics and value ↑
• Both New kitchen appliances — Modernizes the space and adds value ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: El Monte Union High
• NCES district ID: 0612120
• Math proficiency: 34% ▲ 4.00%
• Reading proficiency: 59% ▲ 3.00%
• Median HH income: $46,859
• Composite: 41.69/100
• National rank: #7198
• State rank: #543 of 1400 in CA

Livability — El Monte

• Score: 61/100
• State rank: #554
• US rank: #18369

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime D Employment C+ Housing C+ Health & safety F User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: El Monte, CA
• County: Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
• City population: 85,051
• Metro: Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
• Population (ZIP): 57,431
• Household income: $75,108
• Rent vs Own: 56.8% rent · 43.2% own
• Severe rent burden: 2538.0

Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 10,940,515 people
• By 2030: 11,256,481 · +2.9%
• By 2040: 11,729,929 · +7.2%
• By 2050: 11,948,407 · +9.2%
• By 2075: 11,818,114 · +8.0%
• By 2100: 10,842,928 · -0.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Hispanic (65%)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 65% Asian 29% Two or more races 22% White 3% Native American 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 57%
• Foreign-born: 49% · Canada, China, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 20% English-only · Spanish 54% Chinese 16% Vietnamese 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles

• 2024 margin: Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -1009.25%
• Current HPI: 413.0584
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.21%
• F500 in state: 116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Technology	27	$1,492B
▸Financial Services	3	$174B
▸Retail	3	$44B
▸Insurance	3	$26B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$115B
▸Pharmaceuticals / Biotech	2	$62B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-06-03 Listed $88,900 CRMLS