1712 Banklick St · Covington, KY
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.67%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.1/30.0
- ARV discount +8.6/15.0
- DSCR +7.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- Livability +4.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$224,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
All Brick 2 Story, Fenced yard, off street parking. Sold As Is. No contingencies of selling other property. Buyer to verify schools & utilities. Agents read remarks.
Key facts
- Updated baths
- Off street parking
- Private fenced yard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $443 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $225k).
- Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 5.3% in Covington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 86/100 on livability (#40 in KY, #376 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+.
- Covington Independent (suburban): math 10% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #162 of 165 in KY (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: John G Carlisle Elementary (math 2% / reading 27%, grade F, #620 of 676 statewide, top 93%, 304 students, 81% FRL); Holmes Middle School (math 8% / reading 26%, grade F, #211 of 217 statewide, top 97%, 656 students, 84% FRL); Holmes High School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #227 of 254 statewide, top 89%, 878 students, 80% FRL) — zoned schools at 82% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 214 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 699 units permitted in Kenton County in 2024 (287 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kenton County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 29y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $40k; list at $225k implies a 455% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.44%
- DSCR
- 1.38
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $230,384
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1712 Banklick St | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,936 (0%) | 1mo | $230,900 | $119 | 99 |
| 16 E 18th St | 0.27mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,878 (-3%) | 1mo | $384,450 | $205 | 74 |
| 1718 Greenup St | 0.39mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,950 (+1%) | 0mo | $310,000 | $159 | 73 |
| 216 E 18th St | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,876 (-3%) | 1mo | $215,000 | $115 | 69 |
| 1507 Morton Ave | 0.35mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,856 (-4%) | 4mo | $201,700 | $109 | 66 |
| 1718 Woodburn Ave | 0.10mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,680 (-13%) | 3mo | $244,000 | $145 | 64 |
| 335 E 17th St | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,844 (-5%) | 0mo | $275,000 | $149 | 60 |
| 507 Highland Pike | 0.32mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,696 (-12%) | 4mo | $85,000 | $50 | 55 |
| 1909 Pine St | 0.39mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,736 (-10%) | 5mo | $130,000 | $75 | 54 |
| 1326 Banklick | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,716 (-11%) | 6mo | $158,000 | $92 | 54 |
| 13 E 24th St | 0.59mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 2,110 (+9%) | 6mo | $270,000 | $128 | 46 |
| 515 Delmar Pl | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,696 (-12%) | 2mo | $195,500 | $115 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.55% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-11,572
- Equity at exit
- $33,533
- IRR
- 3.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.21×
- Total profit
- $12,930
- Equity at exit
- $19,445
Cash invested: $62,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 41011
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 214
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,254 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,179
- Tax from tax record
- −$64 /mo · $771/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$473
- Net cashflow
- $443
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,225
- Closing costs
- $6,747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1927 Scott St Apt 1 Covington, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1865 | $2,100 | $1.13 | 20d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 1205 Lee St Unit 3 Covington, KY | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1850 | $3,000 | $1.62 | 23d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 2030 Mackoy St Covington, KY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1598 | $1,779 | $1.11 | 4d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 103 E 3rd St Covington, KY | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1291 | $3,250 | $2.52 | 1d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 809 Isabella St Newport, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1519 | $2,200 | $1.45 | 44d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 140 W 13th St Newport, KY | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2505 | $4,200 | $1.68 | 12d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 50 W Rivercenter Blvd Covington, KY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1273 | $3,640 | $2.86 | 1d | 9 | 1.37mi |
| 203 W 8th St Newport, KY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1456 | $2,300 | $1.58 | 21d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-04-13status Pending
-
2026-04-07$224,900 Active
-
2026-02-19price $224,900
-
2026-01-21price $228,000
-
2026-01-14status Active
-
2026-01-05status Pending
-
2026-01-05historical
-
2025-12-30$225,000 Active
-
2005-10-19soldstatus $40,500 169-char remark
Show marketing remark (169 chars)
All Brick 2 Story, Fenced yard, off street parking. Sold As Is. No contingencies of selling other property. Buyer to verify schools & utilities. Agents read remarks.
-
2005-06-14$44,900 169-char remark
Show marketing remark (169 chars)
All Brick 2 Story, Fenced yard, off street parking. Sold As Is. No contingencies of selling other property. Buyer to verify schools & utilities. Agents read remarks.
-
1997-12-19soldstatus $52,000
-
1997-12-19soldstatus $52,000
-
1997-09-11$54,900
-
1989-02-01soldstatus $34,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $771 · $64/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,934 · $161/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,163/yr (+$97/mo · 150.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 67% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,043
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,598
- − Property taxes
- −$771
- − Insurance
- −$1,124
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,163
- − Management
- −$2,163
- − Depreciation
- −$6,543
- Taxable income
- $1,680
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$403
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,912/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Covington Independent
- NCES district ID
- 2101350
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,681
- Composite
- 15.04/100
- National rank
- #9353
- State rank
- #162 of 165 in KY
Livability — Covington
- Score
- 86/100
- State rank
- #40
- US rank
- #376
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Covington, KY
- County
- Kenton County · 142,881 people
- City population
- 34,373
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,981
- Household income
- $69,970
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1488.0
Population outlook (Kenton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 174,205 people
- By 2030
- 177,897 · +2.1%
- By 2040
- 182,671 · +4.9%
- By 2050
- 183,543 · +5.4%
- By 2075
- 178,977 · +2.7%
- By 2100
- 159,920 · -8.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Hispanic / Latino 12% Black 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kenton
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.7) · D 38.2% · R 59.9% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.9pp no change · 2008: -20.9pp · 2024: -21.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.7 2020: R+19.3 2016: R+26.1 2012: R+24.3 2008: R+20.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -215.20%
- Current HPI
- 237.0869
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
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Price history
+551.9% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-13 Pending — NKMLS
- 2026-04-07 Listed $224,900 NKMLS
- 2026-02-19 Price Changed $224,900 NKMLS
- 2026-01-21 Price Changed $228,000 NKMLS
- 2026-01-14 Relisted — NKMLS
- 2026-01-05 Pending — NKMLS
- 2026-01-05 Listing Removed — NKMLS
- 2025-12-30 Listed $225,000 NKMLS
- 2005-10-19 Sold (MLS) $40,500 NKMLS
- 2005-06-14 Listed $44,900 NKMLS
- 1997-12-19 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records
- 1997-12-19 Sold (MLS) $52,000 NKMLS
- 1997-09-11 Listed $54,900 NKMLS
- 1989-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $34,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.8%/yrLatest (2025): $771 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…