1303 Eighth St · Alamogordo, NM
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- AH
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.68%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,142 – $2,507
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $706 – $1,312
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Fantastic investment opportunity! This multi-family property features two separate homes on one lot. The front house offers 3 spacious bedrooms and 1 bathroom, while the back house includes 1 bedroom and 1 bathroom, perfect for rental income, extended family, or guests. Both units are finished with low-maintenance laminate and tile flooring throughout. With versatile living options and strong income potential, this property is a must-see for investors or those seeking a multi-generational living setup!
Key facts
- Two separate homes
- Tile flooring
- Rental income
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $111 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $148k (1.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#5 in NM, #3,233 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, employment D, schools F.
- Alamogordo Public Schools (town): math 26% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #26 of 95 in NM (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 444 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6 units permitted in Otero County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Otero County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 261 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $152/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AH (mandatory federal flood insurance); extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 261 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.53%
- DSCR
- 1.34
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $186,608
- List price
- $150,000
- Delta
- -19.62%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.65% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.54×
- Total profit
- $-19,154
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- -6.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.64×
- Total profit
- $-15,313
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State New Mexico
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 88310
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 444
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,479 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$56 /mo · $673/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$152 /mo · $1,824/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$311
- Net cashflow
- $111
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1301 Jefferson Ave Unit LAST ONE AVAILABLE!! Alamogordo, NM | 2.0 | 2.0 | 892 | $1,425 | $1.60 | 3d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 1301 Fillmore Ave Alamogordo, NM | 2.0 | 1.0 | 967 | $1,095 | $1.13 | 44d | 2 | 0.52mi |
| 1905 12th St Alamogordo, NM | 2.0 | 1.0 | 704 | $850 | $1.21 | 14d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 1514 Utah Ave Alamogordo, NM | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1119 | $1,450 | $1.30 | 14d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 2200 1st St Alamogordo, NM | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1011 | $1,979 | $1.96 | 3d | 18 | 0.98mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $150,000 Active 261 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $150,000 Active 260 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $150,000 Active 259 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $150,000 Active 258 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $150,000 Active 256 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $150,000 Active 255 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $150,000 Active 253 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $150,000 Active 252 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $150,000 Active 251 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $150,000 Active 250 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $150,000 Active 247 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $150,000 Active 246 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $150,000 Active 245 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $150,000 Active 244 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $150,000 Active 243 DOM
-
2025-09-30$150,000 Active 507-char remark
Show marketing remark (507 chars)
Fantastic investment opportunity! This multi-family property features two separate homes on one lot. The front house offers 3 spacious bedrooms and 1 bathroom, while the back house includes 1 bedroom and 1 bathroom, perfect for rental income, extended family, or guests. Both units are finished with low-maintenance laminate and tile flooring throughout. With versatile living options and strong income potential, this property is a must-see for investors or those seeking a multi-generational living setup!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NM · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $673 · $56/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,200 · $100/mo
- Expected delta
- +$527/yr (+$44/mo · 78.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone AH · 68% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,753
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$673
- − Insurance
- −$2,574
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,420
- − Management
- −$1,420
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable loss
- −$1,101
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$264
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,602/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Alamogordo Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3500030
- Math proficiency
- 26% —
- Reading proficiency
- 39% —
- Median HH income
- $42,194
- Composite
- 30.24/100
- National rank
- #11572
- State rank
- #26 of 95 in NM
Livability — Alamogordo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #5
- US rank
- #3233
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Alamogordo, NM
- County
- Otero County · 36,983 people
- City population
- 36,983
- Metro
- Alamogordo, NM
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,983
- Household income
- $57,214
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1231.0
Population outlook (Otero County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 62,967 people
- By 2030
- 62,164 · -1.3%
- By 2040
- 60,253 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 58,575 · -7.0%
- By 2075
- 55,411 · -12.0%
- By 2100
- 48,551 · -22.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 18% Black 5% Asian 2% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 25%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 12% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Otero
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.0) · D 35.4% · R 62.4% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.7pp toward R · 2008: -19.3pp · 2024: -27.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.0 2020: R+25.6 2016: R+29.1 2012: R+28.0 2008: R+19.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -174.88%
- Current HPI
- 181.737
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.65%
- Metro
- Alamogordo, NM
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2025-09-30 Listed $150,000 OCAOR
Property tax history
+1.3%/yrLatest (2025): $673 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…