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12 Minton Dr
B- Composite 68.52
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$74,999

12 Minton Dr · Penn, PA 17870
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 880 sqft · Manufactured · 35 Days on market
Built 2025 $85/sqft · 64% below area ↓ 6% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This brand new single-wide home offers a cozy, welcoming feel with all the comforts of modern living. Inside, you’ll find a bright and open living space that’s perfect for quiet evenings or casual gatherings. The kitchen is thoughtfully designed with ample cabinet space and room to cook, dine, and connect. The primary bedroom provides a peaceful place to unwind, complete with a private full bathroom, while two additional bedrooms offer flexibility for family, guests, or a home office. Everything is fresh, new, and ready for you to settle in and make it your own. Simple, comfortable, and inviting, this home is perfect for anyone looking for easy living in a relaxed setting.

Key facts

  • Built 2025
  • Listed 35 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property condition listed as excellent
  • Financial info: Ownership: Ground rent; Annual ground rent noted
  • HOA & community: Property manager present; Located in Neighbors of Wedgewood LLC park

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric hot water
  • Home design: Manufactured single wide home; Above-grade living space (approx. 880 finished sq ft, estimated)
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Construction not completed; Model: Redman Advantage SW RAS-F_35225; Make: Champion; Width: 14 ft; Length: 66 ft
  • Exterior features: Rented lot; Ground rent of $535 monthly; Not in a federal flood zone

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Propane (leased) heating fuel; Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Estimated living area; No basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $283 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $73k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,637 in PA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Selinsgrove Area SD (town): math 46% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #138 of 539 in PA (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Selinsgrove Area Hs (math 77% / reading 75%, grade A-, #25 of 437 statewide, top 6%, 802 students, 34% FRL) — zoned schools at 34% FRL track the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 76% at this address vs 53% district-wide (+23 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Selinsgrove Area SD average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 49 active listings in the ZIP; 48 units permitted in Snyder County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $518 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Snyder County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $72,749 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.37%
Cap rate
11.89%
Cash-on-cash
19.99%
DSCR
1.89
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$208,643
List price
$74,999
Delta
-64.05%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
55 Minton Dr 0.18mi 2/2.0 (-1) 980 (+11%) 3mo $19,000 $19 66

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.2%
Equity multiple
1.28×
Total profit
$5,918
Equity at exit
$11,183
10-year hold
IRR
16.5%
Equity multiple
2.36×
Total profit
$28,481
Equity at exit
$6,485

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17870

Active inventory
49
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,027 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$37 /mo · $441/yr
Insurance
$31
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$216
Net cashflow
$283

Break-even live

Break-even rent $668
Max offer price $74,999
Occupancy floor 67%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $74,999 Active 35 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $74,999 Active 34 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $74,999 Active 33 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $74,999 Active 32 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $74,999 Active 30 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $74,999 Active 29 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $74,999 Active 26 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $74,999 Active 25 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $74,999 Active 24 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $74,999 Active 23 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $74,999 Active 20 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $74,999 Active 19 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $74,999 Active 18 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $74,999 Active 17 DOM
  15. 2026-05-14
    listed $74,999 Active 693-char remark
  16. 2026-05-08
    historical
  17. 2026-03-06
    price $74,999
  18. 2026-02-01
    listed $79,999 Active
  19. 2026-01-27
    historical
  20. 2025-11-12
    listed $79,999 Active
  21. 2025-11-08
    historical

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$441 · $37/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$813 · $68/mo
Expected delta
+$372/yr (+$31/mo · 84.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 78% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,321
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$441
− Insurance
−$1,172
− Repairs & maintenance
−$986
− Management
−$986
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$2,353
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$565
After-tax cash flow
$2,836/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Selinsgrove Area SD
NCES district ID
4221120
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
60% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$51,182
Composite
45.33/100
National rank
#2642
State rank
#138 of 539 in PA

Livability — Penn

Score
56/100
State rank
#1637
US rank
#22584

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
14,538

Population outlook (Snyder County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
41,720 people
By 2030
42,207 · +1.2%
By 2040
42,918 · +2.9%
By 2050
43,125 · +3.4%
By 2075
42,498 · +1.9%
By 2100
39,544 · -5.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Snyder

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.0) · D 26.1% · R 73.2%
2008→2024 swing
-17.8pp toward R · 2008: -29.2pp · 2024: -47.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.0 2020: R+47.4 2016: R+47.3 2012: R+35.9 2008: R+29.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -93.74%
Current HPI
97.5016
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-6.3% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $74,999 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-08 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-06 Price Changed $74,999 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-02-01 Listed $79,999 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-01-27 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-11-12 Listed $79,999 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-11-08 Coming Soon BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+1.1%/yr

Latest (2022): $441 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…