Fourplex
16 W Main St #1 · Morrisville, NY
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +8.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.6/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$260,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. estimate disagrees with records
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks
Established 4-unit multi-family property located in the Village of Morrisville. Three units are currently leased with consistent rental history, while one unit has been recently renovated and is vacant ideal for owner-occupancy or leasing at current market rates. Property features separate living spaces with practical layouts and off-street parking. Conveniently located near SUNY Morrisville, local shops, and amenities, supporting strong rental demand. A solid investment opportunity with immediate income and potential for increased returns.
Key facts
- Strong rental demand
- Off-street parking
- 0.65 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4 × 6-bed/4.0-bath units multifamily listed at $260k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($21k/yr) — positive. Per door: $431/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $260k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#291 in NY, #4,741 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, cost of living A, housing A; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Morrisville-Eaton Central School District (rural): math 59% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #177 of 590 in NY (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP; 137 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (46 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $18k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (6.2% local appreciation)).
- Madison County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (6.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $73k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$45k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.79% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.41%
- DSCR
- 2.26
- GRM
- 4.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
6.23% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 39.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.59×
- Total profit
- $188,554
- Equity at exit
- $167,224
- IRR
- 36.9%
- Equity multiple
- 7.43×
- Total profit
- $468,115
- Equity at exit
- $306,568
Cash invested: $72,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13408
- Home prices YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 18
- Price-to-rent
- 18.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,660 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,363
- Tax from tax record
- −$486 /mo · $5,834/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$979
- Net cashflow
- $1,723
Break-even live
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 6 | 4 | $4,660 |
| #1 | 6 | 4 | $1,165 |
| #2 | 6 | 4 | $1,165 |
| #3 | 6 | 4 | $1,165 |
| #4 | 6 | 4 | $1,165 |
| Total (4 units) | $4,660 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $65,000
- Closing costs
- $7,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-04-10status Pending
-
2026-04-01$260,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,834 · $486/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,834 · $486/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $55,920
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,564
- − Property taxes
- −$5,834
- − Insurance
- −$1,300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,474
- − Management
- −$4,474
- − Depreciation
- −$7,564
- Taxable income
- $17,711
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,251
- After-tax cash flow
- $16,430/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Morrisville-Eaton Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3619920
- Math proficiency
- 59% ▲ 12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 72% ▲ 17.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,688
- Composite
- 55.56/100
- National rank
- #1239
- State rank
- #177 of 590 in NY
Livability — Morrisville
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #291
- US rank
- #4741
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Morrisville, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,422
Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 69,528 people
- By 2030
- 66,599 · -4.2%
- By 2040
- 59,814 · -14.0%
- By 2050
- 52,842 · -24.0%
- By 2075
- 39,167 · -43.7%
- By 2100
- 28,442 · -59.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Asian 7% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Danish 3% Polish 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · China, Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · German/W. Germanic 4% Spanish 3% Chinese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Madison
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.1) · D 43.5% · R 56.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.9pp toward R · 2008: 0.9pp · 2024: -13.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.1 2020: R+10.6 2016: R+15.9 2012: D+0.3 2008: D+0.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 6.23%
- Current HPI
- 275.2987
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-10 Pending — CNYIS
- 2026-04-01 Listed $260,000 CNYIS
Property tax history
+5.6%/yrLatest (2025): $5,834 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…