160-15 Powells Cove Blvd Unit A304 · New York, NY
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.75%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +5.9/30.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +0.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$239,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to Unit A304 at 160-15 Powells Cove Blvd, located in the heart of Beechhurst, one of Queens’ most desirable waterfront communities. This beautifully maintained 1-bedroom, 1-bathroom co-op offers approximately 671 sq ft of elegant pre-war charm, modern comfort, and outstanding value.
Key facts
- Built 1928
- Listed 316 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in Queens County
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee; Association fee includes water
Exterior
- Parking: No carport
- Utilities: Sewer: Other; Utilities: See remarks
- Home design: Property type: Stock cooperative
- Construction: Construction materials: Other; Foundation details: Other
- Exterior features: Construction listed as 'Other'; Foundation listed as 'Other'; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator included
- Bedrooms: Total of 3 rooms (includes living spaces and bedrooms)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Other heating features; No central cooling reported
- Interior features: Additional interior features listed as 'Other'; Pets allowed — contact listing agent for details
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $240k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-466 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $240k).
- Recommended offer: $211k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 4.0% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 289 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($97k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 316 days — a 12% lower offer ($211k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $37k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 32% of rent; built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 316 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 3.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- -8.33%
- DSCR
- 0.63
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.41% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -29.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.00×
- Total profit
- $-66,945
- Equity at exit
- $35,770
- IRR
- -27.0%
- Equity multiple
- -0.34×
- Total profit
- $-89,893
- Equity at exit
- $20,742
Cash invested: $67,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11357
- Rents YoY
- 3.4%
- Active inventory
- 289
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,561 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,258
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$300 /mo · $3,598/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- HOA est. from 1 same-building comp
- −$831
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$538
- Net cashflow
- $-466
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $59,975
- Closing costs
- $7,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 206-14 Emily Rd Unit 42L Bayside, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,700 | $3.86 | 24d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 16-05 Bell Blvd Unit 1st Floor Flushing, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,400 | $3.43 | 24d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 16-66 Bell Blvd Unit 736 Bayside, NY | — | 1.0 | 600 | $2,350 | $3.92 | 24d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1670 Bell Blvd Bayside, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 600 | $2,600 | $4.33 | 2d | 4 | 1.46mi |
| 1785 215th St Unit 15J Bayside, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 620 | $3,500 | $5.65 | 24d | 1 | 1.50mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Likely covers
- water
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-17status $239,900 Pending 316 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $239,900 Active 316 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $239,900 Active 314 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $239,900 Active 312 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $239,900 Active 308 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $239,900 Active 307 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $239,900 Active 302 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $239,900 Active 300 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $239,900 Active 299 DOM
-
2026-05-15price $239,900
-
2026-04-30price $248,770
-
2026-02-20status Active
-
2025-12-01price $257,000
-
2025-10-23price $267,000
-
2025-08-04$277,000 Active
-
2025-01-13$257,700 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 75% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,727
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,438
- − Property taxes
- −$3,598
- − Insurance
- −$1,200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,458
- − Management
- −$2,458
- − HOA
- −$9,972
- − Depreciation
- −$6,979
- Taxable loss
- −$9,376
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,250
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,342/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Queens County · 1,914,869 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 43,346
- Household income
- $96,988
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1296.0
Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,546,320 people
- By 2030
- 2,643,059 · +3.8%
- By 2040
- 2,815,563 · +10.6%
- By 2050
- 2,944,423 · +15.6%
- By 2075
- 3,123,338 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 3,098,688 · +21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Asian 25% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 8% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Scotch-Irish 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 35% · China, Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 50% English-only · Other Indo-European 14% Chinese 14% Spanish 12%
Political lean MEDSL · Queens
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -810.81%
- Current HPI
- 285.5469
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.41%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
-6.9% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $239,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $248,770 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-20 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-01 Price Changed $257,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-23 Price Changed $267,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-04 Listed $277,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-01-13 Listed $257,700 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…