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11083 Ford Ave
C Composite 57.32
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.7/30.0
  • DSCR +8.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +6.6/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$135,000

11083 Ford Ave · Warren, MI 48089
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,050 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 10 Days on market
Built 1946 4,356 sqft lot Est $132k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome home to this 4-bedroom colonial in Warren, where space and comfort come together. Featuring updated flooring, this home offers a clean, refreshed feel from the moment you walk in. The layout provides plenty of room for both relaxing and entertaining, while the four spacious bedrooms offer flexibility for families, guests, or a home office. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and expressways, this home is ready for its next chapter.

Key facts

  • Clean refreshed feel
  • Updated flooring
  • Plenty of room

Tags

UPDATED FLOORINGCLEAN REFRESHED FEELPLENTY OF ROOMCONVENIENTLY LOCATED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $325 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $135k).
  • Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 5.3% in Warren — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#171 in MI, #4,491 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities D, employment D.
  • Van Dyke Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #512 of 540 in MI (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 160 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $135,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.09%
Cap rate
9.18%
Cash-on-cash
10.32%
DSCR
1.46
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$132,300
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
11339 Ford Ave 0.16mi 4/1.5 1,015 (-3%) 2mo $130,000 $128 84
11083 Ford Ave 0.00mi 4/2.0 1,150 (+10%) 1mo $135,000 $117 84
11245 Hudson Ave 0.18mi 3/1.0 (-1) 996 (-5%) 2mo $72,500 $73 72
8654 Continental Ave 0.33mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,008 (-4%) 1mo $103,000 $102 68
8725 Packard Ave 0.15mi 3/1.0 (-1) 925 (-12%) 2mo $135,000 $146 63
8659 Essex Ave 0.55mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,034 (-2%) 2mo $150,000 $145 61
8420 Republic Ave 0.48mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,015 (-3%) 2mo $150,000 $148 61
8434 Orchard Ave 0.50mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,012 (-4%) 1mo $125,000 $124 61
11169 Ocalla Dr 0.74mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,064 (+1%) 2mo $160,000 $150 52
11108 Essex Ave 0.50mi 3/1.0 (-1) 946 (-10%) 0mo $114,900 $121 51
8441 Fisher Ave 0.70mi 3/1.0 (-1) 992 (-6%) 2mo $125,000 $126 47
11381 Fisher Ave 0.67mi 3/1.0 (-1) 900 (-14%) 1mo $52,000 $58 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.94% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.9%
Equity multiple
0.97×
Total profit
$-1,295
Equity at exit
$20,129
10-year hold
IRR
8.7%
Equity multiple
1.66×
Total profit
$25,027
Equity at exit
$11,672

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48089

Rents YoY
2.9%
Active inventory
160
Price-to-rent
7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,475 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax from tax record
$76 /mo · $915/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$310
Net cashflow
$325

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,064
Max offer price $135,000
Occupancy floor 73%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 31 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
11076 Hudson Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 936 $1,395 $1.49 3d 1 0.20mi
8693 Paige Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 900 $1,300 $1.44 24d 1 0.27mi
8707 Continental Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,200 $1.09 5d 1 0.31mi
8707 Continental Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 968 $1,200 $1.24 18d 1 0.31mi
8632 Studebaker Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 761 $1,300 $1.71 3d 1 0.32mi
11319 Chalmers Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 975 $1,500 $1.54 24d 1 0.32mi
8509 Paige Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 950 $1,300 $1.37 24d 1 0.35mi
11332 Republic Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 1140 $1,500 $1.32 24d 1 0.35mi
8640 Chalmers Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 804 $1,423 $1.77 24d 1 0.36mi
8716 Timken Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 1008 $1,400 $1.39 24d 1 0.43mi
8251 Hudson Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 908 $1,400 $1.54 24d 1 0.47mi
11076 Essex Ave Warren, MI 4.0 1.0 1072 $1,400 $1.31 44d 1 0.47mi
8428 Timken Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 860 $1,250 $1.45 24d 1 0.53mi
11377 Sherman Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,400 $1.17 24d 1 0.64mi
8125 Timken Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 948 $1,270 $1.34 5d 1 0.68mi
7568 Hudson Ave Unit 1 Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 1415 $1,100 $0.78 5d 1 0.73mi
7511 Toepfer Rd Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 1032 $1,199 $1.16 22d 1 0.83mi
8242 Jackson Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 840 $1,198 $1.43 44d 1 0.86mi
8285 Rivard Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 902 $1,549 $1.72 24d 1 0.86mi
7256 Ready Ave Warren, MI 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,500 $1.15 24d 1 0.96mi
7060 Victory Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 945 $1,450 $1.53 11d 1 1.03mi
20290 Annott St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,250 $0.96 17d 1 1.15mi
20553 Hamburg St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1074 $1,300 $1.21 3d 1 1.20mi
13050 Couwlier Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 850 $1,350 $1.59 24d 1 1.22mi
22852 Sharrow Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 5d 1 1.26mi
12807 Coleen Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 1080 $1,250 $1.16 24d 1 1.29mi
12846 Georgiana Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 912 $1,300 $1.43 24d 1 1.31mi
20296 Waltham St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 986 $1,300 $1.32 17d 1 1.37mi
20091 Barlow St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 930 $1,300 $1.40 17d 1 1.41mi
20042 Rogge St Detroit, MI 4.0 2.0 1232 $1,394 $1.13 44d 1 1.45mi
25146 Wagner Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 906 $1,900 $2.10 24d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-04-06
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (451 chars)

    Welcome home to this 4-bedroom colonial in Warren, where space and comfort come together. Featuring updated flooring, this home offers a clean, refreshed feel from the moment you walk in. The layout provides plenty of room for both relaxing and entertaining, while the four spacious bedrooms offer flexibility for families, guests, or a home office. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and expressways, this home is ready for its next chapter.

  2. 2026-04-06
    status Pending 451-char remark
    Show marketing remark (451 chars)

    Welcome home to this 4-bedroom colonial in Warren, where space and comfort come together. Featuring updated flooring, this home offers a clean, refreshed feel from the moment you walk in. The layout provides plenty of room for both relaxing and entertaining, while the four spacious bedrooms offer flexibility for families, guests, or a home office. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and expressways, this home is ready for its next chapter.

  3. 2026-03-30
    historical Active Under Contract
    Show marketing remark (451 chars)

    Welcome home to this 4-bedroom colonial in Warren, where space and comfort come together. Featuring updated flooring, this home offers a clean, refreshed feel from the moment you walk in. The layout provides plenty of room for both relaxing and entertaining, while the four spacious bedrooms offer flexibility for families, guests, or a home office. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and expressways, this home is ready for its next chapter.

  4. 2026-03-30
    historical Accepting Backup Offers 451-char remark
    Show marketing remark (451 chars)

    Welcome home to this 4-bedroom colonial in Warren, where space and comfort come together. Featuring updated flooring, this home offers a clean, refreshed feel from the moment you walk in. The layout provides plenty of room for both relaxing and entertaining, while the four spacious bedrooms offer flexibility for families, guests, or a home office. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and expressways, this home is ready for its next chapter.

  5. 2026-03-27
    listed $135,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (451 chars)

    Welcome home to this 4-bedroom colonial in Warren, where space and comfort come together. Featuring updated flooring, this home offers a clean, refreshed feel from the moment you walk in. The layout provides plenty of room for both relaxing and entertaining, while the four spacious bedrooms offer flexibility for families, guests, or a home office. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and expressways, this home is ready for its next chapter.

  6. 2026-03-27
    listed $135,000 Active 451-char remark
    Show marketing remark (451 chars)

    Welcome home to this 4-bedroom colonial in Warren, where space and comfort come together. Featuring updated flooring, this home offers a clean, refreshed feel from the moment you walk in. The layout provides plenty of room for both relaxing and entertaining, while the four spacious bedrooms offer flexibility for families, guests, or a home office. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and expressways, this home is ready for its next chapter.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$915 · $76/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,497 · $125/mo
Expected delta
+$582/yr (+$49/mo · 63.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 10% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,704
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$915
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,416
− Management
−$1,416
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable income
$1,792
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$430
After-tax cash flow
$3,471/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Van Dyke Public Schools
NCES district ID
2634680
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
19% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$33,231
Composite
10.46/100
National rank
#9784
State rank
#512 of 540 in MI

Livability — Warren

Score
74/100
State rank
#171
US rank
#4491

Category grades

Amenities D Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Warren, MI
County
Macomb County · 638,552 people
City population
114,937
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
31,853
Household income
$52,366
Rent vs Own
43.4% rent · 56.6% own
Severe rent burden
1754.0

Population outlook (Macomb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
925,296 people
By 2030
948,226 · +2.5%
By 2040
983,961 · +6.3%
By 2050
1,010,200 · +9.2%
By 2075
1,076,222 · +16.3%
By 2100
1,077,065 · +16.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
White 53% Black 31% Asian 7% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 11% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 3% Other Indo-European 2% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Macomb

2024 margin
R (+13.7) · D 42.2% · R 55.9% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-22.3pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: -13.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.7 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+11.6 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+8.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -211.46%
Current HPI
154.8325
Rent YoY
▲ 2.94%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-06 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-06 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-30 Contingent REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-30 Contingent MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-27 Listed $135,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-27 Listed $135,000 REALCOMP

Property tax history

-0.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $915 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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