11083 Ford Ave · Warren, MI
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.1%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.7/30.0
- DSCR +8.6/10.0
- ARV discount +6.6/15.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome home to this 4-bedroom colonial in Warren, where space and comfort come together. Featuring updated flooring, this home offers a clean, refreshed feel from the moment you walk in. The layout provides plenty of room for both relaxing and entertaining, while the four spacious bedrooms offer flexibility for families, guests, or a home office. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and expressways, this home is ready for its next chapter.
Key facts
- Clean refreshed feel
- Updated flooring
- Plenty of room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $325 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $135k).
- Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 5.3% in Warren — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#171 in MI, #4,491 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities D, employment D.
- Van Dyke Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #512 of 540 in MI (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 160 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.32%
- DSCR
- 1.46
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $132,300
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11339 Ford Ave | 0.16mi | 4/1.5 | 1,015 (-3%) | 2mo | $130,000 | $128 | 84 |
| 11083 Ford Ave | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 | 1,150 (+10%) | 1mo | $135,000 | $117 | 84 |
| 11245 Hudson Ave | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 996 (-5%) | 2mo | $72,500 | $73 | 72 |
| 8654 Continental Ave | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,008 (-4%) | 1mo | $103,000 | $102 | 68 |
| 8725 Packard Ave | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 925 (-12%) | 2mo | $135,000 | $146 | 63 |
| 8659 Essex Ave | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,034 (-2%) | 2mo | $150,000 | $145 | 61 |
| 8420 Republic Ave | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,015 (-3%) | 2mo | $150,000 | $148 | 61 |
| 8434 Orchard Ave | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,012 (-4%) | 1mo | $125,000 | $124 | 61 |
| 11169 Ocalla Dr | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,064 (+1%) | 2mo | $160,000 | $150 | 52 |
| 11108 Essex Ave | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 946 (-10%) | 0mo | $114,900 | $121 | 51 |
| 8441 Fisher Ave | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 992 (-6%) | 2mo | $125,000 | $126 | 47 |
| 11381 Fisher Ave | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 900 (-14%) | 1mo | $52,000 | $58 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.94% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.97×
- Total profit
- $-1,295
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- 8.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.66×
- Total profit
- $25,027
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48089
- Rents YoY
- 2.9%
- Active inventory
- 160
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,475 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$76 /mo · $915/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$310
- Net cashflow
- $325
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 31 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11076 Hudson Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,395 | $1.49 | 3d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 8693 Paige Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 24d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 8707 Continental Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 5d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 8707 Continental Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 968 | $1,200 | $1.24 | 18d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 8632 Studebaker Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 761 | $1,300 | $1.71 | 3d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 11319 Chalmers Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,500 | $1.54 | 24d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 8509 Paige Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,300 | $1.37 | 24d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 11332 Republic Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1140 | $1,500 | $1.32 | 24d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 8640 Chalmers Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 804 | $1,423 | $1.77 | 24d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 8716 Timken Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,400 | $1.39 | 24d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 8251 Hudson Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 908 | $1,400 | $1.54 | 24d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 11076 Essex Ave Warren, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1072 | $1,400 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 8428 Timken Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 860 | $1,250 | $1.45 | 24d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 11377 Sherman Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 24d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 8125 Timken Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 948 | $1,270 | $1.34 | 5d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 7568 Hudson Ave Unit 1 Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1415 | $1,100 | $0.78 | 5d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 7511 Toepfer Rd Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1032 | $1,199 | $1.16 | 22d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 8242 Jackson Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,198 | $1.43 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 8285 Rivard Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 902 | $1,549 | $1.72 | 24d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 7256 Ready Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,500 | $1.15 | 24d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 7060 Victory Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 945 | $1,450 | $1.53 | 11d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 20290 Annott St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,250 | $0.96 | 17d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 20553 Hamburg St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1074 | $1,300 | $1.21 | 3d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 13050 Couwlier Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,350 | $1.59 | 24d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 22852 Sharrow Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 5d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 12807 Coleen Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,250 | $1.16 | 24d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 12846 Georgiana Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,300 | $1.43 | 24d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 20296 Waltham St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 986 | $1,300 | $1.32 | 17d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 20091 Barlow St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $1,300 | $1.40 | 17d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 20042 Rogge St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1232 | $1,394 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 25146 Wagner Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 906 | $1,900 | $2.10 | 24d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-04-06status Pending
Show marketing remark (451 chars)
Welcome home to this 4-bedroom colonial in Warren, where space and comfort come together. Featuring updated flooring, this home offers a clean, refreshed feel from the moment you walk in. The layout provides plenty of room for both relaxing and entertaining, while the four spacious bedrooms offer flexibility for families, guests, or a home office. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and expressways, this home is ready for its next chapter.
-
2026-04-06status Pending 451-char remark
Show marketing remark (451 chars)
Welcome home to this 4-bedroom colonial in Warren, where space and comfort come together. Featuring updated flooring, this home offers a clean, refreshed feel from the moment you walk in. The layout provides plenty of room for both relaxing and entertaining, while the four spacious bedrooms offer flexibility for families, guests, or a home office. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and expressways, this home is ready for its next chapter.
-
2026-03-30historical Active Under Contract
Show marketing remark (451 chars)
Welcome home to this 4-bedroom colonial in Warren, where space and comfort come together. Featuring updated flooring, this home offers a clean, refreshed feel from the moment you walk in. The layout provides plenty of room for both relaxing and entertaining, while the four spacious bedrooms offer flexibility for families, guests, or a home office. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and expressways, this home is ready for its next chapter.
-
2026-03-30historical Accepting Backup Offers 451-char remark
Show marketing remark (451 chars)
Welcome home to this 4-bedroom colonial in Warren, where space and comfort come together. Featuring updated flooring, this home offers a clean, refreshed feel from the moment you walk in. The layout provides plenty of room for both relaxing and entertaining, while the four spacious bedrooms offer flexibility for families, guests, or a home office. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and expressways, this home is ready for its next chapter.
-
2026-03-27$135,000 Active
Show marketing remark (451 chars)
Welcome home to this 4-bedroom colonial in Warren, where space and comfort come together. Featuring updated flooring, this home offers a clean, refreshed feel from the moment you walk in. The layout provides plenty of room for both relaxing and entertaining, while the four spacious bedrooms offer flexibility for families, guests, or a home office. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and expressways, this home is ready for its next chapter.
-
2026-03-27$135,000 Active 451-char remark
Show marketing remark (451 chars)
Welcome home to this 4-bedroom colonial in Warren, where space and comfort come together. Featuring updated flooring, this home offers a clean, refreshed feel from the moment you walk in. The layout provides plenty of room for both relaxing and entertaining, while the four spacious bedrooms offer flexibility for families, guests, or a home office. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and expressways, this home is ready for its next chapter.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $915 · $76/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,497 · $125/mo
- Expected delta
- +$582/yr (+$49/mo · 63.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 10% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,704
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$915
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,416
- − Management
- −$1,416
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable income
- $1,792
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$430
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,471/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Van Dyke Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2634680
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 19% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,231
- Composite
- 10.46/100
- National rank
- #9784
- State rank
- #512 of 540 in MI
Livability — Warren
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #171
- US rank
- #4491
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Warren, MI
- County
- Macomb County · 638,552 people
- City population
- 114,937
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,853
- Household income
- $52,366
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1754.0
Population outlook (Macomb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 925,296 people
- By 2030
- 948,226 · +2.5%
- By 2040
- 983,961 · +6.3%
- By 2050
- 1,010,200 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 1,076,222 · +16.3%
- By 2100
- 1,077,065 · +16.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 53% Black 31% Asian 7% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 11% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 3% Other Indo-European 2% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Macomb
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.7) · D 42.2% · R 55.9% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.3pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: -13.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.7 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+11.6 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+8.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -211.46%
- Current HPI
- 154.8325
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-06 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-06 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-30 Contingent — REALCOMP
- 2026-03-30 Contingent — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-27 Listed $135,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-27 Listed $135,000 REALCOMP
Property tax history
-0.6%/yrLatest (2025): $915 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…