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1412 Pennsylvania
D+ Composite 49.29
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • Appreciation +8.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.7/10.0

$25,000

1412 Pennsylvania · Hartshorne, OK 74547
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,164 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 69 Days on market
Built 1943 10,725 sqft lot ↓ 17% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Fixer upper home located on Pennsylvania Ave. This home is located on a nice lot. House would make a great investment property.

Key facts

  • 0.25 acre lot
  • Built 1943
  • Listed 69 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Security: No safety shelter
  • Utilities: Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story; Faces north; Crawlspace foundation
  • Construction: Brick and wood-frame construction; Asphalt/fiberglass roof; Built per public records
  • Exterior features: Front porch

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: Laminate counters; Other interior features

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $25k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $660 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $25k).
  • Recommended offer: $24k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#391 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
  • Hartshorne (town): math 6% / reading 9% proficiency, ranked #257 of 270 in OK (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 46 units permitted in Pittsburg County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($173 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (6.3% local appreciation)).
  • Pittsburg County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (6.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($24k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1943 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $23,500 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1943 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.18%
Cap rate
37.99%
Cash-on-cash
113.19%
DSCR
6.04
GRM
2.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$76,824
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1424 Lehigh Ave 0.08mi 3/1.0 1,105 (-5%) 21mo $92,000 $83 70
1038 Lehigh Ave 0.41mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,148 (-1%) 4mo $45,000 $39 70
1509 Pawnee Ave 0.16mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,088 (-6%) 3mo $112,000 $103 70
1013 Carbon 0.50mi 3/1.0 1,103 (-5%) 10mo $45,000 $41 60
966 N 12th St 0.67mi 3/1.0 1,280 (+10%) 22mo $85,000 $66 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

6.29% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
8.10×
Total profit
$49,720
Equity at exit
$16,181
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
17.18×
Total profit
$113,236
Equity at exit
$29,754

Cash invested: $7,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 74547

Home prices YoY
2.6%
Active inventory
23
Price-to-rent
2.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,046 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$131
Tax from tax record
$24 /mo · $292/yr
Insurance
$10
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$220
Net cashflow
$660

Break-even live

Break-even rent $210
Max offer price $25,000
Occupancy floor 32%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $674 -5% $667 +0% $660 +5% $653 +10% $646
Rent -10% $578 -5% $619 +0% $660 +5% $702 +10% $743
Rate -1.0pp $673 -0.5pp $667 base $660 +0.5pp $654 +1.0pp $647

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$6,250
Closing costs
$750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-05-06
    status Pending
  2. 2026-02-25
    listed $25,000 Active
  3. 2026-02-24
    historical
  4. 2026-02-19
    price $25,000
  5. 2025-08-26
    listed $30,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$292 · $24/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$292 · $24/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,549
− Mortgage interest
−$1,400
− Property taxes
−$292
− Insurance
−$125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,004
− Management
−$1,004
− Depreciation
−$727
Taxable income
$7,996
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,919
After-tax cash flow
$6,004/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hartshorne
NCES district ID
4013920
Math proficiency
6% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
9% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$43,191
Composite
6.89/100
National rank
#9979
State rank
#257 of 270 in OK

Livability — Hartshorne

Score
59/100
State rank
#391
US rank
#20117

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hartshorne, OK
Population (ZIP)
3,014

Population outlook (Pittsburg County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
42,795 people
By 2030
41,901 · -2.1%
By 2040
40,680 · -4.9%
By 2050
39,952 · -6.6%
By 2075
38,858 · -9.2%
By 2100
36,031 · -15.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Two or more races 28% Native American 9% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 1% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pittsburg

2024 margin
Solid R (+59.0) · D 19.8% · R 78.8% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-22.4pp toward R · 2008: -36.6pp · 2024: -59.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+59.0 2020: R+56.3 2016: R+52.4 2012: R+38.3 2008: R+36.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 6.29%
Current HPI
244.0253
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-16.7% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Pending MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-02-25 Listed $25,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-02-24 Listing Removed MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-02-19 Price Changed $25,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-08-26 Listed $30,000 MLS Technology, Inc.

Property tax history

+3.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $292 · -5.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…