4480 Old Fairburn Rd · South Fulton, GA 30349

$200,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 828 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 645 Days on market

Built 1960 0.64 ac lot $242/sqft · 22% below area Est $256k · 22% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +22.5/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +7.2/10.0
• 1% rule +5.5/10.0
• Schools +4.5/10.0
• Rent growth +2.7/5.0
• Livability +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks MLS

Location, Location, Location. Beautiful space to build. Buyers bring your contractors. Tear down or remodel. This scenic lot is filled with endless possibilities.

Key facts

• Scenic lot
• 0.64 acre lot
• Built 1960

Tags

• SCENIC LOT
• ENDLESS POSSIBILITIES

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $338 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
• Recommended offer: $176k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 4.6% in South Fulton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
• Fulton County (suburban): math 49% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #12 of 174 in GA (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: Rents flat; 651 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 11,565 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (8,159 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Fulton County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 0.9% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 645 days — a 12% lower offer ($176k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $176,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 645 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.05% ✓
• Cap rate: 8.32%
• Cash-on-cash: 7.25%
• DSCR: 1.32
• GRM: 8.0

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $255,711
• List price: $200,000
• Delta: -21.79%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 2 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 0.95% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 28.8%
• Equity multiple: 3.25×
• Total profit: $126,237
• Equity at exit: $180,176

10-year hold

• IRR: 24.4%
• Equity multiple: 7.19×
• Total profit: $346,899
• Equity at exit: $388,556

Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Georgia: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 30349

• Home prices YoY: 4.6%
• Rents YoY: 0.9%
• Active inventory: 651
• Price-to-rent: 8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,092 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,049
• Tax from tax record: −$182 /mo · $2,185/yr
• Insurance: −$83
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$439
• Net cashflow: $338

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,664

Max offer price $200,000

Occupancy floor 79%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $50,000
• Closing costs: $6,000
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 2 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
4951 Larkspur Ln Atlanta, GA	2.0	1.0	1000	$1,600	$1.60	43d	1	1.07mi
4660 Derrick Rd Atlanta, GA	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1029	$2,724	$2.65	1d	32	1.42mi

Listing history 13 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $200,000 Active 645 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $200,000 Active 644 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $200,000 Active 643 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $200,000 Active 642 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $200,000 Active 640 DOM
6. 2026-06-09
   days on market $200,000 Active 636 DOM
7. 2026-06-08
   days on market $200,000 Active 635 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   statusdays on market $200,000 Active 634 DOM
9. 2026-06-04
   pricestatusdays on market $200,000 Price Change 631 DOM
10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $220,000 Active 630 DOM
11. 2025-09-06
    status Back On Market 162-char remark

    Show marketing remark (162 chars)

    Location, Location, Location. Beautiful space to build. Buyers bring your contractors. Tear down or remodel. This scenic lot is filled with endless possibilities.

12. 2025-08-31
    historical 162-char remark

    Show marketing remark (162 chars)

    Location, Location, Location. Beautiful space to build. Buyers bring your contractors. Tear down or remodel. This scenic lot is filled with endless possibilities.

13. 2024-08-29
    listed $220,000 New 162-char remark

    Show marketing remark (162 chars)

    Location, Location, Location. Beautiful space to build. Buyers bring your contractors. Tear down or remodel. This scenic lot is filled with endless possibilities.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $2,185 · $182/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,185 · $182/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 25% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $25,103
• − Mortgage interest: −$11,203
• − Property taxes: −$2,185
• − Insurance: −$1,000
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,008
• − Management: −$2,008
• − Depreciation: −$5,818
• Taxable income: $880
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$211
• After-tax cash flow: $3,849/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Fulton County
• NCES district ID: 1302280
• Math proficiency: 49% ▼ -2.00%
• Reading proficiency: 53% ▬ 0.00%
• Median HH income: $68,035
• Composite: 45.33/100
• National rank: #2640
• State rank: #12 of 174 in GA

Livability — South Fulton

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

• Census place: South Fulton, GA
• County: Fulton County · 1,094,430 people
• City population: 127,674
• Metro: Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
• Population (ZIP): 79,872
• Household income: $67,023
• Rent vs Own: 41.2% rent · 58.8% own
• Severe rent burden: 4258.0

Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,203,707 people
• By 2030: 1,299,706 · +8.0%
• By 2040: 1,488,256 · +23.6%
• By 2050: 1,664,580 · +38.3%
• By 2075: 2,036,072 · +69.2%
• By 2100: 2,222,402 · +84.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Black (89%)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 89% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% White 3%
• Foreign-born: 9% · Canada
• Languages at home: 88% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Fulton

• 2024 margin: Solid D (+44.9) · D 71.9% · R 27.0% · Other 1.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: +9.8pp toward D · 2008: 35.0pp · 2024: 44.9pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+44.9 2020: D+46.4 2016: D+42.1 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+35.0

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 18.01%
• Current HPI: 407.99
• Rent YoY: ▲ 0.95%
• Metro: Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.66%
• F500 in state: 28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Paper / Packaging	2	$29B
▸Retail	1	$160B
▸Transportation / Logistics	1	$91B
▸Airlines	1	$62B
▸Consumer Goods	1	$47B
▸Utilities	1	$25B

Price history

3 events — show timeline

• 2025-09-06 Relisted — GAMLS
• 2025-08-31 Listing Removed — GAMLS
• 2024-08-29 Listed $220,000 GAMLS

Property tax history

+3.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,185 · -5.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.