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50 W Caribbean 🌊 Lakefront
B+ Composite 78.21
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$91,900

50 W Caribbean · Port St. Lucie, FL 34952
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,640 sqft · Manufactured · 8 Days on market
Built 1979 Good condition Est $111k · 17% under · waterfront

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Beautifully remodeled, this stunning 2-bedroom, 2-bath home is nestled in a vibrant 55+ community. The modernized kitchen shines with new cabinets, quartz countertops, updated appliances, and a chic sink with a matching faucet. Both bathrooms are adorned with high-end designer fixtures, exuding luxury. Partially furnished, the home includes leather recliners, built-in cabinetry, bookshelves, elegant beds and dressers, spacious walk-in closets, and luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout. The Florida room boasts new window blinds, while the expansive side and back yards invite outdoor enjoyment. A massive storage area eliminates the need for an off-site unit, and the front of the home offers

Key facts

  • Parking
  • Built 1979
  • Listed 8 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Land lease present (monthly)
  • HOA & community: Located in a senior community; Pets allowed with no restrictions

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport (1 covered/carport space, total parking for 1)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected; Phone connected; Cable available; Underground utilities
  • Home design: Manufactured home; One story; Resale condition; Faces north
  • Construction: Metal siding; Built area approximately 1,640 (living area)
  • Exterior features: Waterfront: Yes (no specific waterfront features listed); Shingle roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Linoleum
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Walk-in closet(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $92k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $939 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $92k).
  • Cap rate 18.5% vs local median 3.9% in Port St. Lucie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • St. Lucie (urban): math 40% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #51 of 73 in FL (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Manatee Academy K-8 (math 53% / reading 51%, grade C-, #990 of 2,144 statewide, top 48%, 1,664 students, 65% FRL); Southern Oaks Middle School (math 39% / reading 43%, grade F, #353 of 571 statewide, top 63%, 894 students, 76% FRL); Fort Pierce Central High School (math 15% / reading 45%, grade F, #441 of 667 statewide, top 67%, 3,091 students, 62% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 645 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,868 units permitted in St. Lucie County in 2024 (268 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $635 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Lucie County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.9% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $91,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  4. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  5. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.17%
Cap rate
18.55%
Cash-on-cash
43.77%
DSCR
2.95
GRM
3.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$110,700
Comps found
10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
172 W Carribean 0.55mi 2/2.0 1,650 (+1%) 8mo $9,500 $6 66
110 W Caribbean 0.37mi 2/2.0 1,416 (-14%) 5mo $77,500 $55 56
8522 Leadtree Ct 0.52mi 2/2.0 1,550 (-6%) 15mo $245,000 $158 54
16 Nuevo Leon Rd 0.31mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,500 (-8%) 19mo $69,000 $46 51
29 San Marino Way 0.37mi 2/2.0 1,468 (-10%) 20mo $22,000 $15 48
166 W West Caribbean 0.54mi 2/2.0 1,450 (-12%) 14mo $38,000 $26 44
192 W Caribbean 0.63mi 2/2.0 1,416 (-14%) 6mo $49,000 $35 43
8526 Lidflower Ct 0.50mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,404 (-14%) 6mo $70,900 $50 40
8483 Labelia Ct 0.64mi 2/2.0 1,456 (-11%) 16mo $265,000 $182 38
188 W West Caribbean W 0.62mi 2/2.0 1,400 (-15%) 17mo $106,000 $76 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.92% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
39.5%
Equity multiple
2.66×
Total profit
$42,774
Equity at exit
$13,703
10-year hold
IRR
45.3%
Equity multiple
5.11×
Total profit
$105,742
Equity at exit
$7,946

Cash invested: $25,732 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34952

Home prices YoY
-29.6%
Rents YoY
1.9%
Active inventory
645
Price-to-rent
3.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,992 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$482
Tax est. 1.5%
$115 /mo · $1,378/yr
Insurance
$38
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$418
Net cashflow
$939

Break-even live

Break-even rent $804
Max offer price $91,900
Occupancy floor 48%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,002 -5% $970 +0% $939 +5% $907 +10% $875
Rent -10% $781 -5% $860 +0% $939 +5% $1,017 +10% $1,096
Rate -1.0pp $985 -0.5pp $962 base $939 +0.5pp $915 +1.0pp $891

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,975
Closing costs
$2,757
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 17 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
71 W Caribbean Port St. Lucie, FL 2.0 2.0 1417 $1,700 $1.20 25d 1 0.15mi
1811 SE Walton Lakes Dr Port Saint Lucie, FL 2.0 1.0–2.0 1117 $1,926 $1.72 16d 6 0.17mi
2082 SE Wild Meadow Cir Port Saint Lucie, FL 2.0 2.0 1524 $1,850 $1.21 25d 1 0.32mi
2058 SE Wild Meadow Cir #101 Port St Lucie, FL 2.0 2.5 1425 $2,200 $1.54 16d 1 0.35mi
2130 SE Wild Meadow Cir Port Saint Lucie, FL 2.0 2.0 1440 $1,695 $1.18 16d 1 0.43mi
2183 SE Wild Meadow Cir Port Saint Lucie, FL 2.0 2.0 1550 $1,900 $1.23 16d 1 0.44mi
1810 SE Pinewood Trl Port Saint Lucie, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1013 $2,055 $2.03 16d 7 0.48mi
2209 SE East Dunbrooke Cir Port Saint Lucie, FL 3.0 2.0 1212 $2,950 $2.43 16d 1 0.67mi
3784 Sapodilla Ct Port Saint Lucie, FL 2.0 2.0 1121 $2,300 $2.05 25d 1 0.74mi
1500 SE Tiffany Club Pl Port Saint Lucie, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 895 $1,922 $2.15 16d 7 0.74mi
1900 Bella Vista Way Port Saint Lucie, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 995 $1,764 $1.77 16d 15 0.95mi
1618 SE Elkhart Ter Port Saint Lucie, FL 3.0 2.0 1176 $2,200 $1.87 25d 1 1.07mi
2051 SE Hillmoor Dr Port Saint Lucie, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1014 $2,539 $2.50 25d 15 1.25mi
1900 SE Hillmoor Dr Port Saint Lucie, FL 2.0–3.0 2.0–2.5 1182 $1,799 $1.52 16d 14 1.28mi
9905 S US Highway 1 Port Saint Lucie, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 966 $2,239 $2.32 16d 15 1.31mi
2061 SE Glen Ridge Dr Port Saint Lucie, FL 2.0 2.5 1350 $1,925 $1.43 25d 1 1.33mi
301 SE Castle Ct Port St. Lucie, FL 2.0 2.5 1688 $2,900 $1.72 25d 1 1.34mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $91,900 Active 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $91,900 Active 5 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $91,900 Active 4 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $91,900 Active 3 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $91,900 Active 2 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    remarks 699-char remark
  7. 2026-06-14
    listed $91,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,904
− Mortgage interest
−$5,148
− Property taxes
−$1,378
− Insurance
−$460
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,912
− Management
−$1,912
− Depreciation
−$2,673
Taxable income
$10,420
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,501
After-tax cash flow
$8,762/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This beautifully remodeled 2-bedroom, 2-bath home in a vibrant 55+ community is move-in ready with good condition and minimal repairs needed.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both painting — fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both landscaping — improved landscaping can increase curb appeal and property value
  • Both window treatments — new window treatments can improve energy efficiency and aesthetics
  • Resale kitchen appliances — upgrading appliances can attract more buyers
  • Resale bathroom fixtures — upgrading fixtures can attract more buyers

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both painting — fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both landscaping — improved landscaping can increase curb appeal and property value
  • Both window treatments — new window treatments can improve energy efficiency and aesthetics
  • Resale kitchen appliances — upgrading appliances can attract more buyers
  • Resale bathroom fixtures — upgrading fixtures can attract more buyers

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Lucie
NCES district ID
1201770
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$44,737
Composite
37.28/100
National rank
#4449
State rank
#51 of 73 in FL

Livability — Port St. Lucie

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Port St. Lucie, FL
County
Saint Lucie County · 337,150 people
City population
221,051
Metro
Port St. Lucie, FL
Population (ZIP)
42,655
Household income
$61,628
Rent vs Own
25.8% rent · 74.2% own
Severe rent burden
1759.0

Population outlook (St. Lucie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
338,016 people
By 2030
355,687 · +5.2%
By 2040
385,521 · +14.1%
By 2050
406,106 · +20.1%
By 2075
441,054 · +30.5%
By 2100
436,885 · +29.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 14% Black 10% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 2% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
76% English-only · Spanish 16% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Tagalog/Filipino 2%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Lucie

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.1) · D 45.1% · R 54.2%
2008→2024 swing
-21.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.1pp · 2024: -9.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.1 2020: R+1.6 2016: R+2.5 2012: D+7.9 2008: D+12.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -155.80%
Current HPI
371.0573
Rent YoY
▲ 1.92%
Metro
Port St. Lucie, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-13 Listed $91,900 Beaches MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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