1206 St John St · Monroe, LA 71202

$49,900

4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,343 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 20 Days on market

Built 1920 0.25 ac lot ↓ 47% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.3/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.1/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

4 Bedroom, 2 Bath, two story brick home with over 2300 heated square feet in Laytons Park Addition. This home was built in the 1900's. With some TLC, this could be a gem.

Key facts

• 0.25 acre lot
• Built 1920
• Listed 20 days

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Subdivision: LAYTON PARK ADN; Directions: From Desiard St. south on South Grand St., left on Morris St., right on St. John St.
• HOA & community: No association amenities

Exterior

• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available and connected
• Home design: Single-family residence; Site-built property; Two-story
• Construction: Brick veneer exterior; Asphalt roof; Crawl space foundation; Built on two levels
• Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Wood fencing; Outbuilding

Interior

• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central heating; No cooling
• Interior features: Wood window frames; Gas water heater; Fireplace (1)

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $728 ($9k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
• Recommended offer: $49k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 23.8% vs local median 5.7% in Monroe — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 66/100 on livability (#128 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
• City Of Monroe School District (urban): math 21% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #60 of 98 in LA (top 61%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 69 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 345 units permitted in Ouachita Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($49k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 78% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $49,151 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.71% ✓
• Cap rate: 23.79%
• Cash-on-cash: 62.50%
• DSCR: 3.78
• GRM: 3.1

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $292,875
• Comps found: 1

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
3405 Westminister Ave	0.75mi	3/3.0 (-1)	1,994 (-15%)	9mo	$250,000	$125	28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 61.5%
• Equity multiple: 3.74×
• Total profit: $38,276
• Equity at exit: $7,440

10-year hold

• IRR: 66.0%
• Equity multiple: 7.66×
• Total profit: $93,075
• Equity at exit: $4,314

Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Louisiana: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 71202

• Active inventory: 69
• Price-to-rent: 3.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,350 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$262
• Tax from tax record: −$56 /mo · $676/yr
• Insurance: −$21
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$284
• Net cashflow: $728

Break-even live

Break-even rent $429

Max offer price $49,900

Occupancy floor 41%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $12,475
• Closing costs: $1,497
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
212 Ludwig Ave West Monroe, LA	3.0	2.0	2600	$1,350	$0.52	21d	1	0.82mi

Listing history 4 events

1. 2026-05-05
   status Pending
2. 2026-04-14
   listed $49,900 Active
3. 2020-11-02
   soldstatus $94,000
4. 1994-07-01
   soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $676 · $56/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $676 · $56/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 7/10 Severe 78% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $16,200
• − Mortgage interest: −$2,795
• − Property taxes: −$676
• − Insurance: −$250
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,296
• − Management: −$1,296
• − Depreciation: −$1,452
• Taxable income: $8,435
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,024
• After-tax cash flow: $6,707/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: City Of Monroe School District
• NCES district ID: 2201080
• Math proficiency: 21% ▼ -36.00%
• Reading proficiency: 31% ▼ -34.00%
• Median HH income: $28,751
• Composite: 20.82/100
• National rank: #8505
• State rank: #60 of 98 in LA

Livability — Monroe

• Score: 66/100
• State rank: #128
• US rank: #11948

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B- Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Monroe, LA
• City population: 60,136
• Population (ZIP): 26,791

Population outlook (Ouachita County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 163,370 people
• By 2030: 165,520 · +1.3%
• By 2040: 167,652 · +2.6%
• By 2050: 166,699 · +2.0%
• By 2075: 156,348 · -4.3%
• By 2100: 134,102 · -17.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Black (84%)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 84% White 11% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 1% · Canada
• Languages at home: 97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Ouachita

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+27.9) · D 35.5% · R 63.3% · Other 1.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -2.7pp toward R · 2008: -25.2pp · 2024: -27.9pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+27.9 2020: R+23.6 2016: R+25.4 2012: R+20.9 2008: R+25.2

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -66.58%
• Current HPI: 82.9973
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.29%
• F500 in state: 10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Telecommunications	2	$23B
▸Utilities	1	$12B
▸Wholesale / Distribution	1	$5B
▸Advertising	1	$2B

Price history

-46.9% since first listed

4 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-05 Pending — NELABOR
• 2026-04-14 Listed $49,900 NELABOR
• 2020-11-02 Sold (Public Records) $94,000 Public Records
• 1994-07-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

-0.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $676 · -0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.