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207-209 Lemon St Duplex
C+ Composite 64.35
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$275,000

207-209 Lemon St · Stowe, PA 19464
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,596 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 63 Days on market
Built 1950 4,950 sqft lot $172/sqft · 8% below area Est $298k · 8% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Nice two unit in Stowe. Two one bedroom first floor units in desirable Stowe area. Located in Pottsgrove School District this is a nice property to add to your portfolio. Off-street parking for both units. Gas heat & central air (mini-splits). Both units are fully occupied. All dimensions of lots and room sizes are estimated and should be verified by consumer/buyer for accuracy.

Key facts

  • 4,950 sq ft lot
  • Built 1950
  • Listed 62 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 1-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $275k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $599 ($7k/yr) — positive. Per door: $300/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $275k).
  • Recommended offer: $258k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 6.4% in Stowe — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#441 in PA, #4,019 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Pottsgrove SD (suburban): math 29% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #318 of 539 in PA (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 202 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,936 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (530 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,183/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($80k/yr) (locally 1797% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Montgomery County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $77k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($258k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $179k; list at $275k implies a 54% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $258,499 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.16%
Cap rate
8.91%
Cash-on-cash
9.34%
DSCR
1.42
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$298,326
List price
$275,000
Delta
-7.82%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
10 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.93% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.0%
Equity multiple
1.00×
Total profit
$-24
Equity at exit
$41,003
10-year hold
IRR
11.6%
Equity multiple
1.99×
Total profit
$76,266
Equity at exit
$23,777

Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 19464

Rents YoY
4.9%
Active inventory
202
Price-to-rent
14.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,183 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,442
Tax from tax record
$358 /mo · $4,301/yr
Insurance
$115
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$668
Net cashflow
$599

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,424
Max offer price $275,000
Occupancy floor 76%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $3,183

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$68,750
Closing costs
$8,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
19 Beech St Pottstown, PA 2.0 1.0 2000 $1,650 $0.82 43d 1 1.43mi
5 E 2nd St Pottstown, PA 3.0 1.5 1085 $2,000 $1.84 2d 1 1.47mi
48 Chestnut St #2 Pottstown, PA 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,700 $1.55 43d 1 1.48mi
422 Upland St Pottstown, PA 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1082 $1,650 $1.52 1d 5 1.49mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-31
    days on market $275,000 Active 63 DOM
  2. 2026-04-24
    price $275,000 387-char remark
    Show marketing remark (387 chars)

    Nice two unit in Stowe. Two one bedroom first floor units in desirable Stowe area. Located in Pottsgrove School District this is a nice property to add to your portfolio. Off-street parking for both units. Gas heat & central air (mini-splits). Both units are fully occupied. All dimensions of lots and room sizes are estimated and should be verified by consumer/buyer for accuracy.

  3. 2026-03-30
    listed $280,000 Active 387-char remark
    Show marketing remark (387 chars)

    Nice two unit in Stowe. Two one bedroom first floor units in desirable Stowe area. Located in Pottsgrove School District this is a nice property to add to your portfolio. Off-street parking for both units. Gas heat & central air (mini-splits). Both units are fully occupied. All dimensions of lots and room sizes are estimated and should be verified by consumer/buyer for accuracy.

  4. 2026-03-25
    historical $280,000 387-char remark
    Show marketing remark (387 chars)

    Nice two unit in Stowe. Two one bedroom first floor units in desirable Stowe area. Located in Pottsgrove School District this is a nice property to add to your portfolio. Off-street parking for both units. Gas heat & central air (mini-splits). Both units are fully occupied. All dimensions of lots and room sizes are estimated and should be verified by consumer/buyer for accuracy.

  5. 2021-08-27
    soldstatus $179,000
  6. 1971-12-08
    soldstatus $12,750

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,301 · $358/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,323 · $360/mo
Expected delta
+$22/yr (+$2/mo · 0.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 19% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$38,196
− Mortgage interest
−$15,404
− Property taxes
−$4,301
− Insurance
−$1,375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,056
− Management
−$3,056
− Depreciation
−$8,000
Taxable income
$3,005
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$721
After-tax cash flow
$6,473/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pottsgrove SD
NCES district ID
4219650
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$71,814
Composite
36.08/100
National rank
#4763
State rank
#318 of 539 in PA

Livability — Stowe

Score
75/100
State rank
#441
US rank
#4019

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety B User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Stowe, PA
County
Montgomery County · 712,331 people
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
49,101
Household income
$79,787
Rent vs Own
32.9% rent · 67.1% own
Severe rent burden
1797.0

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
856,074 people
By 2030
870,887 · +1.7%
By 2040
891,195 · +4.1%
By 2050
896,417 · +4.7%
By 2075
903,212 · +5.5%
By 2100
843,240 · -1.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Black 15% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Polish 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 4% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.8) · D 60.9% · R 38.1% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+2.0pp toward D · 2008: 20.8pp · 2024: 22.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.8 2020: D+26.3 2016: D+21.1 2012: D+14.3 2008: D+20.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -253.73%
Current HPI
271.9399
Rent YoY
▲ 4.93%
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+2056.9% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Price Changed $275,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-30 Listed $280,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-25 Coming Soon $280,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-08-27 Sold (Public Records) $179,000 Public Records
  • 1971-12-08 Sold (Public Records) $12,750 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.4%/yr

Latest (2026): $4,301 · +8.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…