Duplex
207-209 Lemon St · Stowe, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 19.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.0/30.0
- ARV discount +11.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.2/10.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$275,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Nice two unit in Stowe. Two one bedroom first floor units in desirable Stowe area. Located in Pottsgrove School District this is a nice property to add to your portfolio. Off-street parking for both units. Gas heat & central air (mini-splits). Both units are fully occupied. All dimensions of lots and room sizes are estimated and should be verified by consumer/buyer for accuracy.
Key facts
- 4,950 sq ft lot
- Built 1950
- Listed 62 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 1-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $275k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $599 ($7k/yr) — positive. Per door: $300/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $275k).
- Recommended offer: $258k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 6.4% in Stowe — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#441 in PA, #4,019 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Pottsgrove SD (suburban): math 29% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #318 of 539 in PA (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 202 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,936 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (530 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,183/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($80k/yr) (locally 1797% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $77k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($258k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $179k; list at $275k implies a 54% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.34%
- DSCR
- 1.42
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $298,326
- List price
- $275,000
- Delta
- -7.82%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 10 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.93% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.00×
- Total profit
- $-24
- Equity at exit
- $41,003
- IRR
- 11.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.99×
- Total profit
- $76,266
- Equity at exit
- $23,777
Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 19464
- Rents YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 202
- Price-to-rent
- 14.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,183 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,442
- Tax from tax record
- −$358 /mo · $4,301/yr
- Insurance
- −$115
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$668
- Net cashflow
- $599
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 1 | 1 | $3,184 |
| #1 | 1 | 1 | $1,592 |
| #2 | 1 | 1 | $1,592 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,183 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $68,750
- Closing costs
- $8,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Beech St Pottstown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2000 | $1,650 | $0.82 | 43d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 5 E 2nd St Pottstown, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1085 | $2,000 | $1.84 | 2d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 48 Chestnut St #2 Pottstown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,700 | $1.55 | 43d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 422 Upland St Pottstown, PA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1082 | $1,650 | $1.52 | 1d | 5 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-31days on market $275,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-04-24price $275,000 387-char remark
Show marketing remark (387 chars)
Nice two unit in Stowe. Two one bedroom first floor units in desirable Stowe area. Located in Pottsgrove School District this is a nice property to add to your portfolio. Off-street parking for both units. Gas heat & central air (mini-splits). Both units are fully occupied. All dimensions of lots and room sizes are estimated and should be verified by consumer/buyer for accuracy.
-
2026-03-30$280,000 Active 387-char remark
Show marketing remark (387 chars)
Nice two unit in Stowe. Two one bedroom first floor units in desirable Stowe area. Located in Pottsgrove School District this is a nice property to add to your portfolio. Off-street parking for both units. Gas heat & central air (mini-splits). Both units are fully occupied. All dimensions of lots and room sizes are estimated and should be verified by consumer/buyer for accuracy.
-
2026-03-25historical $280,000 387-char remark
Show marketing remark (387 chars)
Nice two unit in Stowe. Two one bedroom first floor units in desirable Stowe area. Located in Pottsgrove School District this is a nice property to add to your portfolio. Off-street parking for both units. Gas heat & central air (mini-splits). Both units are fully occupied. All dimensions of lots and room sizes are estimated and should be verified by consumer/buyer for accuracy.
-
2021-08-27soldstatus $179,000
-
1971-12-08soldstatus $12,750
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,301 · $358/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,323 · $360/mo
- Expected delta
- +$22/yr (+$2/mo · 0.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 19% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $38,196
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,404
- − Property taxes
- −$4,301
- − Insurance
- −$1,375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,056
- − Management
- −$3,056
- − Depreciation
- −$8,000
- Taxable income
- $3,005
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$721
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,473/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pottsgrove SD
- NCES district ID
- 4219650
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $71,814
- Composite
- 36.08/100
- National rank
- #4763
- State rank
- #318 of 539 in PA
Livability — Stowe
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #441
- US rank
- #4019
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Stowe, PA
- County
- Montgomery County · 712,331 people
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 49,101
- Household income
- $79,787
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1797.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 856,074 people
- By 2030
- 870,887 · +1.7%
- By 2040
- 891,195 · +4.1%
- By 2050
- 896,417 · +4.7%
- By 2075
- 903,212 · +5.5%
- By 2100
- 843,240 · -1.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Black 15% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Polish 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.8) · D 60.9% · R 38.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.0pp toward D · 2008: 20.8pp · 2024: 22.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.8 2020: D+26.3 2016: D+21.1 2012: D+14.3 2008: D+20.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -253.73%
- Current HPI
- 271.9399
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.93%
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+2056.9% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $275,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-30 Listed $280,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-25 Coming Soon $280,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-08-27 Sold (Public Records) $179,000 Public Records
- 1971-12-08 Sold (Public Records) $12,750 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2026): $4,301 · +8.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…