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B- Composite 69.38
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0

$125,500

6908 Barnes Rd · Moss Point, MS 39563
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,176 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 273 Days on market
Built 1950 0.32 ac lot Est $133k · 6% under ↓ 7% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

MOVE IN READY! NOT IN FLOOD ZONE! Great for first time home buyer! Or rental investment. Nice oak hardwood floors through out this 3 BR 1 Bath with extra living area with screened in front porch to enjoy your morning coffee this fall. Nice large yard with beautiful oak trees for plenty of shade.

Key facts

  • Large yard
  • Oak hardwood floors
  • Beautiful oak trees

Tags

OAK HARDWOOD FLOORSSCREENED IN FRONT PORCHLARGE YARDBEAUTIFUL OAK TREES

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Community offers fishing

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway with gravel surface
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Single-family house; One story; Move-in ready
  • Construction: Cement siding; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Architectural shingle roof; Built (year from public records)
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Screened porch; Porch; Cleared lot with few trees and front yard

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free-standing electric oven; Water heater
  • Flooring: Luxury vinyl; Hardwood
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central electric cooling
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Open floorplan; Metal insulated doors; Wood window frames
  • Laundry & utility: Inside laundry in a laundry closet

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $126k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $337 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $126k).
  • Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 6.8% in Moss Point — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#77 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety D+, schools D, amenities F.
  • Moss Point Separate School District (suburban): math 17% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #94 of 130 in MS (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 86 active listings in the ZIP; 516 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($868 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (4.6% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (4.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 273 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $110,440 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 273 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.13%
Cap rate
9.52%
Cash-on-cash
11.51%
DSCR
1.51
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$132,888
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3804 Wembley Ave 0.04mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,148 (-2%) 12mo $129,900 $113 77
4229 Rabby St 0.56mi 3/1.0 1,300 (+10%) 21mo $105,000 $81 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.6% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.9%
Equity multiple
2.35×
Total profit
$47,537
Equity at exit
$68,106
10-year hold
IRR
21.7%
Equity multiple
4.60×
Total profit
$126,514
Equity at exit
$115,122

Cash invested: $35,140 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39563

Home prices YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
86
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,422 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$658
Tax from tax record
$76 /mo · $912/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$299
Net cashflow
$337

Break-even live

Break-even rent $995
Max offer price $125,500
Occupancy floor 71%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,375
Closing costs
$3,765
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    days on market $125,500 Active 273 DOM
  2. 2026-06-14
    days on market $125,500 Active 271 DOM
  3. 2026-06-13
    days on market $125,500 Active 270 DOM
  4. 2026-06-10
    days on market $125,500 Active 268 DOM
  5. 2026-06-09
    days on market $125,500 Active 267 DOM
  6. 2026-06-08
    days on market $125,500 Active 266 DOM
  7. 2026-06-07
    days on market $125,500 Active 265 DOM
  8. 2026-06-02
    days on market $125,500 Active 260 DOM
  9. 2026-06-01
    days on market $125,500 Active 259 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $125,500 Active 258 DOM
  11. 2026-05-30
    days on market $125,500 Active 257 DOM
  12. 2026-05-10
    price $125,500
  13. 2025-10-09
    price $130,500
  14. 2025-09-15
    listed $135,500 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$912 · $76/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$991 · $83/mo
Expected delta
+$79/yr (+$7/mo · 8.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,067
− Mortgage interest
−$7,030
− Property taxes
−$912
− Insurance
−$628
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,365
− Management
−$1,365
− Depreciation
−$3,651
Taxable income
$2,116
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$508
After-tax cash flow
$3,538/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Moss Point Separate School District
NCES district ID
2803000
Math proficiency
17% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
22% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$38,041
Composite
16.34/100
National rank
#9205
State rank
#94 of 130 in MS

Livability — Moss Point

Score
67/100
State rank
#77
US rank
#10398

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Moss Point, MS
City population
12,023
Population (ZIP)
12,023

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
146,926 people
By 2030
148,442 · +1.0%
By 2040
149,631 · +1.8%
By 2050
148,723 · +1.2%
By 2075
147,845 · +0.6%
By 2100
144,510 · -1.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (74%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 74% White 18% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 0%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.9) · D 29.5% · R 69.4% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-6.4pp toward R · 2008: -33.5pp · 2024: -39.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.9 2020: R+34.6 2016: R+39.9 2012: R+36.1 2008: R+33.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.60%
Current HPI
155.3138
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-7.4% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-10 Price Changed $125,500 MLSU
  • 2025-10-09 Price Changed $130,500 MLSU
  • 2025-09-15 Listed $135,500 MLSU

Property tax history

+13.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $912 · +19.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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