2058 Frankstown Rd · South Fork, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.2/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Schools +5.5/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$104,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Pride in ownership shows everywhere you look, in this well maintained, 3 bedroom, 1 bath, raised ranch, sitting on a . 80 acre lot, in the Richland School District. Some of the homes many features are: parquet hardwood floors, some newer carpeting, a newer furnace, a brand new hot water tank and a 100amp electrical service. The 1st floor has a spacious living room with newer carpeting, custom window treatments and lots of natural light, it also has a separate dining room with a chandelier. The bright and airy kitchen has wood cabinets, tons of counter space and appliances. In addition, the first floor has 3 bedrooms with parquet hardwood floors and closets and a full bath with a large va
Key facts
- Newer furnace
- Spacious living room
- 0.8 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Residential zoning
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage with 1 car space; Off-street paved parking; Garage door opener
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Sewer available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level / single-story; Below-grade finished area
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Block construction
- Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Deck; Porch; Shingle roof; Irregular lot; Publicly maintained road frontage on a city street; Approximately 0.8-acre lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Oven; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Master downstairs
- Flooring: Hardwood; Carpet; Linoleum
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Oil-fired heating
- Interior features: High-speed internet; Master bedroom on the main level; Window coverings; Double-pane windows; Full, partially finished basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry area in basement with utility sink
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $171 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,644 in PA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: crime D, schools F, amenities F.
- Richland SD (suburban): math 57% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #54 of 539 in PA (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 64 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 64 units permitted in Cambria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($44k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $725 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cambria County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.00%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.79×
- Total profit
- $-6,082
- Equity at exit
- $15,641
- IRR
- 4.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.30×
- Total profit
- $8,789
- Equity at exit
- $9,070
Cash invested: $29,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15902
- Home prices YoY
- -28.8%
- Active inventory
- 64
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,120 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$550
- Tax from tax record
- −$120 /mo · $1,439/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$235
- Net cashflow
- $171
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $231 | -5% $201 | +0% $171 | +5% $142 | +10% $112 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $83 | -5% $127 | +0% $171 | +5% $215 | +10% $260 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $224 | -0.5pp $198 | base $171 | +0.5pp $144 | +1.0pp $116 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,225
- Closing costs
- $3,147
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $104,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $104,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $104,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-16remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-16$104,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,439 · $120/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,548 · $129/mo
- Expected delta
- +$109/yr (+$9/mo · 7.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,442
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,876
- − Property taxes
- −$1,439
- − Insurance
- −$524
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,075
- − Management
- −$1,075
- − Depreciation
- −$3,052
- Taxable income
- $401
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$96
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,959/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Richland SD
- NCES district ID
- 4220250
- Math proficiency
- 57% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 72% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,705
- Composite
- 54.72/100
- National rank
- #1322
- State rank
- #54 of 539 in PA
Livability — South Fork
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #1644
- US rank
- #22758
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Cambria County · 30,791 people
- Metro
- Johnstown, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,462
- Household income
- $44,215
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 266.0
Population outlook (Cambria County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 122,754 people
- By 2030
- 115,827 · -5.6%
- By 2040
- 101,309 · -17.5%
- By 2050
- 88,379 · -28.0%
- By 2075
- 65,237 · -46.9%
- By 2100
- 46,909 · -61.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Two or more races 14% Black 8% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Slovak 2% Hungarian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Cambria
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.7) · D 29.8% · R 69.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -40.4pp toward R · 2008: 0.7pp · 2024: -39.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.7 2020: R+37.3 2016: R+37.8 2012: R+17.8 2008: D+0.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -43.86%
- Current HPI
- 108.2198
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Johnstown, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Listed $104,900 CSMLS
Property tax history
+1.6%/yrLatest (2026): $1,439 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…