Duplex
131 York St · Rochester, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Appreciation +3.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- ARV discount +1.3/15.0
$156,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Best money maker around!! 3 family with seperate utilities, fully occupied for 46,900!! $1740 per month!!
Key facts
- Fully renovated
- Ideal location
- New gutters
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $156k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive. Per door: $702/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $156k).
- Recommended offer: $151k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.1% vs local median 9.3% in Rochester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#222 in NY, #3,482 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment F.
- Rochester City School District (urban): math 21% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #589 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.4%/yr); 78 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,143/mo this rent would consume 120% of the median local household income ($31k/yr) (locally 2168% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-2.9%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-2.9% appreciation + 6.4% rent growth), your $44k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($151k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $1; list at $156k implies a 15599900% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1895 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1895 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 38.60%
- DSCR
- 2.72
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $137,006
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 131 York St | 0.00mi | 5/3.0 | 2,246 (0%) | 0mo | $156,000 | $69 | 100 |
| 547 Maple St | 0.19mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 2,248 (+0%) | 4mo | $36,667 | $16 | 79 |
| 554 Campbell St | 0.43mi | 5/2.0 | 2,256 (+0%) | 1mo | $118,000 | $52 | 74 |
| 149 Warwick Ave | 0.57mi | 5/3.0 | 2,293 (+2%) | 7mo | $110,000 | $48 | 64 |
| 808 Smith St | 0.56mi | 5/2.0 | 2,320 (+3%) | 7mo | $49,000 | $21 | 59 |
| 286 Kenwood Ave | 0.66mi | 5/2.0 | 2,202 (-2%) | 10mo | $160,000 | $73 | 54 |
| 52 Madison St | 0.54mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,311 (+3%) | 11mo | $140,000 | $61 | 52 |
| 22 Gardiner Ave | 0.69mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,096 (-7%) | 4mo | $100,000 | $48 | 44 |
| 410 Genesee St | 0.75mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 2,170 (-3%) | 8mo | $152,000 | $70 | 43 |
| 290 Kenwood Ave | 0.66mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 2,370 (+6%) | 11mo | $160,000 | $68 | 42 |
| 231 Kenwood Ave | 0.59mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,439 (+9%) | 14mo | $92,000 | $38 | 38 |
| 98 Lime St | 0.64mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,978 (-12%) | 10mo | $125,000 | $63 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-2.93% appreciation · 6.37% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 38.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.73×
- Total profit
- $75,712
- Equity at exit
- $23,737
- IRR
- 46.7%
- Equity multiple
- 6.27×
- Total profit
- $230,175
- Equity at exit
- $14,309
Cash invested: $43,680 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14611
- Home prices YoY
- -1.1%
- Rents YoY
- 6.4%
- Active inventory
- 78
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,143 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$818
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$195 /mo · $2,340/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$660
- Net cashflow
- $1,405
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1.5 | $3,142 |
| #1 | 2 | 1.5 | $1,571 |
| #2 | 2 | 1.5 | $1,571 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,143 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,000
- Closing costs
- $4,680
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 649 Jay St Rochester, NY | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2144 | $2,000 | $0.93 | 3d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 48 Thorndale Ter Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1700 | $1,400 | $0.82 | 14d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 161 Fillmore St Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1612 | $1,400 | $0.87 | 14d | 1 | 0.76mi |
Listing history 29 events
-
2025-12-23status Pending
-
2025-11-19$156,000 Active
-
2023-02-15soldstatus $1
-
2017-02-28soldstatus $40,000 Closed Sale or Rented 105-char remark
Show marketing remark (105 chars)
Best money maker around!! 3 family with seperate utilities, fully occupied for 46,900!! $1740 per month!!
-
2017-02-14soldstatus $40,000
-
2016-12-27status Pending Sale 105-char remark
Show marketing remark (105 chars)
Best money maker around!! 3 family with seperate utilities, fully occupied for 46,900!! $1740 per month!!
-
2016-11-16price $43,900 105-char remark
Show marketing remark (105 chars)
Best money maker around!! 3 family with seperate utilities, fully occupied for 46,900!! $1740 per month!!
-
2016-10-20price $44,900 105-char remark
Show marketing remark (105 chars)
Best money maker around!! 3 family with seperate utilities, fully occupied for 46,900!! $1740 per month!!
-
2016-08-22$46,900 Active 105-char remark
Show marketing remark (105 chars)
Best money maker around!! 3 family with seperate utilities, fully occupied for 46,900!! $1740 per month!!
-
2016-05-13price $44,900
-
2016-05-09soldstatus $24,000 Closed Sale or Rented
-
2016-05-02price $47,900
-
2016-04-21price $49,900
-
2016-03-30$44,900
-
2016-02-15historical
-
2015-11-16$53,000 Active
-
2015-10-26price $53,000
-
2015-10-06price $55,000
-
2015-08-13$53,000
-
2015-07-16historical
-
2015-06-04price $60,900
-
2015-06-03$65,000 Active
-
2015-06-03historical
-
2015-05-18price $60,900
-
2015-05-13$63,000 Active
-
2014-07-31soldstatus $6,000
-
2009-10-21soldstatus $30,000
-
1996-07-19soldstatus $40,000
-
1995-05-04soldstatus $51,040
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $37,716
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,738
- − Property taxes
- −$2,340
- − Insurance
- −$780
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,017
- − Management
- −$3,017
- − Depreciation
- −$4,538
- Taxable income
- $15,285
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,668
- After-tax cash flow
- $13,190/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rochester City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3624750
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,923
- Composite
- 18.98/100
- National rank
- #8850
- State rank
- #589 of 590 in NY
Livability — Rochester
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #222
- US rank
- #3482
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rochester, NY
- County
- Monroe County · 674,131 people
- City population
- 432,803
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,145
- Household income
- $31,376
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2168.0
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 759,460 people
- By 2030
- 757,154 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 740,644 · -2.5%
- By 2050
- 714,443 · -5.9%
- By 2075
- 645,883 · -15.0%
- By 2100
- 547,084 · -28.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 55% White 22% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 13% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 14% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 12% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -2.93%
- Current HPI
- 262.1549
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.37%
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
+205.6% since first listed29 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-23 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2025-11-19 Listed $156,000 UNYREIS
- 2023-02-15 Sold (Public Records) $1 Public Records
- 2017-02-28 Sold (MLS) $40,000 UNYREIS
- 2017-02-14 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
- 2016-12-27 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2016-11-16 Price Changed $43,900 UNYREIS
- 2016-10-20 Price Changed $44,900 UNYREIS
- 2016-08-22 Listed $46,900 UNYREIS
- 2016-05-13 Price Changed $44,900 WNYREIS
- 2016-05-09 Sold (MLS) $24,000 UNYREIS
- 2016-05-02 Price Changed $47,900 WNYREIS
- 2016-04-21 Price Changed $49,900 WNYREIS
- 2016-03-30 Listed $44,900 UNYREIS
- 2016-02-15 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2015-11-16 Listed $53,000 UNYREIS
- 2015-10-26 Price Changed $53,000 WNYREIS
- 2015-10-06 Price Changed $55,000 WNYREIS
- 2015-08-13 Listed $53,000 UNYREIS
- 2015-07-16 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2015-06-04 Price Changed $60,900 UNYREIS
- 2015-06-03 Listed $65,000 UNYREIS
- 2015-06-03 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2015-05-18 Price Changed $60,900 UNYREIS
- 2015-05-13 Listed $63,000 UNYREIS
- 2014-07-31 Sold (Public Records) $6,000 Public Records
- 2009-10-21 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
- 1996-07-19 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
- 1995-05-04 Sold (Public Records) $51,040 Public Records
Property tax history
-14.8%/yrLatest (2025): $87 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…