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21E Yorkshire Ct
C Composite 57.32
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +8.4/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$115,000

21E Yorkshire Ct · Leisure Village West, NJ 08759
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 671 sqft · SingleFamily · 50 Days on market
Built 1973 Good condition $171/sqft · 30% below area Est $164k · 30% under $364/mo HOA · 24% of rent ↓ 17% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Come take a look at this 1 Bedroom Eton model in the Leisure Village West, an Active Adult (55+) Golf and Resort Style Community. Nothing to do but move in and go to the pool! Enjoy Golf, Boccie, Boating, Fishing, Swimming Pool, clubs and more. Come to Where the Living is Fun and Easy!!! Leisure Village West is an active 55+ community with loads of activities. 2 clubhouses, 2 pools, tennis, 2 golf courses, a well equipped gym, and many clubs. Only 20 minutes to the Parkway, 1 hour to Newark Airport or AC. half an hour to the Jersey Shore

Key facts

  • Tennis
  • Well equipped gym
  • 2 clubhouses

Tags

ETON MODEL2 CLUBHOUSES2 POOLSTENNIS2 GOLF COURSESWELL EQUIPPED GYM

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: HOA/association fee of $364 monthly

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public sewer
  • Home design: Attached property; Model: Eton; Located in Leisure Vlg W subdivision
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric cooking; Refrigerator; Dishwasher not listed (appliances included: Washer, Dryer, Electric Cooking, Refrigerator)
  • Bedrooms: 1 bedroom
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric baseboard heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Washer, Dryer, Electric cooking, Refrigerator; No fireplace; No basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and Dryer included

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $58 ($702/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
  • Recommended offer: $112k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#261 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Manchester Township School District (suburban): math 25% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #320 of 472 in NJ (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 648 active listings in the ZIP; 4,434 units permitted in Ocean County in 2024 (868 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ocean County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($112k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 24% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 64% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $111,550 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.34%
Cap rate
6.90%
Cash-on-cash
2.18%
DSCR
1.10
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$163,582
List price
$115,000
Delta
-29.70%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
24A Yorkshire Ct 0.03mi 1/1.0 671 (0%) 9mo $149,500 $223 91
21 Yorkshire Ct Unit A 0.02mi 1/1.0 671 (0%) 10mo $130,000 $194 91
21B Yorkshire Ct 0.01mi 1/1.0 671 (0%) 13mo $142,000 $212 89
17C Sterling St 0.20mi 1/1.0 671 (0%) 3mo $170,000 $253 88
55F Edinburgh Ln 0.34mi 1/1.0 671 (0%) 1mo $165,000 $246 84
15 Yorkshire Ct Unit A 0.03mi 1/1.0 671 (0%) 21mo $165,000 $246 81
15C Cambridge Cir 0.32mi 1/1.0 671 (0%) 10mo $132,000 $197 77
55F Edinburgh Ln 0.34mi 1/1.0 671 (0%) 11mo $130,000 $194 75
54B Edinburgh Ln 0.36mi 1/1.0 671 (0%) 14mo $130,000 $194 72
43C Cambridge Cir 0.29mi 1/1.0 702 (+5%) 14mo $160,000 $228 67
440 G Dartmoor Way 0.43mi 1/1.0 738 (+10%) 7mo $165,000 $224 57
441H Dartmoor 0.46mi 1/1.0 738 (+10%) 20mo $189,000 $256 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.6%
Equity multiple
0.54×
Total profit
$-14,664
Equity at exit
$17,147
10-year hold
IRR
-3.2%
Equity multiple
0.78×
Total profit
$-6,971
Equity at exit
$9,943

Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08759

Active inventory
648
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,541 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax est. 1.5%
$144 /mo · $1,725/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$364
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$324
Net cashflow
$58

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,467
Max offer price $115,000
Occupancy floor 91%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,750
Closing costs
$3,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$364 · $4,368/yr
Likely covers
poolgym

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-16
    statusdays on market $115,000 Pending 50 DOM
  2. 2026-06-15
    days on market $115,000 Active 49 DOM
  3. 2026-06-13
    days on market $115,000 Active 47 DOM
  4. 2026-06-10
    price $115,000 Active 43 DOM
  5. 2026-06-09
    days on market $125,000 Active 43 DOM
  6. 2026-06-08
    days on market $125,000 Active 42 DOM
  7. 2026-06-07
    days on market $125,000 Active 41 DOM
  8. 2026-06-04
    days on market $125,000 Active 38 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    days on market $125,000 Active 37 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $125,000 Active 36 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $125,000 Active 35 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $125,000 Active 34 DOM
  13. 2026-05-08
    price $125,000 543-char remark
  14. 2026-04-27
    listed $139,000 Active 543-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 21% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 64% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,489
− Mortgage interest
−$6,442
− Property taxes
−$1,725
− Insurance
−$575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,479
− Management
−$1,479
− HOA
−$4,368
− Depreciation
−$3,345
Taxable loss
−$924
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$222
After-tax cash flow
$923/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This home is in good condition with a good condition score of 80. It is move-in ready and has a good curb appeal. The interior walls and paint could be refreshed to make the home feel new and inviting.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can make a home feel new and inviting
  • Both Replace curtains — Fresh curtains can add a pop of color and style
  • Both Update kitchen backsplash — A new backsplash can modernize the kitchen and add value
  • Both Install smart home devices — Smart home devices can increase convenience and appeal to buyers
  • Both Upgrade lighting fixtures — Modern lighting can enhance the home's ambiance and increase its value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can make a home feel new and inviting
  • Both Replace curtains — Fresh curtains can add a pop of color and style
  • Both Update kitchen backsplash — A new backsplash can modernize the kitchen and add value
  • Both Install smart home devices — Smart home devices can increase convenience and appeal to buyers
  • Both Upgrade lighting fixtures — Modern lighting can enhance the home's ambiance and increase its value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Manchester Township School District
NCES district ID
3409450
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$38,905
Composite
28.8/100
National rank
#6662
State rank
#320 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Leisure Village West

Score
70/100
State rank
#261
US rank
#7714

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C Crime A+ Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Leisure Village West, NJ
Population (ZIP)
34,290

Population outlook (Ocean County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
586,991 people
By 2030
581,403 · -1.0%
By 2040
564,913 · -3.8%
By 2050
538,149 · -8.3%
By 2075
468,845 · -20.1%
By 2100
350,297 · -40.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 4% Two or more races 4% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Scotch-Irish 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, China
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Ocean

2024 margin
Solid R (+36.0) · D 31.4% · R 67.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-17.6pp toward R · 2008: -18.4pp · 2024: -36.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+36.0 2020: R+28.7 2016: R+34.0 2012: R+17.7 2008: R+18.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -347.85%
Current HPI
274.4679
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-17.3% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Pending MOMLS
  • 2026-06-09 Price Changed $115,000 MOMLS
  • 2026-05-08 Price Changed $125,000 MOMLS
  • 2026-04-27 Listed $139,000 MOMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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