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1415 New York Ave
C Composite 59.64
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.4/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.9/10.0
  • DSCR +6.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$100,000

1415 New York Ave · Lansing, MI 48906
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 640 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 111 Days on market
Built 1922 5,662 sqft lot $156/sqft · 112% above area Est $107k · 7% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 1415 New York Ave in Lansing, a thoughtfully updated home ready for its next chapter. A brand-new roof installed in April 2025, along with a new washer added the same year, provides peace of mind and modern convenience. Fresh interior paint, new carpet, and updated flooring throughout most of the home create a bright and welcoming feel from the moment you step inside.

Key facts

  • Updated flooring
  • New washer
  • New roof

Tags

NEW ROOFNEW WASHERUPDATED FLOORING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $145 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $91k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 6.0% in Lansing — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#94 in MI, #2,182 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
  • Lansing Public School District (urban): math 14% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #650 of 760 in MI (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.5%/yr); 138 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 83% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 350 units permitted in Ingham County in 2024 (186 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ingham County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 111 days — a 9% lower offer ($91k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.7% of price; built in 1922 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $91,000 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 111 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1922 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.29%
Cap rate
8.03%
Cash-on-cash
6.20%
DSCR
1.28
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$107,004
List price
$100,000
Delta
-6.55%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1405 Vermont Ave 0.13mi 2/1.0 (-1) 640 (0%) 10mo $105,000 $164 81
1633 Illinois Ave 0.30mi 2/1.0 (-1) 660 (+3%) 1mo $90,000 $136 75
1635 Indiana Ave 0.39mi 2/1.0 (-1) 620 (-3%) 0mo $97,500 $157 71
1312 Otto St 0.37mi 2/2.0 (-1) 652 (+2%) 1mo $113,500 $174 70
1022 Persons Ct 0.22mi 2/1.0 (-1) 714 (+12%) 0mo $66,000 $92 65
1102 Persons Ct 0.22mi 3/1.0 720 (+12%) 5mo $67,500 $94 64
919 Mahlon St 0.48mi 2/1.0 (-1) 678 (+6%) 4mo $96,000 $142 59
614 Woodbury Ave 0.49mi 2/1.0 (-1) 672 (+5%) 7mo $50,000 $74 58
1107 May St 0.49mi 2/1.0 (-1) 704 (+10%) 1mo $89,500 $127 55
930 Mahlon St 0.48mi 2/1.0 (-1) 704 (+10%) 3mo $60,000 $85 53
1922 Polly Ave 0.59mi 3/1.0 572 (-11%) 7mo $80,000 $140 49
321 Douglas Ave 0.74mi 2/1.0 (-1) 720 (+12%) 9mo $114,900 $160 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.0%
Equity multiple
1.00×
Total profit
$-37
Equity at exit
$14,910
10-year hold
IRR
15.0%
Equity multiple
2.55×
Total profit
$43,403
Equity at exit
$8,646

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48906

Rents YoY
10.5%
Active inventory
138
Price-to-rent
6.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,290 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$308 /mo · $3,700/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$271
Net cashflow
$145

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,107
Max offer price $100,000
Occupancy floor 84%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
936 N Fairview Ave Lansing, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 825 $1,245 $1.51 43d 2 0.92mi
1245 Weber Dr Unit 2 Lansing, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $1,250 $1.79 43d 1 1.03mi
1010 N Pine St Unit B Lansing, MI 2.0 1.0 750 $1,100 $1.47 43d 1 1.18mi
427 Seymour Ave Unit 315 Lansing, MI 2.0 1.0 550 $1,300 $2.36 43d 1 1.21mi
427 Seymour Ave Unit 315 Lansing, MI 2.0 1.0 550 $1,300 $2.36 21d 1 1.21mi
504 W Lapeer St Apt A Lansing, MI 2.0 1.0 600 $895 $1.49 43d 1 1.26mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    status $100,000 Pending 111 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $100,000 Active Under Contract 111 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $100,000 Active Under Contract 110 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $100,000 Active Under Contract 109 DOM
  5. 2026-05-30
    days on market $100,000 Active Under Contract 108 DOM
  6. 2026-05-11
    historical Active Under Contract 381-char remark
    Show marketing remark (381 chars)

    Welcome to 1415 New York Ave in Lansing, a thoughtfully updated home ready for its next chapter. A brand-new roof installed in April 2025, along with a new washer added the same year, provides peace of mind and modern convenience. Fresh interior paint, new carpet, and updated flooring throughout most of the home create a bright and welcoming feel from the moment you step inside.

  7. 2026-05-11
    historical Active Under Contract 381-char remark
    Show marketing remark (381 chars)

    Welcome to 1415 New York Ave in Lansing, a thoughtfully updated home ready for its next chapter. A brand-new roof installed in April 2025, along with a new washer added the same year, provides peace of mind and modern convenience. Fresh interior paint, new carpet, and updated flooring throughout most of the home create a bright and welcoming feel from the moment you step inside.

  8. 2026-02-11
    listed $100,000 Active 381-char remark
    Show marketing remark (381 chars)

    Welcome to 1415 New York Ave in Lansing, a thoughtfully updated home ready for its next chapter. A brand-new roof installed in April 2025, along with a new washer added the same year, provides peace of mind and modern convenience. Fresh interior paint, new carpet, and updated flooring throughout most of the home create a bright and welcoming feel from the moment you step inside.

  9. 2026-02-11
    listed $100,000 Active 381-char remark
    Show marketing remark (381 chars)

    Welcome to 1415 New York Ave in Lansing, a thoughtfully updated home ready for its next chapter. A brand-new roof installed in April 2025, along with a new washer added the same year, provides peace of mind and modern convenience. Fresh interior paint, new carpet, and updated flooring throughout most of the home create a bright and welcoming feel from the moment you step inside.

  10. 2026-02-10
    historical
  11. 2025-11-19
    price $104,900
  12. 2025-11-19
    price $104,900
  13. 2025-10-01
    price $109,900
  14. 2025-10-01
    price $109,900
  15. 2025-09-08
    price $114,900
  16. 2025-09-08
    price $114,900
  17. 2025-08-22
    listed $119,900 Active
  18. 2024-08-19
    soldstatus $94,900
  19. 2024-08-06
    soldstatus $94,900
  20. 2024-08-06
    soldstatus $94,900 Closed
  21. 2024-07-02
    listed $94,900
  22. 2024-07-02
    listed $94,900 Active
  23. 2022-02-11
    soldstatus $205,000
  24. 2006-12-29
    soldstatus $82,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,700 · $308/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,700 · $308/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,481
− Mortgage interest
−$5,602
− Property taxes
−$3,700
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,238
− Management
−$1,238
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$293
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$70
After-tax cash flow
$1,666/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lansing Public School District
NCES district ID
2621150
Math proficiency
14% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
23% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$37,453
Composite
18.76/100
National rank
#14002
State rank
#650 of 760 in MI

Livability — Lansing

Score
79/100
State rank
#94
US rank
#2182

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lansing, MI
County
Ingham County · 237,052 people
City population
161,269
Metro
Lansing-East Lansing, MI
Population (ZIP)
25,901
Household income
$64,315
Rent vs Own
30.7% rent · 69.3% own
Severe rent burden
851.0

Population outlook (Ingham County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
300,362 people
By 2030
307,808 · +2.5%
By 2040
320,492 · +6.7%
By 2050
333,223 · +10.9%
By 2075
373,693 · +24.4%
By 2100
392,021 · +30.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Black 15% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 12% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Asian/Pacific 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ingham

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.7) · D 63.9% · R 34.2% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 33.3pp · 2024: 29.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.7 2020: D+32.2 2016: D+27.6 2012: D+27.9 2008: D+33.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -135.54%
Current HPI
228.7023
Rent YoY
▲ 10.50%
Metro
Lansing-East Lansing, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+21.2% since first listed
19 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Contingent REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-11 Contingent Greater Lansing AoR
  • 2026-02-11 Listed $100,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-11 Listed $100,000 Greater Lansing AoR
  • 2026-02-10 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-11-19 Price Changed $104,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-11-19 Price Changed $104,900 Greater Lansing AoR
  • 2025-10-01 Price Changed $109,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-01 Price Changed $109,900 Greater Lansing AoR
  • 2025-09-08 Price Changed $114,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-09-08 Price Changed $114,900 Greater Lansing AoR
  • 2025-08-22 Listed $119,900 REALCOMP
  • 2024-08-19 Sold (Public Records) $94,900 Public Records
  • 2024-08-06 Sold (MLS) $94,900 Greater Lansing AoR
  • 2024-08-06 Sold (MLS) $94,900 REALCOMP
  • 2024-07-02 Listed $94,900 Greater Lansing AoR
  • 2024-07-02 Listed $94,900 REALCOMP
  • 2022-02-11 Sold (Public Records) $205,000 Public Records
  • 2006-12-29 Sold (Public Records) $82,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,700 · +24.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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