1199 Chews Land Clem · Stratford, NJ
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.0/30.0
- DSCR +9.9/10.0
- 1% rule +7.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Under ground oil tank shall be the responsibility of the buyer. Value in the land. You can not get a mortgage on this property. This is a short sale
Key facts
- 0.53 acre lot
- Built 1940
- Listed 211 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Ownership: Fee simple
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas service available
- Home design: Detached structure; Frame construction
- Construction: Block foundation; Other structures noted above grade and below grade; Year built source: assessor
- Exterior features: Tidal water: none
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the first upper level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Window air conditioning units; Electric for cooling; Natural gas hot water
- Interior features: No basement; Living area recorded from assessor
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $559 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
- Recommended offer: $158k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 3.5% in Stratford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#131 in NJ, #3,497 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Gloucester Township Public Schools (suburban): math 14% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #351 of 472 in NJ (top 74%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 237 active listings in the ZIP; 1,018 units permitted in Camden County in 2024 (509 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Camden County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 211 days — a 12% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 211 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.32%
- DSCR
- 1.59
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $618,254
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Atherton Ct | 0.23mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,981 (-12%) | 8mo | $543,500 | $182 | 51 |
| 1056 Chews Landing Rd | 0.52mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 3,248 (-4%) | 11mo | $535,000 | $165 | 48 |
| 3 Tucker Ct | 0.30mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 3,076 (-9%) | 24mo | $565,000 | $184 | 38 |
| 138 Kelly Driver Rd | 0.70mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,898 (-15%) | 15mo | $500,000 | $173 | 19 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.02% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.13×
- Total profit
- $6,541
- Equity at exit
- $26,824
- IRR
- 12.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.03×
- Total profit
- $51,881
- Equity at exit
- $15,554
Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08021
- Home prices YoY
- -31.6%
- Rents YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 237
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,282 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$943
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$225 /mo · $2,698/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$479
- Net cashflow
- $559
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,975
- Closing costs
- $5,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
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Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 15 events
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2026-05-31days on market $179,900 Active 211 DOM
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2025-11-01$179,900 Active
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2020-07-24historical
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2019-11-26price $699,000
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2019-10-21$749,000 Active
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2016-07-01historical
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2015-07-23$899,900
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2008-01-27historical
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2007-05-25$495,000
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2007-01-01historical
-
2006-09-05$780,000
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2005-10-31historical
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2005-10-31historical
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2005-04-15$775,000
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2005-04-15$775,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,378
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,077
- − Property taxes
- −$2,698
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,190
- − Management
- −$2,190
- − Depreciation
- −$5,233
- Taxable income
- $4,089
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$981
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,728/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gloucester Township Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3406030
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -28.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $72,539
- Composite
- 26.18/100
- National rank
- #7269
- State rank
- #351 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Stratford
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #131
- US rank
- #3497
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Camden County · 407,624 people
- City population
- 6,965
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 49,305
- Household income
- $68,044
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3050.0
Population outlook (Camden County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 507,964 people
- By 2030
- 502,182 · -1.1%
- By 2040
- 485,602 · -4.4%
- By 2050
- 465,630 · -8.3%
- By 2075
- 419,986 · -17.3%
- By 2100
- 369,492 · -27.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 44% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 11% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 6% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 14% Chinese 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Camden
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+27.4) · D 63.0% · R 35.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.8pp toward R · 2008: 36.2pp · 2024: 27.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+27.4 2020: D+33.5 2016: D+32.4 2012: D+36.6 2008: D+36.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -156.73%
- Current HPI
- 338.8351
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.02%
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
-76.8% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2025-11-01 Listed $179,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-07-24 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-11-26 Price Changed $699,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-10-21 Listed $749,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2016-07-01 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2015-07-23 Listed $899,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2008-01-27 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2007-05-25 Listed $495,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2007-01-01 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2006-09-05 Listed $780,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2005-10-31 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2005-10-31 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2005-04-15 Listed $775,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2005-04-15 Listed $775,000 BRIGHT MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…