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B- Composite 65.27
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.0/30.0
  • DSCR +9.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$179,900

1199 Chews Land Clem · Stratford, NJ 08021
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 3,397 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 211 Days on market
Built 1940 0.53 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Under ground oil tank shall be the responsibility of the buyer. Value in the land. You can not get a mortgage on this property. This is a short sale

Key facts

  • 0.53 acre lot
  • Built 1940
  • Listed 211 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Ownership: Fee simple

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas service available
  • Home design: Detached structure; Frame construction
  • Construction: Block foundation; Other structures noted above grade and below grade; Year built source: assessor
  • Exterior features: Tidal water: none

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the first upper level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Window air conditioning units; Electric for cooling; Natural gas hot water
  • Interior features: No basement; Living area recorded from assessor

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $559 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
  • Recommended offer: $158k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 3.5% in Stratford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#131 in NJ, #3,497 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Gloucester Township Public Schools (suburban): math 14% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #351 of 472 in NJ (top 74%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 237 active listings in the ZIP; 1,018 units permitted in Camden County in 2024 (509 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Camden County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 211 days — a 12% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $158,312 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 211 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.27%
Cap rate
10.02%
Cash-on-cash
13.32%
DSCR
1.59
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$618,254
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4 Atherton Ct 0.23mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,981 (-12%) 8mo $543,500 $182 51
1056 Chews Landing Rd 0.52mi 4/2.5 (+1) 3,248 (-4%) 11mo $535,000 $165 48
3 Tucker Ct 0.30mi 4/3.0 (+1) 3,076 (-9%) 24mo $565,000 $184 38
138 Kelly Driver Rd 0.70mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,898 (-15%) 15mo $500,000 $173 19

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.02% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.4%
Equity multiple
1.13×
Total profit
$6,541
Equity at exit
$26,824
10-year hold
IRR
12.9%
Equity multiple
2.03×
Total profit
$51,881
Equity at exit
$15,554

Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08021

Home prices YoY
-31.6%
Rents YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
237
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,282 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$943
Tax est. 1.5%
$225 /mo · $2,698/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$479
Net cashflow
$559

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,574
Max offer price $179,900
Occupancy floor 70%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,975
Closing costs
$5,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-05-31
    days on market $179,900 Active 211 DOM
  2. 2025-11-01
    listed $179,900 Active
  3. 2020-07-24
    historical
  4. 2019-11-26
    price $699,000
  5. 2019-10-21
    listed $749,000 Active
  6. 2016-07-01
    historical
  7. 2015-07-23
    listed $899,900
  8. 2008-01-27
    historical
  9. 2007-05-25
    listed $495,000
  10. 2007-01-01
    historical
  11. 2006-09-05
    listed $780,000
  12. 2005-10-31
    historical
  13. 2005-10-31
    historical
  14. 2005-04-15
    listed $775,000
  15. 2005-04-15
    listed $775,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,378
− Mortgage interest
−$10,077
− Property taxes
−$2,698
− Insurance
−$900
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,190
− Management
−$2,190
− Depreciation
−$5,233
Taxable income
$4,089
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$981
After-tax cash flow
$5,728/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gloucester Township Public Schools
NCES district ID
3406030
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -28.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$72,539
Composite
26.18/100
National rank
#7269
State rank
#351 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Stratford

Score
76/100
State rank
#131
US rank
#3497

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Camden County · 407,624 people
City population
6,965
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
49,305
Household income
$68,044
Rent vs Own
53.3% rent · 46.7% own
Severe rent burden
3050.0

Population outlook (Camden County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
507,964 people
By 2030
502,182 · -1.1%
By 2040
485,602 · -4.4%
By 2050
465,630 · -8.3%
By 2075
419,986 · -17.3%
By 2100
369,492 · -27.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
White 44% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 11% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 6% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 14% Chinese 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Camden

2024 margin
Strong D (+27.4) · D 63.0% · R 35.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-8.8pp toward R · 2008: 36.2pp · 2024: 27.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+27.4 2020: D+33.5 2016: D+32.4 2012: D+36.6 2008: D+36.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -156.73%
Current HPI
338.8351
Rent YoY
▲ 3.02%
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-76.8% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2025-11-01 Listed $179,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2020-07-24 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-11-26 Price Changed $699,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-10-21 Listed $749,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2016-07-01 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2015-07-23 Listed $899,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2008-01-27 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2007-05-25 Listed $495,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2007-01-01 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2006-09-05 Listed $780,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2005-10-31 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2005-10-31 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2005-04-15 Listed $775,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2005-04-15 Listed $775,000 BRIGHT MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…