7240 E SR 8 Rd · Bass Lake, IN
Flood risk 2/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- A
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.09%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,009 – $1,996
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.7/30.0
- DSCR +9.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.7/15.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$165,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
BACK ON THE MARKET NO FAULT OF SELLER - Don’t miss your opportunity to own this 4-bedroom, 2 full-bath home located in Knox, Indiana! This property offers river frontage and plenty of potential. Featuring a two-car attached garage and a fenced backyard, it’s a fantastic opportunity for a buyer to create real value, just bring your vision and make it your own. Priced at $165,000, this one is full of possibilities. Schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- River frontage
- Fenced backyard
- 1.6 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $375 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
- Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 4.4% in Bass Lake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#494 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Knox Community School Corporation (town): math 27% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #242 of 301 in IN (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Knox Community Elementary School (math 47% / reading 38%, grade F, #425 of 994 statewide, top 44%, 704 students, 66% FRL); Knox Community Middle School (math 18% / reading 24%, grade F, #270 of 330 statewide, top 82%, 470 students, 66% FRL); Knox Community High School (math 32% / reading 62%, grade D-, #143 of 369 statewide, top 44%, 572 students, 66% FRL).
- Market conditions: 146 active listings in the ZIP; 58 units permitted in Starke County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Starke County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 12 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $70k; list at $165k implies a 136% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.93%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.99%
- DSCR
- 1.58
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $165,600
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7240 E SR 8 Rd | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 | 1,440 (0%) | 1mo | $165,000 | $115 | 100 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.94×
- Total profit
- $-2,827
- Equity at exit
- $24,602
- IRR
- 8.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.61×
- Total profit
- $28,390
- Equity at exit
- $14,266
Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46534
- Home prices YoY
- -19.2%
- Active inventory
- 146
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,907 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$72 /mo · $865/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$400
- Net cashflow
- $375
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $468 | -5% $422 | +0% $375 | +5% $328 | +10% $282 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $224 | -5% $300 | +0% $375 | +5% $450 | +10% $526 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $458 | -0.5pp $417 | base $375 | +0.5pp $332 | +1.0pp $289 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,250
- Closing costs
- $4,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-04-17status Pending
-
2026-04-16status Active
-
2026-03-17status Pending
-
2026-03-12$165,000 Active
-
2024-02-28historical
-
2024-02-28historical
-
2024-02-28historical
-
2015-07-10historical
-
2015-05-18soldstatus $70,000
-
2014-09-09historical
-
2014-09-09historical
-
2014-07-24$79,900
-
2014-01-25historical
-
2013-04-04historical
-
2013-01-24$79,900
-
2013-01-18$79,900
-
2013-01-18$79,900
-
2012-09-08historical
-
2012-09-01$94,900
-
2012-02-07$94,900
-
2012-02-07$94,900
-
2012-02-07$99,900
-
2011-07-07$99,900
-
2011-07-07$99,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $865 · $72/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,134 · $94/mo
- Expected delta
- +$269/yr (+$22/mo · 31.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 2/10 Low FEMA zone A · 9% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,882
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,243
- − Property taxes
- −$865
- − Insurance
- −$2,328
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,831
- − Management
- −$1,831
- − Depreciation
- −$4,800
- Taxable income
- $1,985
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$476
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,024/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Knox Community School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1805340
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,955
- Composite
- 25.64/100
- National rank
- #7401
- State rank
- #242 of 301 in IN
Livability — Bass Lake
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #494
- US rank
- #17594
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,029
Population outlook (Starke County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 21,860 people
- By 2030
- 21,024 · -3.8%
- By 2040
- 19,041 · -12.9%
- By 2050
- 16,881 · -22.8%
- By 2075
- 11,880 · -45.7%
- By 2100
- 7,217 · -67.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Starke
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+52.0) · D 23.2% · R 75.3% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -55.3pp toward R · 2008: 3.2pp · 2024: -52.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+52.0 2020: R+46.8 2016: R+42.0 2012: R+10.6 2008: D+3.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -58.15%
- Current HPI
- 244.2216
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
|
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Price history
+65.2% since first listed24 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-17 Pending — IRMLS
- 2026-04-16 Relisted — IRMLS
- 2026-03-17 Pending — IRMLS
- 2026-03-12 Listed $165,000 IRMLS
- 2024-02-28 Listing Removed — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-02-28 Listing Removed — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-02-28 Listing Removed — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-07-10 Listing Removed — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-05-18 Sold (MLS) $70,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-09-09 Listing Removed — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-09-09 Listing Removed — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-07-24 Listed $79,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-01-25 Listing Removed — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-04-04 Listing Removed — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-01-24 Listed $79,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-01-18 Listed $79,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-01-18 Listed $79,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-09-08 Listing Removed — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-09-01 Listed $94,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-02-07 Listed $99,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-02-07 Listed $94,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-02-07 Listed $94,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-07-07 Listed $99,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-07-07 Listed $99,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-4.6%/yrLatest (2024): $865 · +7.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…