4609 31st St · Lubbock, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.4/30.0
- ARV discount +10.0/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- DSCR +3.3/10.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$180,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 4609 31st St - a well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom, 2-car garage home offering 1,669 sq ft of comfortable living space in a quiet, established neighborhood. Inside, you'll love the spacious open floor plan that seamlessly connects the living, dining, and kitchen areas—perfect for both relaxing evenings and entertaining guests. The cozy living room features a beautiful fireplace, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere. Each bedroom is generously sized, with the primary suite offering a private bath for your convenience. Step outside to a large backyard complete with a shop, ideal for hobbies, storage, or projects. Whether you're a DIY enthusiast or just need extra space, this bonus feature adds great value. Don't miss this move-in-ready gem with great potential in a desirable Lubbock location!
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Beautiful fireplace
- Large backyard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-63 ($-752/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $169k (6.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $152k (15.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $152k (15.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#37 in TX, #1,749 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D+, crime F.
- Lubbock ISD (urban): math 36% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #481 of 826 in TX (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 110 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,219 units permitted in Lubbock County in 2024 (252 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lubbock County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 286 days — a 12% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 286 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.49%
- DSCR
- 0.93
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $190,419
- List price
- $180,000
- Delta
- -5.47%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.4% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.42×
- Total profit
- $-29,350
- Equity at exit
- $26,839
- IRR
- -3.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.72×
- Total profit
- $-14,293
- Equity at exit
- $15,563
Cash invested: $50,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79410
- Home prices YoY
- -20.8%
- Rents YoY
- 5.4%
- Active inventory
- 110
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,525 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$944
- Tax from tax record
- −$248 /mo · $2,979/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$320
- Net cashflow
- $-63
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $45,000
- Closing costs
- $5,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4702 31st St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,450 | $0.91 | 43d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 4430 33rd St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1402 | $1,100 | $0.78 | 43d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 4428 33rd St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1685 | $1,375 | $0.82 | 43d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 4606 35th St Lubbock, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1684 | $1,800 | $1.07 | 43d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 4423 27th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1268 | $1,600 | $1.26 | 21d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 4304 32nd St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1174 | $1,395 | $1.19 | 13d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 4801 36th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1424 | $1,275 | $0.90 | 21d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 2409 Utica Ave Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1693 | $1,400 | $0.83 | 21d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 4818 36th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1285 | $1,400 | $1.09 | 21d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 4103 30th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1323 | $1,250 | $0.94 | 43d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 5003 35th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1501 | $1,550 | $1.03 | 13d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 5024 35th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1364 | $1,300 | $0.95 | 21d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 4817 40th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1254 | $1,300 | $1.04 | 13d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 4413 40th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $1,350 | $1.17 | 21d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 4707 42nd St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1053 | $1,049 | $1.00 | 13d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 4315 41st St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1558 | $1,450 | $0.93 | 21d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 4708 43rd St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1249 | $1,350 | $1.08 | 43d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 4907 41st St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1196 | $1,200 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 3812 36th St Unit A Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1458 | $1,500 | $1.03 | 21d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 4310 42nd St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1754 | $1,700 | $0.97 | 43d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 4619 43rd St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1404 | $1,500 | $1.07 | 43d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 4211 41st St Lubbock, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1960 | $1,599 | $0.82 | 43d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 3807 26th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1410 | $1,500 | $1.06 | 13d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 3813 25th St Lubbock, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1467 | $1,400 | $0.95 | 13d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 4803 43rd St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1412 | $1,200 | $0.85 | 21d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 4815 43rd St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1282 | $1,500 | $1.17 | 21d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 3709 28th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1164 | $1,400 | $1.20 | 21d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 4819 44th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1412 | $1,300 | $0.92 | 43d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 3712 37th St Lubbock, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1672 | $2,100 | $1.26 | 43d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 3620 32nd St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1146 | $1,200 | $1.05 | 21d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 3709 23rd St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1107 | $950 | $0.86 | 43d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 4916 46th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1377 | $1,450 | $1.05 | 13d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 5101 44th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1160 | $1,350 | $1.16 | 21d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 5318 39th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1736 | $1,375 | $0.79 | 13d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 5220 41st St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1536 | $1,400 | $0.91 | 21d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 5002 46th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1369 | $1,450 | $1.06 | 43d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 4109 18th St Lubbock, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1516 | $1,799 | $1.19 | 43d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 4602 50th St Lubbock, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1080 | $1,368 | $1.27 | 13d | 9 | 1.07mi |
| 4108 18th St Unit Lo Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1171 | $1,249 | $1.07 | 13d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 3604 24th St Lubbock, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2038 | $2,300 | $1.13 | 21d | 1 | 1.09mi |
Listing history 34 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $180,000 Active 286 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $180,000 Active 285 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $180,000 Active 284 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $180,000 Active 283 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $180,000 Active 281 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $180,000 Active 280 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $180,000 Active 278 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $180,000 Active 277 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $180,000 Active 276 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $180,000 Active 275 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $180,000 Active 272 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $180,000 Active 271 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $180,000 Active 270 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $180,000 Active 269 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $180,000 Active 268 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $180,000 Active 267 DOM
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2026-05-13status Active 825-char remark
Show marketing remark (825 chars)
Welcome to 4609 31st St - a well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom, 2-car garage home offering 1,669 sq ft of comfortable living space in a quiet, established neighborhood. Inside, you'll love the spacious open floor plan that seamlessly connects the living, dining, and kitchen areas—perfect for both relaxing evenings and entertaining guests. The cozy living room features a beautiful fireplace, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere. Each bedroom is generously sized, with the primary suite offering a private bath for your convenience. Step outside to a large backyard complete with a shop, ideal for hobbies, storage, or projects. Whether you're a DIY enthusiast or just need extra space, this bonus feature adds great value. Don't miss this move-in-ready gem with great potential in a desirable Lubbock location!
-
2026-05-02status Pending 825-char remark
Show marketing remark (825 chars)
Welcome to 4609 31st St - a well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom, 2-car garage home offering 1,669 sq ft of comfortable living space in a quiet, established neighborhood. Inside, you'll love the spacious open floor plan that seamlessly connects the living, dining, and kitchen areas—perfect for both relaxing evenings and entertaining guests. The cozy living room features a beautiful fireplace, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere. Each bedroom is generously sized, with the primary suite offering a private bath for your convenience. Step outside to a large backyard complete with a shop, ideal for hobbies, storage, or projects. Whether you're a DIY enthusiast or just need extra space, this bonus feature adds great value. Don't miss this move-in-ready gem with great potential in a desirable Lubbock location!
-
2026-04-28price $180,000 825-char remark
Show marketing remark (825 chars)
Welcome to 4609 31st St - a well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom, 2-car garage home offering 1,669 sq ft of comfortable living space in a quiet, established neighborhood. Inside, you'll love the spacious open floor plan that seamlessly connects the living, dining, and kitchen areas—perfect for both relaxing evenings and entertaining guests. The cozy living room features a beautiful fireplace, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere. Each bedroom is generously sized, with the primary suite offering a private bath for your convenience. Step outside to a large backyard complete with a shop, ideal for hobbies, storage, or projects. Whether you're a DIY enthusiast or just need extra space, this bonus feature adds great value. Don't miss this move-in-ready gem with great potential in a desirable Lubbock location!
-
2026-03-02status Active 825-char remark
Show marketing remark (825 chars)
Welcome to 4609 31st St - a well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom, 2-car garage home offering 1,669 sq ft of comfortable living space in a quiet, established neighborhood. Inside, you'll love the spacious open floor plan that seamlessly connects the living, dining, and kitchen areas—perfect for both relaxing evenings and entertaining guests. The cozy living room features a beautiful fireplace, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere. Each bedroom is generously sized, with the primary suite offering a private bath for your convenience. Step outside to a large backyard complete with a shop, ideal for hobbies, storage, or projects. Whether you're a DIY enthusiast or just need extra space, this bonus feature adds great value. Don't miss this move-in-ready gem with great potential in a desirable Lubbock location!
-
2026-03-02price $185,000 825-char remark
Show marketing remark (825 chars)
Welcome to 4609 31st St - a well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom, 2-car garage home offering 1,669 sq ft of comfortable living space in a quiet, established neighborhood. Inside, you'll love the spacious open floor plan that seamlessly connects the living, dining, and kitchen areas—perfect for both relaxing evenings and entertaining guests. The cozy living room features a beautiful fireplace, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere. Each bedroom is generously sized, with the primary suite offering a private bath for your convenience. Step outside to a large backyard complete with a shop, ideal for hobbies, storage, or projects. Whether you're a DIY enthusiast or just need extra space, this bonus feature adds great value. Don't miss this move-in-ready gem with great potential in a desirable Lubbock location!
-
2026-03-01historical 825-char remark
Show marketing remark (825 chars)
Welcome to 4609 31st St - a well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom, 2-car garage home offering 1,669 sq ft of comfortable living space in a quiet, established neighborhood. Inside, you'll love the spacious open floor plan that seamlessly connects the living, dining, and kitchen areas—perfect for both relaxing evenings and entertaining guests. The cozy living room features a beautiful fireplace, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere. Each bedroom is generously sized, with the primary suite offering a private bath for your convenience. Step outside to a large backyard complete with a shop, ideal for hobbies, storage, or projects. Whether you're a DIY enthusiast or just need extra space, this bonus feature adds great value. Don't miss this move-in-ready gem with great potential in a desirable Lubbock location!
-
2025-08-25$195,000 Active 825-char remark
Show marketing remark (825 chars)
Welcome to 4609 31st St - a well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom, 2-car garage home offering 1,669 sq ft of comfortable living space in a quiet, established neighborhood. Inside, you'll love the spacious open floor plan that seamlessly connects the living, dining, and kitchen areas—perfect for both relaxing evenings and entertaining guests. The cozy living room features a beautiful fireplace, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere. Each bedroom is generously sized, with the primary suite offering a private bath for your convenience. Step outside to a large backyard complete with a shop, ideal for hobbies, storage, or projects. Whether you're a DIY enthusiast or just need extra space, this bonus feature adds great value. Don't miss this move-in-ready gem with great potential in a desirable Lubbock location!
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2021-11-22soldstatus
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2018-11-06soldstatus
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2018-11-02soldstatus 336-char remark
Show marketing remark (336 chars)
Need a Shop? Hurry to See this Open Concept, Remodeled 3 Bedroom, 2 Bath, 2 Car Garage with a SHOP! Its all brand new, HVAC, vinyl plank flooring, carpet, and painting through-out! Large master suite with walk-in, tiled shower and storage galore! Spacious spare bedrooms. Large Covered Patio overlooking your backyard with AWESOME Shop!
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2018-10-12$139,900 336-char remark
Show marketing remark (336 chars)
Need a Shop? Hurry to See this Open Concept, Remodeled 3 Bedroom, 2 Bath, 2 Car Garage with a SHOP! Its all brand new, HVAC, vinyl plank flooring, carpet, and painting through-out! Large master suite with walk-in, tiled shower and storage galore! Spacious spare bedrooms. Large Covered Patio overlooking your backyard with AWESOME Shop!
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2018-04-26soldstatus
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2018-04-26soldstatus
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2018-04-26soldstatus
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2018-04-20$95,001
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2018-04-11$108,140
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2000-07-12soldstatus
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1995-01-01soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,979 · $248/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,294 · $274/mo
- Expected delta
- +$315/yr (+$26/mo · 10.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,297
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,083
- − Property taxes
- −$2,979
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,464
- − Management
- −$1,464
- − Depreciation
- −$5,236
- Taxable loss
- −$3,829
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$919
- After-tax cash flow
- $167/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lubbock ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4828500
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,820
- Composite
- 31.44/100
- National rank
- #5984
- State rank
- #481 of 826 in TX
Livability — Lubbock
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #37
- US rank
- #1749
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lubbock, TX
- County
- Lubbock County · 293,542 people
- City population
- 283,030
- Metro
- Lubbock, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,137
- Household income
- $44,537
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1068.0
Population outlook (Lubbock County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 345,960 people
- By 2030
- 371,449 · +7.4%
- By 2040
- 424,539 · +22.7%
- By 2050
- 481,150 · +39.1%
- By 2075
- 633,467 · +83.1%
- By 2100
- 746,853 · +115.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 15% Black 5% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 29%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · China, Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 15% Chinese 2% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lubbock
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.5) · D 29.7% · R 69.2% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.8pp toward R · 2008: -36.7pp · 2024: -39.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.5 2020: R+32.2 2016: R+38.4 2012: R+40.9 2008: R+36.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -71.78%
- Current HPI
- 272.7482
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.40%
- Metro
- Lubbock, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
+66.5% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Relisted — LARMLS
- 2026-05-02 Pending — LARMLS
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $180,000 LARMLS
- 2026-03-02 Relisted — LARMLS
- 2026-03-02 Price Changed $185,000 LARMLS
- 2026-03-01 Delisted — LARMLS
- 2025-08-25 Listed $195,000 LARMLS
- 2021-11-22 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2018-11-06 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2018-11-02 Sold (MLS) — LARMLS
- 2018-10-12 Listed $139,900 LARMLS
- 2018-04-26 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2018-04-26 Sold (MLS) — LARMLS
- 2018-04-26 Sold (MLS) — LARMLS
- 2018-04-20 Listed $95,001 LARMLS
- 2018-04-11 Listed $108,140 LARMLS
- 2000-07-12 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1995-01-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,979 · -2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…