508 N 2nd St · Kingsville, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +12.9/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$59,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Looking for your next 2026 project? This 2/1 property is the ultimate value-add project priced to move - leaving plenty of room for your renovation budget! Featuring a covered carport and an oversized, spacious backyard, the bones are here for an exceptional rental or a profitable flip. Located in a high-demand pocket near Texas A & M-Kingsville and NAS Kingsville, this home is perfectly positioned. Whether you’re looking to flip it for a profit or renovate and hold for long-term cash flow, the bones are here to make it happen. Properties at this entry point don't last long. Call today to schedule your showing appointment.
Key facts
- Covered carport
- High-demand pocket
- Oversized backyard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $290 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($908 rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $53k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.1% vs local median 5.4% in Kingsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#364 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D, amenities F.
- Kingsville ISD (town): math 13% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #800 of 826 in TX (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.2%/yr); 227 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 24 units permitted in Kleberg County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 18% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kleberg County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.2% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 126 days — a 12% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 126 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.51% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.69%
- DSCR
- 1.92
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $68,096
- List price
- $59,999
- Delta
- -11.89%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 503 W Richard Ave | 0.04mi | 2/1.0 | 755 (+5%) | 14mo | $129,000 | $171 | 79 |
| 216 W Santa Gertrudis St | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (+7%) | 20mo | $69,900 | $91 | 61 |
| 229 W Nettie Ave | 0.29mi | 2/1.0 | 816 (+13%) | 16mo | $69,900 | $86 | 51 |
| 508-510 E Richard Ave | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 686 (-5%) | 17mo | $80,000 | $117 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.18% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.76×
- Total profit
- $12,731
- Equity at exit
- $8,946
- IRR
- 29.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.14×
- Total profit
- $52,737
- Equity at exit
- $5,188
Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78363
- Rents YoY
- 7.2%
- Active inventory
- 227
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $908 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$315
- Tax from tax record
- −$88 /mo · $1,057/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$191
- Net cashflow
- $290
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $324 | -5% $307 | +0% $290 | +5% $273 | +10% $256 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $218 | -5% $254 | +0% $290 | +5% $326 | +10% $361 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $320 | -0.5pp $305 | base $290 | +0.5pp $274 | +1.0pp $258 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,000
- Closing costs
- $1,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 200 W Yoakum Ave Kingsville, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $563 | $0.80 | 45d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 510 E Richard Ave Kingsville, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 504 | $775 | $1.54 | 22d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 704 W Corral Ave Unit 301 Kingsville, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 693 | $775 | $1.12 | 45d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 704 W Corral Ave Kingsville, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 814 | $995 | $1.22 | 3d | 7 | 0.73mi |
| 910 E Doddridge Ave Unit 1 Kingsville, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 585 | $650 | $1.11 | 45d | 1 | 1.24mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $59,999 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $59,999 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $59,999 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $59,999 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $59,999 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $59,999 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $59,999 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $59,999 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $59,999 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $59,999 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $59,999 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $59,999 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $59,999 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $59,999 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $59,999 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $59,999 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $59,999 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-02-15$59,999 Active 640-char remark
Show marketing remark (640 chars)
Looking for your next 2026 project? This 2/1 property is the ultimate value-add project priced to move - leaving plenty of room for your renovation budget! Featuring a covered carport and an oversized, spacious backyard, the bones are here for an exceptional rental or a profitable flip. Located in a high-demand pocket near Texas A & M-Kingsville and NAS Kingsville, this home is perfectly positioned. Whether you’re looking to flip it for a profit or renovate and hold for long-term cash flow, the bones are here to make it happen. Properties at this entry point don't last long. Call today to schedule your showing appointment.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,057 · $88/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,098 · $91/mo
- Expected delta
- +$41/yr (+$3/mo · 3.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,898
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,361
- − Property taxes
- −$1,057
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$872
- − Management
- −$872
- − Depreciation
- −$1,745
- Taxable income
- $2,691
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$646
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,831/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kingsville ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4825680
- Math proficiency
- 13% ▼ -22.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 22% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,308
- Composite
- 14.5/100
- National rank
- #9425
- State rank
- #800 of 826 in TX
Livability — Kingsville
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #364
- US rank
- #7787
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kingsville, TX
- County
- Kleberg County · 28,920 people
- City population
- 28,920
- Metro
- Kingsville, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,920
- Household income
- $60,574
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1663.0
Population outlook (Kleberg County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 31,615 people
- By 2030
- 32,054 · +1.4%
- By 2040
- 33,008 · +4.4%
- By 2050
- 34,536 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 40,931 · +29.5%
- By 2100
- 46,001 · +45.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 72% Two or more races 36% White 20% Black 3% Asian 1% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 67%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 65% English-only · Spanish 32% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kleberg
- 2024 margin
- R (+12.7) · D 43.3% · R 56.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.0pp toward R · 2008: 7.2pp · 2024: -12.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+12.7 2020: R+1.7 2016: D+3.7 2012: D+7.8 2008: D+7.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -87.12%
- Current HPI
- 147.6473
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.18%
- Metro
- Kingsville, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-02-15 Listed $59,999 CBMLS
Property tax history
+4.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,057 · +19.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…