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524 W Ostrander Ave
B Composite 70.57
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$140,000

524 W Ostrander Ave · Syracuse, NY 13205
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,610 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 25 Days on market
Built 1915 2,987 sqft lot $87/sqft · 29% above area Est $108k · 29% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to the spacious newly remodeled four bedroom home that is move-in ready. This home has plenty of room for first time homebuyers or for a growing family. Also great for investors to add to their portfolio. This home has a new roof and vinyl siding. A large garage and the enclosed porch is welcoming you into a newly carpeted home. The dining room has beams ceilings and new hanging light fixtures. The kitchen has granite counter tops and plenty of cupboard space. A must see!

Key facts

  • Eat in kitchen
  • Full basement
  • Full dining room

Tags

FULL DINING ROOMEAT IN KITCHENCLOSED IN FRONT PORCHFULL BASEMENTATTIC RENOVATEDINVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: 2 stories; Resale property; Wood siding
  • Construction: Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Near public transit; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 6 total rooms including living areas and laundry
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Varies
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Electric heating; Gas heating
  • Interior features: Attic; Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $777 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
  • Recommended offer: $138k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#187 in NY, #2,869 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Syracuse City School District (urban): math 18% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #590 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Syracuse Latin School (math 31% / reading 62%, grade D-, #1,262 of 2,108 statewide, top 60%, 642 students, 42% FRL); Expeditionary Learning Middle School (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #611 of 729 statewide, top 88%, 170 students, 76% FRL); Corcoran High School (math 61% / reading 62%, grade B-, #842 of 1,100 statewide, top 77%, 1,252 students, 87% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 44% at this address vs 22% district-wide (+22 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Syracuse City School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 68 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $15k of equity ($968 loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($138k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $92k; list at $140k implies a 52% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $137,900 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.49%
Cap rate
12.95%
Cash-on-cash
23.77%
DSCR
2.06
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$108,378
List price
$140,000
Delta
29.18%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
504 W Newell St 0.21mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,545 (-4%) 0mo $110,000 $71 78
875 W Lafayette Ave 0.37mi 4/1.0 1,568 (-3%) 4mo $160,000 $102 76
2331 Midland Ave 0.32mi 4/1.5 1,664 (+3%) 3mo $90,000 $54 75
183 W Ostrander Ave 0.42mi 4/1.0 1,519 (-6%) 4mo $63,000 $41 67
2725 Midland Ave 0.27mi 4/1.5 1,794 (+11%) 2mo $119,000 $66 65
129 W Pleasant Ave 0.49mi 4/1.5 1,532 (-5%) 4mo $160,000 $104 64
303 Marguerite Ave 0.49mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,486 (-8%) 4mo $45,000 $30 56
3633 Midland Ave 0.72mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,536 (-5%) 2mo $190,000 $124 50
142 Maxwell Ave 0.56mi 4/2.0 1,392 (-14%) 4mo $122,500 $88 44
122 Maxwell Ave 0.53mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,410 (-12%) 4mo $160,000 $113 43
212 W Glen Ave 0.66mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,446 (-10%) 3mo $212,000 $147 41
147 E Matson Ave 0.67mi 4/2.5 1,421 (-12%) 3mo $80,000 $56 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
42.1%
Equity multiple
4.21×
Total profit
$125,680
Equity at exit
$126,123
10-year hold
IRR
36.4%
Equity multiple
9.45×
Total profit
$331,164
Equity at exit
$271,989

Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13205

Home prices YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
68
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,091 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$83 /mo · $992/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$439
Net cashflow
$777

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,108
Max offer price $140,000
Occupancy floor 58%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $856 -5% $816 +0% $777 +5% $737 +10% $697
Rent -10% $611 -5% $694 +0% $777 +5% $859 +10% $942
Rate -1.0pp $847 -0.5pp $812 base $777 +0.5pp $740 +1.0pp $703

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$35,000
Closing costs
$4,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2331 Midland Ave Syracuse, NY 4.0 1.5 1664 $2,300 $1.38 22d 1 0.31mi
147 E Matson Ave Syracuse, NY 3.0 2.5 1421 $2,000 $1.41 22d 1 0.67mi
213 Fletcher Ave Unit 2 Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,700 $1.42 15d 1 0.68mi
1330 Midland Ave Syracuse, NY 4.0 1.0 1870 $2,000 $1.07 22d 1 0.80mi
269 W Borden Ave Syracuse, NY 4.0 1.5 1800 $650 $0.36 22d 1 0.87mi
154 Seeley Ave Syracuse, NY 4.0 1.0 1312 $2,100 $1.60 15d 1 0.91mi
102 Newbury Hollow Ln Syracuse, NY 3.0 2.0 2000 $2,300 $1.15 45d 1 0.94mi
260 Robert Dr Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.5 1200 $2,097 $1.75 45d 1 1.35mi
259 Robert Dr Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.5 1350 $699 $0.52 45d 1 1.36mi
409 Stolp Ave Syracuse, NY 1.0–3.0 1.0 849 $1,575 $1.86 15d 5 1.42mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-05-17
    status Pending 545-char remark
  2. 2026-04-22
    listed $140,000 Active 545-char remark
  3. 2023-02-23
    soldstatus $92,000
  4. 2023-02-17
    soldstatus $92,000 Closed Sale or Rented 484-char remark
    Show marketing remark (484 chars)

    Welcome to the spacious newly remodeled four bedroom home that is move-in ready. This home has plenty of room for first time homebuyers or for a growing family. Also great for investors to add to their portfolio. This home has a new roof and vinyl siding. A large garage and the enclosed porch is welcoming you into a newly carpeted home. The dining room has beams ceilings and new hanging light fixtures. The kitchen has granite counter tops and plenty of cupboard space. A must see!

  5. 2022-12-13
    status Under Contract- Do Not Show 484-char remark
    Show marketing remark (484 chars)

    Welcome to the spacious newly remodeled four bedroom home that is move-in ready. This home has plenty of room for first time homebuyers or for a growing family. Also great for investors to add to their portfolio. This home has a new roof and vinyl siding. A large garage and the enclosed porch is welcoming you into a newly carpeted home. The dining room has beams ceilings and new hanging light fixtures. The kitchen has granite counter tops and plenty of cupboard space. A must see!

  6. 2022-11-11
    price $99,900 484-char remark
    Show marketing remark (484 chars)

    Welcome to the spacious newly remodeled four bedroom home that is move-in ready. This home has plenty of room for first time homebuyers or for a growing family. Also great for investors to add to their portfolio. This home has a new roof and vinyl siding. A large garage and the enclosed porch is welcoming you into a newly carpeted home. The dining room has beams ceilings and new hanging light fixtures. The kitchen has granite counter tops and plenty of cupboard space. A must see!

  7. 2022-11-04
    listed $119,000 Active 484-char remark
    Show marketing remark (484 chars)

    Welcome to the spacious newly remodeled four bedroom home that is move-in ready. This home has plenty of room for first time homebuyers or for a growing family. Also great for investors to add to their portfolio. This home has a new roof and vinyl siding. A large garage and the enclosed porch is welcoming you into a newly carpeted home. The dining room has beams ceilings and new hanging light fixtures. The kitchen has granite counter tops and plenty of cupboard space. A must see!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$992 · $83/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,679 · $140/mo
Expected delta
+$687/yr (+$57/mo · 69.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 23% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,089
− Mortgage interest
−$7,842
− Property taxes
−$992
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,007
− Management
−$2,007
− Depreciation
−$4,073
Taxable income
$7,468
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,792
After-tax cash flow
$7,526/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Syracuse City School District
NCES district ID
3628590
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$32,097
Composite
17.83/100
National rank
#9007
State rank
#590 of 590 in NY

Livability — Syracuse

Score
77/100
State rank
#187
US rank
#2869

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Syracuse, NY
City population
152,627
Population (ZIP)
18,562

Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
467,894 people
By 2030
463,381 · -1.0%
By 2040
447,697 · -4.3%
By 2050
426,399 · -8.9%
By 2075
373,661 · -20.1%
By 2100
307,967 · -34.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
Race & ethnicity
Black 44% White 37% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Italian 2% Swiss 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 5% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga

2024 margin
D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
2008→2024 swing
-3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 10.12%
Current HPI
345.8854
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+17.6% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-17 Pending CNYIS
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $140,000 CNYIS
  • 2023-02-23 Sold (Public Records) $92,000 Public Records
  • 2023-02-17 Sold (MLS) $92,000 CNYIS
  • 2022-12-13 Pending CNYIS
  • 2022-11-11 Price Changed $99,900 CNYIS
  • 2022-11-04 Listed $119,000 CNYIS

Property tax history

+4.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $992 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…