234 Winter St · Hagerstown, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$114,895
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming 2 Level Colonial Offering Spacious Bedrooms and Expansive Living Areas Designed for Comfortable Everyday Living and Entertaining. The Functional Floor Plan Provides Plenty of Room to Gather, Relax, and Make Lasting Memories. Step Outside to a Covered Rear Patio, Perfect for Outdoor Dining, Grilling, or Enjoying Quiet Evenings Overlooking the Fenced Backyard, Ideal for Pets, Play, or Gardening. This Property Presents a Fantastic Opportunity for Buyers Looking to add their Personal Style and Updates. With Cosmetic Improvements and Some Renovations, this Home has Incredible Potential to Shine as a Beautiful Primary Residence or Investment Opportunity. Sold As-Is.
Key facts
- Outdoor dining
- Covered rear patio
- Fenced backyard
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Natural gas heating and hot water; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached structure; Finished above-grade area recorded by assessor; Below-grade unfinished area present
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Crawl space foundation; Above-grade and below-grade structures
- Exterior features: Property is within city limits
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level; One full bathroom total
- Heating & cooling: 90% forced air heating; Natural gas hot water
- Interior features: No basement; Living area determined by assessor
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $522 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
- Cap rate 11.7% vs local median 4.4% in Hagerstown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#83 in MD, #3,170 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F, employment F.
- Washingtion County Public Schools (suburban): math 18% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #13 of 24 in MD (top 54%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.0%/yr); 368 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 58% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 232 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (12 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $794 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1904 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1904 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.32% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.47%
- DSCR
- 1.87
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $277,816
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 328 Bryan Pl | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,197 (+4%) | 1mo | $327,000 | $273 | 78 |
| 221 Devonshire Rd | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 1,170 (+2%) | 4mo | $229,000 | $196 | 72 |
| 432 Cook St | 0.19mi | 3/2.5 | 1,049 (-9%) | 5mo | $259,900 | $248 | 67 |
| 1016 Georgia Ave | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (+4%) | 4mo | $275,000 | $229 | 67 |
| 511 Rhode Island Ave | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 1,120 (-2%) | 5mo | $285,000 | $254 | 62 |
| 1007 Florida Ave | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (-13%) | 5mo | $229,000 | $229 | 56 |
| 58 Bethel St | 0.55mi | 3/2.5 | 1,224 (+7%) | 3mo | $265,000 | $217 | 54 |
| 130 Bethel St | 0.46mi | 3/1.5 | 1,020 (-11%) | 5mo | $120,000 | $118 | 54 |
| 1110 W Washington St | 0.73mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,114 (-3%) | 8mo | $270,000 | $242 | 48 |
| 1108 W Irvin Ave W | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 1,040 (-9%) | 5mo | $294,248 | $283 | 46 |
| 20 Summer St | 0.45mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,297 (+13%) | 7mo | $88,000 | $68 | 46 |
| 1024 Kasinof Ave | 0.60mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,023 (-11%) | 6mo | $250,000 | $244 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.50×
- Total profit
- $16,128
- Equity at exit
- $17,131
- IRR
- 22.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.96×
- Total profit
- $63,124
- Equity at exit
- $9,934
Cash invested: $32,171 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 21740
- Rents YoY
- 4.0%
- Active inventory
- 368
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,518 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$27 /mo · $324/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$319
- Net cashflow
- $522
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $587 | -5% $555 | +0% $522 | +5% $490 | +10% $457 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $402 | -5% $462 | +0% $522 | +5% $582 | +10% $642 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $580 | -0.5pp $551 | base $522 | +0.5pp $492 | +1.0pp $462 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,724
- Closing costs
- $3,447
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 607 Salem Ave Hagerstown, MD | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1344 | $1,775 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 616 George St Hagerstown, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1034 | $1,600 | $1.55 | 44d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 505 W Church St Unit 1W 1W Hagerstown, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,140 | $1.63 | 22d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 421 Salem Ave Hagerstown, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1256 | $1,550 | $1.23 | 22d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 464 Peleton St Hagerstown, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1253 | $2,025 | $1.62 | 14d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 821 Washington Ave Unit 1W Hagerstown, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,100 | $1.38 | 22d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 812 Dale St Hagerstown, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $1,730 | $1.63 | 44d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 834 W Washington St Unit 2 Hagerstown, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $955 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 62 Bethel St Hagerstown, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1088 | $1,700 | $1.56 | 44d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 27 Bethel St Hagerstown, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 954 | $950 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 92 W Washington St Unit 403 Hagerstown, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 924 | $1,550 | $1.68 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 92 W Washington St Unit 206 Hagerstown, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 803 | $1,450 | $1.81 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 92 W Washington St Unit 410 Hagerstown, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1415 | $1,795 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 92 W Washington St Unit 405 Hagerstown, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1083 | $1,650 | $1.52 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 441 N Potomac St Hagerstown, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 970 | $1,350 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 310 Key Ave Unit B Hagerstown, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,300 | $1.62 | 14d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 104 Buena Vista Ave Unit 104 Hagerstown, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,400 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 115 N Potomac St Unit 2 Hagerstown, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,250 | $1.04 | 22d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 629 Oak Hill Ave Unit 3 Hagerstown, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1386 | $1,595 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 50 Rochester Pl Unit 23 Hagerstown, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,275 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 42 E Franklin St Hagerstown, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,350 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 715 Oak Hill Ave Unit 3N Hagerstown, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,395 | $1.16 | 14d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 715 Oak Hill Ave Unit 2N Hagerstown, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,595 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 38 Wayside Ave Unit 2 Hagerstown, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,150 | $1.39 | 22d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 307 N Locust St Hagerstown, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1140 | $1,490 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 40 E Washington St Unit 2B Hagerstown, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,000 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 210 N Locust St Hagerstown, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1476 | $1,275 | $0.86 | 22d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 60 E Washington St Apt 1E Hagerstown, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,500 | $1.15 | 22d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 804 Oak Hill Ave Unit A Hagerstown, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,695 | $1.70 | 22d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 115 East Ave Unit 2 Hagerstown, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 103 E Washington St Unit 1E Hagerstown, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,200 | $1.00 | 14d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 327 N Mulberry St Hagerstown, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,030 | $1.47 | 22d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 207 N Mulberry St Unit 3 Hagerstown, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 940 | $1,130 | $1.20 | 22d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 109 Fairground Ave Hagerstown, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1470 | $1,600 | $1.09 | 14d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 149 E Franklin St Hagerstown, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,250 | $1.47 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 235 East Ave Hagerstown, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,200 | $1.00 | 14d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 322 N Cannon Ave Hagerstown, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1488 | $1,800 | $1.21 | 14d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 311 Jefferson St Unit 311 Hagerstown, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,550 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 326 S Potomac St #2 Hagerstown, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1350 | $1,500 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 326 S Potomac St #1 Hagerstown, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,400 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-17remarks 678-char remark
-
2026-06-17$114,895 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $324 · $27/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $788 · $66/mo
- Expected delta
- +$464/yr (+$39/mo · 143.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,220
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,436
- − Property taxes
- −$324
- − Insurance
- −$574
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,458
- − Management
- −$1,458
- − Depreciation
- −$3,342
- Taxable income
- $4,628
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,111
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,154/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Washingtion County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400660
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -17.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,784
- Composite
- 22.87/100
- National rank
- #8007
- State rank
- #13 of 24 in MD
Livability — Hagerstown
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #83
- US rank
- #3170
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hagerstown, MD
- County
- Washington County · 98,861 people
- City population
- 64,792
- Metro
- Hagerstown-Martinsburg, MD-WV
- Population (ZIP)
- 64,792
- Household income
- $62,873
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2832.0
Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 151,614 people
- By 2030
- 151,455 · -0.1%
- By 2040
- 150,097 · -1.0%
- By 2050
- 148,193 · -2.3%
- By 2075
- 146,581 · -3.3%
- By 2100
- 138,025 · -9.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Black 18% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 10% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 9% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Washington
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.0) · D 37.3% · R 60.4% · Other 2.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.2pp toward R · 2008: -12.9pp · 2024: -23.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.0 2020: R+20.9 2016: R+32.4 2012: R+18.5 2008: R+12.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -248.38%
- Current HPI
- 264.8018
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.00%
- Metro
- Hagerstown-Martinsburg, MD-WV
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
-0.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Price Changed $114,895 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-06-17 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-06-12 Listed $114,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-06-12 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
-7.6%/yrLatest (2025): $324 · -4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…