3388 Heisler Rd · Catawba, SC 29730

$79,900

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 728 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 17 Days on market

Built 1986 1.60 ac lot

---

Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Rent growth +3.9/5.0
• Schools +3.5/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Livability +2.1/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Selling AS-IS – this older manufactured home is perfect for a cash buyer or investor looking for a renovation project. Priced accordingly, this property offers an expedited closing process and a chance to add significant value through strategic repairs and upgrades. Needs include updating the kitchen and bathroom, addressing flooring issues (most subflooring will need attention), and general cosmetic improvements.

Key facts

• 1.6 acre lot
• Built 1986
• Listed 17 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $553 ($7k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
• Recommended offer: $79k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 43/100 on livability (#385 in SC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
• York 03 (urban): math 36% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #32 of 80 in SC (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Lesslie Elementary (math 47% / reading 47%, grade D-, #209 of 597 statewide, top 36%, 488 students, 32% FRL); Rock Hill High (math 57% / reading 81%, grade B, #65 of 196 statewide, top 34%, 1,945 students, 55% FRL).
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 58% at this address vs 42% district-wide (+16 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the York 03 average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 348 active listings in the ZIP; 2,550 units permitted in York County in 2024 (350 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• York County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.5% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Current owner paid $25k; list at $80k implies a 220% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $78,701 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.71% ✓
• Cap rate: 14.60%
• Cash-on-cash: 29.67%
• DSCR: 2.32
• GRM: 4.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.53% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 26.9%
• Equity multiple: 2.16×
• Total profit: $25,844
• Equity at exit: $11,913

10-year hold

• IRR: 36.0%
• Equity multiple: 4.72×
• Total profit: $83,272
• Equity at exit: $6,908

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State South Carolina: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 29730

• Rents YoY: 5.5%
• Active inventory: 348
• Price-to-rent: 4.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,365 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$419
• Tax from tax record: −$73 /mo · $873/yr
• Insurance: −$33
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$287
• Net cashflow: $553

Break-even live

Break-even rent $665

Max offer price $79,900

Occupancy floor 54%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $19,975
• Closing costs: $2,397
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 4 events

1. 2025-08-03
   status Pending
2. 2025-07-17
   listed $79,900 Active
3. 2006-02-13
   soldstatus $25,000
4. 1998-06-19
   soldstatus $20,300

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $873 · $73/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $873 · $73/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $16,377
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,476
• − Property taxes: −$873
• − Insurance: −$400
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,310
• − Management: −$1,310
• − Depreciation: −$2,324
• Taxable income: $5,684
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,364
• After-tax cash flow: $5,273/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: York 03
• NCES district ID: 4503870
• Math proficiency: 36% ▼ -8.00%
• Reading proficiency: 47% ▲ 3.00%
• Median HH income: $47,570
• Composite: 35.46/100
• National rank: #4928
• State rank: #32 of 80 in SC

Livability — Catawba

• Score: 43/100
• State rank: #385
• US rank: #26888

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing F Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: York County · 281,758 people
• City population: 3,286
• Metro: Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
• Population (ZIP): 58,199
• Household income: $68,543
• Rent vs Own: 39.7% rent · 60.3% own
• Severe rent burden: 1869.0

Population outlook (York County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 307,757 people
• By 2030: 335,979 · +9.2%
• By 2040: 391,378 · +27.2%
• By 2050: 443,234 · +44.0%
• By 2075: 557,102 · +81.0%
• By 2100: 625,837 · +103.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
• Race & ethnicity: White 51% Black 39% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4% Native American 2% Asian 1%
• Common ancestry: Serbian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 4% · Canada, Vietnam, China
• Languages at home: 95% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · York

• 2024 margin: R (+19.1) · D 39.7% · R 58.8% · Other 1.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -1.4pp toward R · 2008: -17.7pp · 2024: -19.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+19.1 2020: R+16.5 2016: R+22.1 2012: R+20.5 2008: R+17.7

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -285.91%
• Current HPI: 268.2609
• Rent YoY: ▲ 5.53%
• Metro: Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 4.51%
• F500 in state: 2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Packaging	1	$7B

Price history

+293.6% since first listed

4 events — show timeline

• 2025-08-03 Pending — CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-07-17 Listed $79,900 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2006-02-13 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
• 1998-06-19 Sold (Public Records) $20,300 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $873 · +11.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.