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204 Roosevelt
B- Composite 69.74
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$80,000

204 Roosevelt · Hooks, TX 75561
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,428 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 123 Days on market
Built 1970 0.31 ac lot $56/sqft · 54% below area ↓ 6% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investor Special with incredible potential! This spacious property is ready for your vision and finishing touches. Featuring 3 bedrooms plus an office, there’s plenty of room to reimagine and add value. The layout offers generous living space, making it an ideal opportunity for investors or buyers looking to renovate and customize. A new HVAC system and new water heater recently installed. Situated on a large lot, the property also includes an impressive heavy beam construction 25x25 shop with 14 foot ceilings, a lean-to, and 30 foot covered RV storage. With the right updates, this property could truly shine. Don’t miss the chance to turn this opportunity into something special!

Key facts

  • 14 foot ceilings
  • New water heater
  • New hvac system

Tags

NEW HVAC SYSTEMNEW WATER HEATERHEAVY BEAM CONSTRUCTION25X25 SHOP14 FOOT CEILINGS30 FOOT COVERED RV STORAGE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $379 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#819 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, crime B+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Hooks ISD (town): math 46% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #226 of 826 in TX (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 65 active listings in the ZIP; 137 units permitted in Bowie County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 123 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $70,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 123 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.60%
Cap rate
11.98%
Cash-on-cash
20.31%
DSCR
1.90
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$175,000
List price
$80,000
Delta
-54.29%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.6%
Equity multiple
1.50×
Total profit
$11,258
Equity at exit
$11,928
10-year hold
IRR
21.6%
Equity multiple
2.84×
Total profit
$41,184
Equity at exit
$6,917

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75561

Home prices YoY
-8.4%
Active inventory
65
Price-to-rent
5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,283 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$420
Tax from tax record
$181 /mo · $2,174/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$269
Net cashflow
$379

Break-even live

Break-even rent $803
Max offer price $80,000
Occupancy floor 65%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $424 -5% $402 +0% $379 +5% $357 +10% $334
Rent -10% $278 -5% $329 +0% $379 +5% $430 +10% $481
Rate -1.0pp $419 -0.5pp $400 base $379 +0.5pp $358 +1.0pp $337

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,000
Closing costs
$2,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $80,000 Active 123 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $80,000 Active 122 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $80,000 Active 121 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $80,000 Active 120 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $80,000 Active 119 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $80,000 Active 117 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $80,000 Active 116 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $80,000 Active 114 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $80,000 Active 113 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $80,000 Active 112 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $80,000 Active 111 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $80,000 Active 108 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $80,000 Active 107 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $80,000 Active 106 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $80,000 Active 105 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $80,000 Active 104 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $80,000 Active 103 DOM
  18. 2026-03-18
    price $80,000 699-char remark
    Show marketing remark (699 chars)

    Investor Special with incredible potential! This spacious property is ready for your vision and finishing touches. Featuring 3 bedrooms plus an office, there’s plenty of room to reimagine and add value. The layout offers generous living space, making it an ideal opportunity for investors or buyers looking to renovate and customize. A new HVAC system and new water heater recently installed. Situated on a large lot, the property also includes an impressive heavy beam construction 25x25 shop with 14 foot ceilings, a lean-to, and 30 foot covered RV storage. With the right updates, this property could truly shine. Don’t miss the chance to turn this opportunity into something special!

  19. 2026-02-16
    listed $85,000 Active 699-char remark
    Show marketing remark (699 chars)

    Investor Special with incredible potential! This spacious property is ready for your vision and finishing touches. Featuring 3 bedrooms plus an office, there’s plenty of room to reimagine and add value. The layout offers generous living space, making it an ideal opportunity for investors or buyers looking to renovate and customize. A new HVAC system and new water heater recently installed. Situated on a large lot, the property also includes an impressive heavy beam construction 25x25 shop with 14 foot ceilings, a lean-to, and 30 foot covered RV storage. With the right updates, this property could truly shine. Don’t miss the chance to turn this opportunity into something special!

  20. 2016-10-03
    soldstatus
  21. 1997-07-01
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,174 · $181/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,174 · $181/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,392
− Mortgage interest
−$4,481
− Property taxes
−$2,174
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,231
− Management
−$1,231
− Depreciation
−$2,327
Taxable income
$3,546
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$851
After-tax cash flow
$3,699/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hooks ISD
NCES district ID
4823490
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$42,354
Composite
40.38/100
National rank
#3734
State rank
#226 of 826 in TX

Livability — Hooks

Score
64/100
State rank
#819
US rank
#14861

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment D- Housing A- Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hooks, TX
Population (ZIP)
4,954

Population outlook (Bowie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
94,699 people
By 2030
94,824 · +0.1%
By 2040
94,870 · +0.2%
By 2050
93,686 · -1.1%
By 2075
90,082 · -4.9%
By 2100
76,579 · -19.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Black 16% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% European 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Bowie

2024 margin
Solid R (+48.7) · D 25.3% · R 74.0%
2008→2024 swing
-10.8pp toward R · 2008: -37.9pp · 2024: -48.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+48.7 2020: R+42.8 2016: R+46.6 2012: R+41.5 2008: R+37.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -14.29%
Current HPI
154.9243
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-5.9% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-18 Price Changed $80,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-02-16 Listed $85,000 NTREIS
  • 2016-10-03 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1997-07-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+2.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,174 · +7.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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