CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
2617 Eddy St
D Composite 43.6
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$9,995

2617 Eddy St · Saginaw, MI 48602
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 898 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 77 Days on market
Built 1894 3,485 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

City of Saginaw bungalow in need of total renovation. Conveniently located near the highway and upcoming Riverfront developments.

Key facts

  • Total renovation
  • Near the highway
  • 3,485 sq ft lot

Tags

TOTAL RENOVATIONNEAR THE HIGHWAY

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association present

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water available; Public sewer available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level
  • Construction: Asbestos construction material
  • Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 30 x 120

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
  • Interior features: 4 total rooms; Basement present

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $10k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $756 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $10k).
  • Recommended offer: $9k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 97.0% vs local median 7.8% in Saginaw — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#521 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Saginaw School District (urban): math 20% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #444 of 540 in MI (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Thompson Middle School (math 6% / reading 13%, grade F, #479 of 493 statewide, top 97%, 397 students, 93% FRL) — zoned schools average 93% FRL vs 76% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 10% at this address vs 24% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Saginaw School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 250 active listings in the ZIP; 154 units permitted in Saginaw County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $69 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $300 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Saginaw County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.0% rent growth), your $3k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($9k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (33%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $6k; list at $10k implies a 67% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1894 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $9,395 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1894 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
10.44%
Cap rate
97.03%
Cash-on-cash
324.07%
DSCR
15.42
GRM
0.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$76,330
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2558 N Bond St 0.41mi 3/1.0 888 (-1%) 14mo $80,000 $90 68
626 Stoker Dr 0.34mi 3/1.0 1,012 (+13%) 1mo $65,000 $64 62
2312 Durand St 0.59mi 2/1.0 (-1) 849 (-6%) 4mo $24,750 $29 55
587 Meadowlawn St 0.74mi 3/1.0 925 (+3%) 7mo $127,000 $137 55
2222 Benjamin St 0.47mi 2/1.0 (-1) 944 (+5%) 12mo $83,000 $88 54
2439 Hermansau St 0.24mi 3/1.5 1,030 (+15%) 10mo $33,000 $32 54
3034 N Michigan Ave 0.47mi 2/2.0 (-1) 848 (-6%) 10mo $105,000 $124 52
2918 Jackson St 0.39mi 2/1.0 (-1) 810 (-10%) 14mo $39,000 $48 49
2022 Benjamin St 0.57mi 3/1.0 1,016 (+13%) 4mo $35,000 $34 48
2459 Benjamin St 0.39mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,023 (+14%) 8mo $50,000 $49 47
2408 N Mason St 0.61mi 3/1.0 987 (+10%) 11mo $129,900 $132 46
2529 N BOND St 0.43mi 2/1.0 (-1) 763 (-15%) 6mo $65,000 $85 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.98% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
18.00×
Total profit
$47,572
Equity at exit
$1,490
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
39.53×
Total profit
$107,821
Equity at exit
$864

Cash invested: $2,799 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48602

Home prices YoY
-19.7%
Rents YoY
4.0%
Active inventory
250
Price-to-rent
0.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,044 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$52
Tax from tax record
$12 /mo · $144/yr
Insurance
$4
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$219
Net cashflow
$756

Break-even live

Break-even rent $87
Max offer price $9,995
Occupancy floor 23%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $761 -5% $759 +0% $756 +5% $753 +10% $750
Rent -10% $673 -5% $715 +0% $756 +5% $797 +10% $838
Rate -1.0pp $761 -0.5pp $758 base $756 +0.5pp $753 +1.0pp $751

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$2,499
Closing costs
$300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 31 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $9,995 Active 77 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $9,995 Active 76 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $9,995 Active 75 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $9,995 Active 74 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $9,995 Active 73 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $9,995 Active 71 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $9,995 Active 70 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $9,995 Active 67 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $9,995 Active 66 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $9,995 Active 65 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    pricedays on market $9,995 Active 62 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $11,000 Active 61 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $11,000 Active 60 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $11,000 Active 59 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $11,000 Active 58 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $11,000 Active 57 DOM
  17. 2026-05-23
    price $11,000 129-char remark
    Show marketing remark (129 chars)

    City of Saginaw bungalow in need of total renovation. Conveniently located near the highway and upcoming Riverfront developments.

  18. 2026-05-22
    price $11,000
  19. 2026-05-07
    price $12,500 129-char remark
    Show marketing remark (129 chars)

    City of Saginaw bungalow in need of total renovation. Conveniently located near the highway and upcoming Riverfront developments.

  20. 2026-05-06
    price $12,500
  21. 2026-04-23
    price $13,500 129-char remark
    Show marketing remark (129 chars)

    City of Saginaw bungalow in need of total renovation. Conveniently located near the highway and upcoming Riverfront developments.

  22. 2026-04-22
    price $13,500
  23. 2026-04-03
    listed $15,000 Active 129-char remark
    Show marketing remark (129 chars)

    City of Saginaw bungalow in need of total renovation. Conveniently located near the highway and upcoming Riverfront developments.

  24. 2026-04-03
    listed $15,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (129 chars)

    City of Saginaw bungalow in need of total renovation. Conveniently located near the highway and upcoming Riverfront developments.

  25. 2010-04-23
    soldstatus $6,000 83-char remark
    Show marketing remark (83 chars)

    3 Bedroom Saginaw Home. Sold 'as is'. Verification of funds needed with all offers.

  26. 2010-04-23
    soldstatus $6,000
    Show marketing remark (83 chars)

    3 Bedroom Saginaw Home. Sold 'as is'. Verification of funds needed with all offers.

  27. 2010-04-21
    historical 83-char remark
    Show marketing remark (83 chars)

    3 Bedroom Saginaw Home. Sold 'as is'. Verification of funds needed with all offers.

  28. 2010-03-01
    listed $6,000 83-char remark
    Show marketing remark (83 chars)

    3 Bedroom Saginaw Home. Sold 'as is'. Verification of funds needed with all offers.

  29. 2010-03-01
    listed $6,000
    Show marketing remark (83 chars)

    3 Bedroom Saginaw Home. Sold 'as is'. Verification of funds needed with all offers.

  30. 2006-02-22
    soldstatus $34,874
  31. 2006-02-22
    soldstatus $24,274

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$144 · $12/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$149 · $12/mo
Expected delta
+$5/yr ($0/mo · 3.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,522
− Mortgage interest
−$560
− Property taxes
−$144
− Insurance
−$50
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,002
− Management
−$1,002
− Depreciation
−$291
Taxable income
$9,474
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,274
After-tax cash flow
$6,796/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Saginaw School District
NCES district ID
2630390
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$28,940
Composite
19.6/100
National rank
#8755
State rank
#444 of 540 in MI

Livability — Saginaw

Score
63/100
State rank
#521
US rank
#15424

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Saginaw, MI
County
Saginaw County · 54,884 people
City population
54,884
Metro
Saginaw, MI
Population (ZIP)
27,127
Household income
$46,984
Rent vs Own
35.8% rent · 64.2% own
Severe rent burden
1416.0

Population outlook (Saginaw County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
180,568 people
By 2030
172,302 · -4.6%
By 2040
153,919 · -14.8%
By 2050
135,519 · -24.9%
By 2075
97,199 · -46.2%
By 2100
65,037 · -64.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
White 50% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 12%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Saginaw

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.0% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-20.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.3pp · 2024: -3.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.3 2020: D+0.3 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+11.9 2008: D+17.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -39.15%
Current HPI
159.8807
Rent YoY
▲ 3.98%
Metro
Saginaw, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-68.5% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-23 Price Changed $11,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-22 Price Changed $11,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-07 Price Changed $12,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-06 Price Changed $12,500 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-23 Price Changed $13,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-22 Price Changed $13,500 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-03 Listed $15,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-03 Listed $15,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2010-04-23 Sold (MLS) $6,000 REALCOMP
  • 2010-04-23 Sold (MLS) $6,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2010-04-21 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2010-03-01 Listed $6,000 REALCOMP
  • 2010-03-01 Listed $6,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2006-02-22 Sold (Public Records) $24,274 Public Records
  • 2006-02-22 Sold (Public Records) $34,874 Public Records

Property tax history

-9.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $144 · -16.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…