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11 Gladys Dr 🔨 Auction
B- Composite 66.29
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$12,000

11 Gladys Dr · Sauget, IL 62206
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,560 sqft · Land public records · 147 Days on market
Built 1957 7,405 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This Property will be auctioned on Auction.com - please go to the website, register an account and submit your offer(s). Listed as "11 Gladys Dr Sauget, IL 62206" on Auction.com CAHOKIA RANCH! Estimated as 3 Beds & 2 Full Baths - huge advantage in this price range! 1,560 sq ft. Two full baths maximize appeal and support premium rental rates. Cahokia shows consistently strong median values for renovated homes. Built 1957 in established neighborhood with municipal services. Perfect for flippers targeting Cahokia market, buy-and-hold rental investors seeking strong amenity packages, contractors. The 2-bathroom configuration differentiates this property and accelerates sales timeline. Exterior showing (curb viewing) only. NO inside showings available, no more inside pictures available. No contingencies will be accepted. Cash sale only. Sold "where is and as is" No Survey or Keys Provided. Interior Access for Home Inspections Will Not Be Granted. Listing Information May Not Be Accurate. Buyers Must Do Their Own Due Diligence to Verify Number of Beds, Baths, Square Footage, Room Sizes, Lot Size & Any Other Property Details. Photos, Marketing Comments, and Due Diligence Items are Provided for Guidance Purposes Only. By Making an Offer on This Property, the Buyer Represents They Have Independently Verified All Information and Have Made the Decision to Make an Offer Based Upon Their Own Investigation.

Key facts

  • Two full baths
  • Renovated homes
  • Cahokia ranch

Tags

CAHOKIA RANCHESTABLISHED NEIGHBORHOODTWO FULL BATHSRENOVATED HOMESSTRONG AMENITY PACKAGES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🔨 Auction listing. The $12,000 list price is a nominal opening bid, not a real ask — every metric below is computed on the estimated value $68,953 (ARV from comps), not the list price.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $12k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $842 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $12k).
  • Recommended offer: $11k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#774 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Cahokia CUSD 187 (suburban): math 3% / reading 5% proficiency, ranked #864 of 919 in IL (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 153 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 783 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,608/mo this rent would consume 57% of the median local household income ($34k/yr) (locally 729% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $476 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Clair County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 147 days — a 12% lower offer ($11k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.8% of price; built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $10,560 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 147 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.33%
Cap rate
20.94%
Cash-on-cash
52.31%
DSCR
3.33
GRM
3.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$68,953
List price
$12,000
Delta
-82.60%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
50.3%
Equity multiple
3.20×
Total profit
$42,429
Equity at exit
$10,281
10-year hold
IRR
55.7%
Equity multiple
6.49×
Total profit
$105,953
Equity at exit
$5,962

Cash invested: $19,307 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62206

Home prices YoY
-20.2%
Active inventory
153
Price-to-rent
0.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,608 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$362
Tax from tax record
$38 /mo · $456/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$338
Net cashflow
$842

Break-even live

Break-even rent $542
Max offer price $68,953
Occupancy floor 43%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,238
Closing costs
$2,069
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8 Louise Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 1150 $1,275 $1.11 17d 1 0.65mi
32 Drexel Dr East Saint Louis, IL 4.0 1.0 1362 $1,675 $1.23 16d 1 1.13mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $12,000 Active 147 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $12,000 Active 146 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $12,000 Active 145 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $12,000 Active 144 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $12,000 Active 142 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $12,000 Active 141 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $12,000 Active 138 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $12,000 Active 137 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $12,000 Active 136 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $12,000 Active 133 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $12,000 Active 132 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $12,000 Active 131 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $12,000 Active 130 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $12,000 Active 129 DOM
  15. 2026-01-22
    listed $12,000 Active 1443-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1443 chars)

    This Property will be auctioned on Auction.com - please go to the website, register an account and submit your offer(s). Listed as "11 Gladys Dr Sauget, IL 62206" on Auction.com CAHOKIA RANCH! Estimated as 3 Beds & 2 Full Baths - huge advantage in this price range! 1,560 sq ft. Two full baths maximize appeal and support premium rental rates. Cahokia shows consistently strong median values for renovated homes. Built 1957 in established neighborhood with municipal services. Perfect for flippers targeting Cahokia market, buy-and-hold rental investors seeking strong amenity packages, contractors. The 2-bathroom configuration differentiates this property and accelerates sales timeline. Exterior showing (curb viewing) only. NO inside showings available, no more inside pictures available. No contingencies will be accepted. Cash sale only. Sold "where is and as is" No Survey or Keys Provided. Interior Access for Home Inspections Will Not Be Granted. Listing Information May Not Be Accurate. Buyers Must Do Their Own Due Diligence to Verify Number of Beds, Baths, Square Footage, Room Sizes, Lot Size & Any Other Property Details. Photos, Marketing Comments, and Due Diligence Items are Provided for Guidance Purposes Only. By Making an Offer on This Property, the Buyer Represents They Have Independently Verified All Information and Have Made the Decision to Make an Offer Based Upon Their Own Investigation.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$456 · $38/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$456 · $38/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,292
− Mortgage interest
−$3,862
− Property taxes
−$456
− Insurance
−$345
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,543
− Management
−$1,543
− Depreciation
−$2,006
Taxable income
$9,536
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,289
After-tax cash flow
$7,812/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cahokia CUSD 187
NCES district ID
1708040
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
5% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$28,028
Composite
6.44/100
National rank
#14827
State rank
#864 of 919 in IL

Livability — Sauget

Score
63/100
State rank
#774
US rank
#15488

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety C User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Saint Clair County · 169,691 people
City population
19,956
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
12,959
Household income
$33,838
Rent vs Own
44.5% rent · 55.5% own
Severe rent burden
729.0

Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
250,366 people
By 2030
240,511 · -3.9%
By 2040
217,391 · -13.2%
By 2050
192,699 · -23.0%
By 2075
140,637 · -43.8%
By 2100
100,499 · -59.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% White 29% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · China
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair

2024 margin
Lean D (+7.9) · D 53.0% · R 45.1% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-14.6pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 7.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+7.9 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+22.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -33.26%
Current HPI
131.5144
Rent YoY
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-01-22 Listed $12,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+13.8%/yr

Latest (2023): $456 · +16.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…