96 Songbird Ln · Fall River, MA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $835 – $1,551
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +12.8/30.0
- 1% rule +6.4/10.0
- DSCR +3.8/10.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$269,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Countryview Estates awaits you! Here's your opportunity to join this wonderful community, where comfort meets carefree 55+ living! 2 Bedrooms, 2 full baths and a bonus room to utilize as you wish. A fully applianced kitchen with ample cabinetry for all of your storage needs and an open living room, dining room concept that is sure to accommodate all of your entertaining needs. You'll get to enjoy all the perks of this sought-after community offers with pool, meeting rooms, billiard rooms, library and more. This way, you can easily enjoy life MORE and stress LESS. Whether you're downsizing, or upgrading your lifestyle, "THIS" one could be the one you've been dreaming of - don't m
Key facts
- Open living room
- Ample cabinetry
- Community pool
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property is listed as active
- HOA & community: Association membership with a $710 fee; Community offers pool, park, bike path, public transportation, shopping, highway access, and nearby schools and houses of worship
Exterior
- Parking: Two open/off-street paved parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Mobile home; Light gray exterior
- Construction: Modular construction; Slab foundation; House structure; Year built per public records
- Exterior features: Front porch; Deck; Paved road frontage on a public road; Private maintained road access
Interior
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (oil); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Six total rooms; One fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $269k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-23 ($-281/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $265k (1.5% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $269k).
- Recommended offer: $265k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.5% in Fall River — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#221 in MA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living D+, crime F, commute F.
- Tiverton (rural): math 35% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #14 of 39 in RI (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Ranger School (math 47% / reading 62%, grade C, #22 of 167 statewide, top 15%, 230 students, 16% FRL); Tiverton Middle School (math 30% / reading 43%, grade F, #14 of 57 statewide, top 23%, 509 students, 22% FRL); Tiverton High School (math 37% / reading 52%, grade F, #17 of 58 statewide, top 33%, 469 students, 22% FRL) — zoned schools at 20% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 94 units permitted in Newport County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($106k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Newport County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($265k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 23% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.37%
- DSCR
- 0.98
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $347,028
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 70 Songbird Ln | 0.05mi | 2/2.0 | 1,404 (-2%) | 23mo | $285,000 | $203 | 75 |
| 77 Robin Dr | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (-6%) | 12mo | $325,000 | $242 | 68 |
| 53 Blue Jay | 0.19mi | 2/2.0 | 1,352 (-6%) | 23mo | $330,000 | $244 | 63 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.41×
- Total profit
- $-44,675
- Equity at exit
- $40,109
- IRR
- -8.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.48×
- Total profit
- $-39,174
- Equity at exit
- $23,258
Cash invested: $75,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Massachusetts
- 20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 02878
- Home prices YoY
- -23.3%
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,064 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,411
- Tax from tax record
- −$212 /mo · $2,538/yr
- Insurance
- −$112
- HOA
- −$710
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$644
- Net cashflow
- $-23
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $129 | -5% $53 | +0% $-23 | +5% $-100 | +10% $-176 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-266 | -5% $-144 | +0% $-23 | +5% $98 | +10% $219 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $112 | -0.5pp $45 | base $-23 | +0.5pp $-93 | +1.0pp $-164 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $67,250
- Closing costs
- $8,070
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 535 Hancock St Tiverton, RI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1860 | $4,500 | $2.42 | 25d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 58 Urban's Ln Unit A Tiverton, RI | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1350 | $2,395 | $1.77 | 45d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 425 Anthony St Unit 1 Fall River, MA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,100 | $2.10 | 3d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 1141 Stafford Rd Fall River, MA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 940 | $1,750 | $1.86 | 3d | 1 | 1.18mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $710 · $8,520/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $269,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $269,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $269,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $269,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $269,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $269,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $269,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $269,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $269,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $269,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $269,000 New 3 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $269,000 New 2 DOM
-
2026-06-01remarks 689-char remark
-
2026-06-01$269,000 New 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,538 · $212/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,923 · $244/mo
- Expected delta
- +$385/yr (+$32/mo · 15.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $36,772
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,068
- − Property taxes
- −$2,538
- − Insurance
- −$1,345
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,942
- − Management
- −$2,942
- − HOA
- −$8,520
- − Depreciation
- −$7,825
- Taxable loss
- −$4,408
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,058
- After-tax cash flow
- $777/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tiverton
- NCES district ID
- 4401050
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $67,472
- Composite
- 37.77/100
- National rank
- #4347
- State rank
- #14 of 39 in RI
Livability — Fall River
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #221
- US rank
- #18220
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Newport County
- City population
- 93,033
- Metro
- Providence-Warwick, RI-MA
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,189
- Household income
- $106,036
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 201.0
Population outlook (Newport County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 81,198 people
- By 2030
- 79,518 · -2.1%
- By 2040
- 75,581 · -6.9%
- By 2050
- 71,801 · -11.6%
- By 2075
- 64,618 · -20.4%
- By 2100
- 56,724 · -30.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Russian 30% Lithuanian 15% Romanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Other Indo-European 5% Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Newport
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+25.5) · D 61.6% · R 36.1% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.2pp toward D · 2008: 23.3pp · 2024: 25.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+25.5 2020: D+29.8 2016: D+19.4 2012: D+17.7 2008: D+23.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -110.16%
- Current HPI
- 362.7711
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Providence-Warwick, RI-MA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.28%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 3 | $17B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $84B |
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| Retail | 2 | $76B |
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| Life Sciences | 1 | $43B |
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| Energy Technology | 1 | $31B |
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| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Listed $269,000 MLS PIN
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2024): $2,538 · +7.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…