3285 Broad Oak Dr · Bandera, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 52.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +8.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- 1% rule +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$210,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Under contract with contingent buyer. Seller is accepting backup offers. Welcome home to this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath double-wide manufactured home nestled on 1.62 peaceful acres in the heart of the Texas Hill Country, just minutes from Bandera. This property offers the kind of quiet, wide-open living that's hard to find, with a wooded back portion of the lot that adds privacy and a true sense of seclusion. Inside, you'll find two living areas, a spacious island kitchen with breakfast bar, a separate dining room, walk-in closets, and a cozy fireplace in the living room. The primary suite features a double vanity and a generous walk-in closet. Step outside and enjoy the large covered patio, perfect for lazy mornings and relaxed evenings. The property is field fenced and ready for livestock or small animals. A chicken coop, a sturdy Tuff Shed, and a one-car carport round out the functionality of this little slice of country paradise. Mature trees and a wooded back acreage complete the picture. No HOA and no restrictions. The Hill Country lifestyle you've been looking for is waiting right here.
Key facts
- Island kitchen
- Walk-in closets
- Two living areas
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $210k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-217 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $172k (18.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $158k (24.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $158k (24.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 1.4% in Bandera — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#209 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: schools D-, commute F, employment D-.
- Bandera ISD (rural): math 30% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #500 of 826 in TX (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 531 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Bandera County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($204k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 52% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.75% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.44%
- DSCR
- 0.80
- GRM
- 11.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $426,149
- List price
- $210,000
- Delta
- -50.72%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 12 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -23.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.19×
- Total profit
- $-47,839
- Equity at exit
- $31,312
- IRR
- -18.7%
- Equity multiple
- -0.01×
- Total profit
- $-59,354
- Equity at exit
- $18,157
Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78003
- Home prices YoY
- -14.3%
- Active inventory
- 531
- Price-to-rent
- 11.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,577 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,101
- Tax from tax record
- −$275 /mo · $3,297/yr
- Insurance
- −$88
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$331
- Net cashflow
- $-217
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,500
- Closing costs
- $6,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $210,000 Pending 51 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $210,000 Active RFR 48 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $210,000 Active RFR 46 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $210,000 Active RFR 43 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $210,000 Active RFR 42 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $210,000 Active RFR 41 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $210,000 Active RFR 40 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $210,000 Active RFR 39 DOM
-
2026-05-08historical Active RFR 1116-char remark
Show marketing remark (1116 chars)
Under contract with contingent buyer. Seller is accepting backup offers. Welcome home to this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath double-wide manufactured home nestled on 1.62 peaceful acres in the heart of the Texas Hill Country, just minutes from Bandera. This property offers the kind of quiet, wide-open living that's hard to find, with a wooded back portion of the lot that adds privacy and a true sense of seclusion. Inside, you'll find two living areas, a spacious island kitchen with breakfast bar, a separate dining room, walk-in closets, and a cozy fireplace in the living room. The primary suite features a double vanity and a generous walk-in closet. Step outside and enjoy the large covered patio, perfect for lazy mornings and relaxed evenings. The property is field fenced and ready for livestock or small animals. A chicken coop, a sturdy Tuff Shed, and a one-car carport round out the functionality of this little slice of country paradise. Mature trees and a wooded back acreage complete the picture. No HOA and no restrictions. The Hill Country lifestyle you've been looking for is waiting right here.
-
2026-04-22$210,000 New 1116-char remark
Show marketing remark (1116 chars)
Under contract with contingent buyer. Seller is accepting backup offers. Welcome home to this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath double-wide manufactured home nestled on 1.62 peaceful acres in the heart of the Texas Hill Country, just minutes from Bandera. This property offers the kind of quiet, wide-open living that's hard to find, with a wooded back portion of the lot that adds privacy and a true sense of seclusion. Inside, you'll find two living areas, a spacious island kitchen with breakfast bar, a separate dining room, walk-in closets, and a cozy fireplace in the living room. The primary suite features a double vanity and a generous walk-in closet. Step outside and enjoy the large covered patio, perfect for lazy mornings and relaxed evenings. The property is field fenced and ready for livestock or small animals. A chicken coop, a sturdy Tuff Shed, and a one-car carport round out the functionality of this little slice of country paradise. Mature trees and a wooded back acreage complete the picture. No HOA and no restrictions. The Hill Country lifestyle you've been looking for is waiting right here.
-
2021-02-02soldstatus
-
2019-03-15soldstatus
-
2001-02-23soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,297 · $275/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,843 · $320/mo
- Expected delta
- +$546/yr (+$46/mo · 16.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 52% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,929
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,763
- − Property taxes
- −$3,297
- − Insurance
- −$1,050
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,514
- − Management
- −$1,514
- − Depreciation
- −$6,109
- Taxable loss
- −$6,319
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,516
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,091/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bandera ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4809360
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,771
- Composite
- 30.61/100
- National rank
- #6194
- State rank
- #500 of 826 in TX
Livability — Bandera
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #209
- US rank
- #5244
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,594
Population outlook (Bandera County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 22,614 people
- By 2030
- 23,102 · +2.2%
- By 2040
- 23,489 · +3.9%
- By 2050
- 23,264 · +2.9%
- By 2075
- 23,607 · +4.4%
- By 2100
- 22,265 · -1.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 15% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 17%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Serbian 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 14% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bandera
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+61.9) · D 18.6% · R 80.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.5pp toward R · 2008: -50.4pp · 2024: -61.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+61.9 2020: R+59.4 2016: R+63.0 2012: R+59.0 2008: R+50.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -35.80%
- Current HPI
- 215.0687
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Contingent — LERA
- 2026-04-22 Listed $210,000 LERA
- 2021-02-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2019-03-15 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2001-02-23 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+6.3%/yrLatest (2025): $3,297 · +16.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…