1212 Clifford Ave #1 · Rochester, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.1/30.0
- DSCR +7.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- Rent growth +4.7/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautifully remodeled 3-bedroom, 1-bath Colonial offering 1,311 sq ft of comfortable living space in the city! Step inside to find a fully updated interior featuring a modern kitchen with quality finishes, complemented by stunning hardwood floors throughout. This home perfectly blends classic charm with today’s updates, including a brand-new roof for added peace of mind. Move-in ready and ideal for owner-occupants or investors alike. Don’t miss your opportunity to own this exceptional property!
Key facts
- Brand-new roof
- Modern kitchen
- Hardwood floors
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $295 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $148k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#222 in NY, #3,482 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment F.
- Rochester City School District (urban): math 21% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #589 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.9%/yr); 114 active listings in the ZIP; 37 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,685/mo this rent would consume 57% of the median local household income ($35k/yr) (locally 2756% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1895 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1895 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.44%
- DSCR
- 1.38
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $80,754
- List price
- $149,900
- Delta
- 85.63%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 207 Herald St | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,288 (-2%) | 1mo | $60,000 | $47 | 78 |
| 1295 North Street St | 0.58mi | 3/1.5 | 1,347 (+3%) | 2mo | $70,000 | $52 | 65 |
| 1271 North St | 0.54mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,276 (-3%) | 2mo | $128,900 | $101 | 62 |
| 155 3rd St | 0.46mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,392 (+6%) | 2mo | $67,500 | $48 | 61 |
| 144 Peck St | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 | 1,264 (-4%) | 0mo | $173,000 | $137 | 58 |
| 227 Newcomb St | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,372 (+5%) | 1mo | $225,000 | $164 | 58 |
| 235 Ernst St | 0.50mi | 3/1.5 | 1,164 (-11%) | 2mo | $170,000 | $146 | 54 |
| 865 N Goodman St | 0.66mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,245 (-5%) | 2mo | $76,000 | $61 | 53 |
| 116 Barberry | 0.53mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,220 (-7%) | 2mo | $175,000 | $143 | 53 |
| 30 Newcomb St | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,502 (+15%) | 1mo | $70,000 | $47 | 44 |
| 73 Kosciusko St | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 | 1,470 (+12%) | 2mo | $55,000 | $37 | 43 |
| 201 Arbutus St | 0.71mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,180 (-10%) | 0mo | $210,000 | $178 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.08×
- Total profit
- $3,439
- Equity at exit
- $22,351
- IRR
- 16.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.62×
- Total profit
- $67,833
- Equity at exit
- $12,961
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14621
- Home prices YoY
- -4.0%
- Rents YoY
- 8.9%
- Active inventory
- 114
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,685 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$187 /mo · $2,248/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$354
- Net cashflow
- $295
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $399 | -5% $347 | +0% $295 | +5% $243 | +10% $192 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $162 | -5% $229 | +0% $295 | +5% $362 | +10% $428 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $371 | -0.5pp $333 | base $295 | +0.5pp $256 | +1.0pp $217 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 37 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Trust St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1003 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 4d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 127 Carter St #125 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1320 | $1,400 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 811 Portland Ave Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1616 | $1,300 | $0.80 | 15d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 207 Lux St Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1728 | $2,150 | $1.24 | 11d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 176 Roycroft Dr Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1169 | $950 | $0.81 | 11d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 47 Priscilla St Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1250 | $1,900 | $1.52 | 22d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 147 5th St Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1289 | $1,950 | $1.51 | 22d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 171 Mohawk St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1054 | $1,775 | $1.68 | 44d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 52 Frances St Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1256 | $1,595 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 100 Fairbanks St Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1456 | $1,100 | $0.76 | 45d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 239 Weyl St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1208 | $1,600 | $1.32 | 20d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 86-88 Baycliff Dr Unit 86 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,030 | $1.14 | 22d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| — Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,100 | $1.23 | 15d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 222 Ellison St Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 971 | $1,000 | $1.03 | 15d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 326 Northland Ave Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1168 | $1,500 | $1.28 | 3d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 117 Northaven Ter Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1460 | $1,975 | $1.35 | 11d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1890 Clifford Ave Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,800 | $1.92 | 24d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 126 Parsells Ave Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1574 | $1,800 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 126 Parsells Ave Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1574 | $1,800 | $1.14 | 22d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 195 Parsells Ave Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1413 | $1,265 | $0.90 | 4d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 32 Portland Pkwy Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 652 | $1,485 | $2.28 | 3d | 8 | 1.11mi |
| 59 Clark Ave Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1728 | $1,800 | $1.04 | 3d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 395 Alexander St Unit UN12 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1226 | $2,200 | $1.79 | 15d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 95 Onondaga Rd Rochester, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,630 | $1.98 | 3d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 152 Gibbs St Rochester, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,875 | $1.97 | 15d | 3 | 1.24mi |
| 128 Gibbs St Unit 130 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,875 | $1.88 | 11d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 128 Gibbs St Unit 136 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,795 | $1.99 | 11d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 200 East Ave Rochester, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 936 | $2,481 | $2.65 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 459-461 Parsells Ave Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1053 | $1,450 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 14 Franklin St Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1345 | $3,477 | $2.59 | 4d | 8 | 1.44mi |
| 420 Rosewood Ter Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1246 | $1,300 | $1.04 | 4d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 49 East Ave Apt 212 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 961 | $2,572 | $2.68 | 4d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 111 East Ave Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 614 | $1,900 | $3.09 | 44d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 474 East Ave Rochester, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1125 | $2,800 | $2.49 | 24d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 21 Rundel Park Unit 2 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $2,099 | $1.68 | 20d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 260 E Main St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1144 | $2,999 | $2.62 | 4d | 14 | 1.48mi |
| 733 University Ave #3 Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $1,850 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-08status Pending 511-char remark
Show marketing remark (511 chars)
Beautifully remodeled 3-bedroom, 1-bath Colonial offering 1,311 sq ft of comfortable living space in the city! Step inside to find a fully updated interior featuring a modern kitchen with quality finishes, complemented by stunning hardwood floors throughout. This home perfectly blends classic charm with today’s updates, including a brand-new roof for added peace of mind. Move-in ready and ideal for owner-occupants or investors alike. Don’t miss your opportunity to own this exceptional property!
-
2026-05-06historical Active Under Contract 511-char remark
Show marketing remark (511 chars)
Beautifully remodeled 3-bedroom, 1-bath Colonial offering 1,311 sq ft of comfortable living space in the city! Step inside to find a fully updated interior featuring a modern kitchen with quality finishes, complemented by stunning hardwood floors throughout. This home perfectly blends classic charm with today’s updates, including a brand-new roof for added peace of mind. Move-in ready and ideal for owner-occupants or investors alike. Don’t miss your opportunity to own this exceptional property!
-
2026-04-17$149,900 Active 511-char remark
Show marketing remark (511 chars)
Beautifully remodeled 3-bedroom, 1-bath Colonial offering 1,311 sq ft of comfortable living space in the city! Step inside to find a fully updated interior featuring a modern kitchen with quality finishes, complemented by stunning hardwood floors throughout. This home perfectly blends classic charm with today’s updates, including a brand-new roof for added peace of mind. Move-in ready and ideal for owner-occupants or investors alike. Don’t miss your opportunity to own this exceptional property!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,219
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$2,248
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,618
- − Management
- −$1,618
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable income
- $1,229
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$295
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,247/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This beautifully remodeled 3-bedroom, 1-bath Colonial is move-in ready and ideal for owner-occupants or investors. The home features a modern kitchen, hardwood floors, and a brand-new roof, making it a great investment opportunity.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping upgrade — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
- Both Painting exterior — Fresh paint can make a significant difference in curb appeal and value
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal — Improves the home's first impression and adds value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Landscaping upgrade — Enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both Painting exterior — Fresh paint can make a significant difference in curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal — Improves the home's first impression and adds value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rochester City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3624750
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,923
- Composite
- 18.98/100
- National rank
- #8850
- State rank
- #589 of 590 in NY
Livability — Rochester
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #222
- US rank
- #3482
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rochester, NY
- County
- Monroe County · 674,131 people
- City population
- 432,803
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,381
- Household income
- $35,383
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2756.0
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 759,460 people
- By 2030
- 757,154 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 740,644 · -2.5%
- By 2050
- 714,443 · -5.9%
- By 2075
- 645,883 · -15.0%
- By 2100
- 547,084 · -28.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 40% Black 40% White 14% Two or more races 12% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 32% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 65% English-only · Spanish 30% Other Asian/Pacific 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -10.66%
- Current HPI
- 254.1805
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.88%
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2026-05-06 Contingent — UNYREIS
- 2026-04-17 Listed $149,900 UNYREIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…