CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
565 Washburn Ave
D Composite 40.38
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.8/30.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.4/10.0
  • DSCR +1.0/10.0

$189,900

565 Washburn Ave · Belgrade, MN 56312
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,623 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 40 Days on market
Built 1901 0.31 ac lot ↓ 7% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Beautiful 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home located in Belgrade. It's within walking distance from local businesses, churches, & 2 blocks from BBE Jr/Sr high school. This home has a spacious layout with tall ceilings & original hardwoods. Main floor features office that could become 4th bedroom, large kitchen, dining room, 3/4-bathroom, TV/Living room, Family Room & 3 seasons front porch. Upper level has 3 Bedrooms & Full Bath W/ laundry. It has a 2.5 stall heated garage w bonus 10x8 storage room. Several updates have been completed, which include newer windows, new flooring in kitchen/dining room, light fixtures, fresh paint, Boiler system in 2015 & new shingles & outside painted in 2020. Beautiful immaculate landscaped property. Welcome Home.

Key facts

  • 0.31 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1901

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached heated and insulated garage; Concrete garage; 2-car garage (dimensions approximately 21 x 33)
  • Utilities: City water (connected); City sewer (connected); Electric service with circuit breakers; Fuel: Electric and propane
  • Home design: Residential property; One and one-half levels; Main entry with porch
  • Construction: Frame construction; Asphalt roof (age 8 years or less); Stone foundation
  • Exterior features: Stucco exterior; Porch; Storage shed; Medium tree coverage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Kitchen window
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (two on upper level, primary/main-level layout noted as 3 BR on one level); Bedroom (upper): 13 x 13; Bedroom 2: 20 x 11; Bedroom 3 (upper): 12 x 13
  • Flooring: Hardwood floors
  • Bathrooms: Main floor three-quarter bath; Upper level full bath
  • Heating & cooling: Boiler with baseboard heating; Window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Hardwood floors; Kitchen window; Porch; Water softener (owned); Three-season porch; Family room; Living room; Study; Kitchen/Dining combination
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer (hookup); Upper level laundry; Dryer; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-297 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $137k (27.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $122k (35.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $122k (35.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#359 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Belgrade-Brooten-Elrosa School District (rural): math 55% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #156 of 467 in MN (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 661 units permitted in Stearns County in 2024 (291 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $19k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Stearns County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($184k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1901 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $121,718 (35.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 36% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1901 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.64%
Cap rate
4.42%
Cash-on-cash
-6.70%
DSCR
0.70
GRM
13.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.5%
Equity multiple
2.59×
Total profit
$84,510
Equity at exit
$171,077
10-year hold
IRR
18.0%
Equity multiple
5.96×
Total profit
$263,701
Equity at exit
$368,934

Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 56312

Home prices YoY
10.5%
Active inventory
6
Price-to-rent
13.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,217 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$996
Tax from tax record
$183 /mo · $2,200/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$256
Net cashflow
$-297

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,593
Max offer price $137,479
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-189 -5% $-243 +0% $-297 +5% $-350 +10% $-404
Rent -10% $-393 -5% $-345 +0% $-297 +5% $-249 +10% $-201
Rate -1.0pp $-201 -0.5pp $-248 base $-297 +0.5pp $-346 +1.0pp $-396

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,475
Closing costs
$5,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-05-20
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-12
    historical Contingent - Inspection
  3. 2026-04-29
    price $189,900
  4. 2026-04-11
    listed $199,900 Active
  5. 2026-04-07
    historical $199,900
  6. 2025-09-10
    status Pending
  7. 2025-09-10
    historical
  8. 2025-09-02
    price $197,500
  9. 2025-08-04
    price $199,900
  10. 2025-07-21
    price $204,900
  11. 2025-06-23
    listed $209,900 Active
  12. 2022-08-04
    soldstatus $180,000
  13. 2022-07-29
    soldstatus $180,000 Sold 773-char remark
    Show marketing remark (773 chars)

    Beautiful 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home located in Belgrade. It's within walking distance from local businesses, churches, & 2 blocks from BBE Jr/Sr high school. This home has a spacious layout with tall ceilings & original hardwoods. Main floor features office that could become 4th bedroom, large kitchen, dining room, 3/4-bathroom, TV/Living room, Family Room & 3 seasons front porch. Upper level has 3 Bedrooms & Full Bath W/ laundry. It has a 2.5 stall heated garage w bonus 10x8 storage room. Several updates have been completed, which include newer windows, new flooring in kitchen/dining room, light fixtures, fresh paint, Boiler system in 2015 & new shingles & outside painted in 2020. Beautiful immaculate landscaped property. Welcome Home.

  14. 2022-07-25
    status Pending 773-char remark
    Show marketing remark (773 chars)

    Beautiful 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home located in Belgrade. It's within walking distance from local businesses, churches, & 2 blocks from BBE Jr/Sr high school. This home has a spacious layout with tall ceilings & original hardwoods. Main floor features office that could become 4th bedroom, large kitchen, dining room, 3/4-bathroom, TV/Living room, Family Room & 3 seasons front porch. Upper level has 3 Bedrooms & Full Bath W/ laundry. It has a 2.5 stall heated garage w bonus 10x8 storage room. Several updates have been completed, which include newer windows, new flooring in kitchen/dining room, light fixtures, fresh paint, Boiler system in 2015 & new shingles & outside painted in 2020. Beautiful immaculate landscaped property. Welcome Home.

  15. 2022-06-24
    historical Contingent - Inspection 773-char remark
    Show marketing remark (773 chars)

    Beautiful 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home located in Belgrade. It's within walking distance from local businesses, churches, & 2 blocks from BBE Jr/Sr high school. This home has a spacious layout with tall ceilings & original hardwoods. Main floor features office that could become 4th bedroom, large kitchen, dining room, 3/4-bathroom, TV/Living room, Family Room & 3 seasons front porch. Upper level has 3 Bedrooms & Full Bath W/ laundry. It has a 2.5 stall heated garage w bonus 10x8 storage room. Several updates have been completed, which include newer windows, new flooring in kitchen/dining room, light fixtures, fresh paint, Boiler system in 2015 & new shingles & outside painted in 2020. Beautiful immaculate landscaped property. Welcome Home.

  16. 2022-06-10
    price $197,500 773-char remark
    Show marketing remark (773 chars)

    Beautiful 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home located in Belgrade. It's within walking distance from local businesses, churches, & 2 blocks from BBE Jr/Sr high school. This home has a spacious layout with tall ceilings & original hardwoods. Main floor features office that could become 4th bedroom, large kitchen, dining room, 3/4-bathroom, TV/Living room, Family Room & 3 seasons front porch. Upper level has 3 Bedrooms & Full Bath W/ laundry. It has a 2.5 stall heated garage w bonus 10x8 storage room. Several updates have been completed, which include newer windows, new flooring in kitchen/dining room, light fixtures, fresh paint, Boiler system in 2015 & new shingles & outside painted in 2020. Beautiful immaculate landscaped property. Welcome Home.

  17. 2022-05-31
    listed $204,500 Active 773-char remark
    Show marketing remark (773 chars)

    Beautiful 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home located in Belgrade. It's within walking distance from local businesses, churches, & 2 blocks from BBE Jr/Sr high school. This home has a spacious layout with tall ceilings & original hardwoods. Main floor features office that could become 4th bedroom, large kitchen, dining room, 3/4-bathroom, TV/Living room, Family Room & 3 seasons front porch. Upper level has 3 Bedrooms & Full Bath W/ laundry. It has a 2.5 stall heated garage w bonus 10x8 storage room. Several updates have been completed, which include newer windows, new flooring in kitchen/dining room, light fixtures, fresh paint, Boiler system in 2015 & new shingles & outside painted in 2020. Beautiful immaculate landscaped property. Welcome Home.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,200 · $183/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,200 · $183/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,606
− Mortgage interest
−$10,637
− Property taxes
−$2,200
− Insurance
−$950
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,168
− Management
−$1,168
− Depreciation
−$5,524
Taxable loss
−$7,042
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,690
After-tax cash flow
$-1,871/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Belgrade-Brooten-Elrosa School District
NCES district ID
2700105
Math proficiency
55% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
64% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$48,799
Composite
52.16/100
National rank
#3486
State rank
#156 of 467 in MN

Livability — Belgrade

Score
69/100
State rank
#359
US rank
#8409

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Belgrade, MN
Population (ZIP)
2,224

Population outlook (Stearns County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
162,629 people
By 2030
166,495 · +2.4%
By 2040
172,661 · +6.2%
By 2050
177,480 · +9.1%
By 2075
192,907 · +18.6%
By 2100
206,274 · +26.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (97%)
Race & ethnicity
White 97% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 22% Iranian 3% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Stearns

2024 margin
Strong R (+26.8) · D 35.7% · R 62.5% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-19.8pp toward R · 2008: -7.0pp · 2024: -26.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+26.8 2020: R+22.5 2016: R+27.9 2012: R+12.1 2008: R+7.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 24.81%
Current HPI
261.66
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-7.1% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-12 Contingent NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-29 Price Changed $189,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-11 Listed $199,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-07 Coming Soon $199,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-10 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-10 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-02 Price Changed $197,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-04 Price Changed $199,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-21 Price Changed $204,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-23 Listed $209,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-08-04 Sold (Public Records) $180,000 Public Records
  • 2022-07-29 Sold (MLS) $180,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-07-25 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-06-24 Contingent NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-06-10 Price Changed $197,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-05-31 Listed $204,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+4.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,200 · +18.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…