565 Washburn Ave · Belgrade, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +6.8/30.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.4/10.0
- DSCR +1.0/10.0
$189,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautiful 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home located in Belgrade. It's within walking distance from local businesses, churches, & 2 blocks from BBE Jr/Sr high school. This home has a spacious layout with tall ceilings & original hardwoods. Main floor features office that could become 4th bedroom, large kitchen, dining room, 3/4-bathroom, TV/Living room, Family Room & 3 seasons front porch. Upper level has 3 Bedrooms & Full Bath W/ laundry. It has a 2.5 stall heated garage w bonus 10x8 storage room. Several updates have been completed, which include newer windows, new flooring in kitchen/dining room, light fixtures, fresh paint, Boiler system in 2015 & new shingles & outside painted in 2020. Beautiful immaculate landscaped property. Welcome Home.
Key facts
- 0.31 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1901
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached heated and insulated garage; Concrete garage; 2-car garage (dimensions approximately 21 x 33)
- Utilities: City water (connected); City sewer (connected); Electric service with circuit breakers; Fuel: Electric and propane
- Home design: Residential property; One and one-half levels; Main entry with porch
- Construction: Frame construction; Asphalt roof (age 8 years or less); Stone foundation
- Exterior features: Stucco exterior; Porch; Storage shed; Medium tree coverage
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Kitchen window
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (two on upper level, primary/main-level layout noted as 3 BR on one level); Bedroom (upper): 13 x 13; Bedroom 2: 20 x 11; Bedroom 3 (upper): 12 x 13
- Flooring: Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: Main floor three-quarter bath; Upper level full bath
- Heating & cooling: Boiler with baseboard heating; Window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Hardwood floors; Kitchen window; Porch; Water softener (owned); Three-season porch; Family room; Living room; Study; Kitchen/Dining combination
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer (hookup); Upper level laundry; Dryer; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-297 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $137k (27.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $122k (35.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $122k (35.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#359 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Belgrade-Brooten-Elrosa School District (rural): math 55% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #156 of 467 in MN (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 661 units permitted in Stearns County in 2024 (291 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $19k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Stearns County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($184k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1901 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 36% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1901 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.64% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.70%
- DSCR
- 0.70
- GRM
- 13.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.59×
- Total profit
- $84,510
- Equity at exit
- $171,077
- IRR
- 18.0%
- Equity multiple
- 5.96×
- Total profit
- $263,701
- Equity at exit
- $368,934
Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 56312
- Home prices YoY
- 10.5%
- Active inventory
- 6
- Price-to-rent
- 13.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,217 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$183 /mo · $2,200/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$256
- Net cashflow
- $-297
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-189 | -5% $-243 | +0% $-297 | +5% $-350 | +10% $-404 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-393 | -5% $-345 | +0% $-297 | +5% $-249 | +10% $-201 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-201 | -0.5pp $-248 | base $-297 | +0.5pp $-346 | +1.0pp $-396 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,475
- Closing costs
- $5,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-05-20status Pending
-
2026-05-12historical Contingent - Inspection
-
2026-04-29price $189,900
-
2026-04-11$199,900 Active
-
2026-04-07historical $199,900
-
2025-09-10status Pending
-
2025-09-10historical
-
2025-09-02price $197,500
-
2025-08-04price $199,900
-
2025-07-21price $204,900
-
2025-06-23$209,900 Active
-
2022-08-04soldstatus $180,000
-
2022-07-29soldstatus $180,000 Sold 773-char remark
Show marketing remark (773 chars)
Beautiful 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home located in Belgrade. It's within walking distance from local businesses, churches, & 2 blocks from BBE Jr/Sr high school. This home has a spacious layout with tall ceilings & original hardwoods. Main floor features office that could become 4th bedroom, large kitchen, dining room, 3/4-bathroom, TV/Living room, Family Room & 3 seasons front porch. Upper level has 3 Bedrooms & Full Bath W/ laundry. It has a 2.5 stall heated garage w bonus 10x8 storage room. Several updates have been completed, which include newer windows, new flooring in kitchen/dining room, light fixtures, fresh paint, Boiler system in 2015 & new shingles & outside painted in 2020. Beautiful immaculate landscaped property. Welcome Home.
-
2022-07-25status Pending 773-char remark
Show marketing remark (773 chars)
Beautiful 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home located in Belgrade. It's within walking distance from local businesses, churches, & 2 blocks from BBE Jr/Sr high school. This home has a spacious layout with tall ceilings & original hardwoods. Main floor features office that could become 4th bedroom, large kitchen, dining room, 3/4-bathroom, TV/Living room, Family Room & 3 seasons front porch. Upper level has 3 Bedrooms & Full Bath W/ laundry. It has a 2.5 stall heated garage w bonus 10x8 storage room. Several updates have been completed, which include newer windows, new flooring in kitchen/dining room, light fixtures, fresh paint, Boiler system in 2015 & new shingles & outside painted in 2020. Beautiful immaculate landscaped property. Welcome Home.
-
2022-06-24historical Contingent - Inspection 773-char remark
Show marketing remark (773 chars)
Beautiful 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home located in Belgrade. It's within walking distance from local businesses, churches, & 2 blocks from BBE Jr/Sr high school. This home has a spacious layout with tall ceilings & original hardwoods. Main floor features office that could become 4th bedroom, large kitchen, dining room, 3/4-bathroom, TV/Living room, Family Room & 3 seasons front porch. Upper level has 3 Bedrooms & Full Bath W/ laundry. It has a 2.5 stall heated garage w bonus 10x8 storage room. Several updates have been completed, which include newer windows, new flooring in kitchen/dining room, light fixtures, fresh paint, Boiler system in 2015 & new shingles & outside painted in 2020. Beautiful immaculate landscaped property. Welcome Home.
-
2022-06-10price $197,500 773-char remark
Show marketing remark (773 chars)
Beautiful 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home located in Belgrade. It's within walking distance from local businesses, churches, & 2 blocks from BBE Jr/Sr high school. This home has a spacious layout with tall ceilings & original hardwoods. Main floor features office that could become 4th bedroom, large kitchen, dining room, 3/4-bathroom, TV/Living room, Family Room & 3 seasons front porch. Upper level has 3 Bedrooms & Full Bath W/ laundry. It has a 2.5 stall heated garage w bonus 10x8 storage room. Several updates have been completed, which include newer windows, new flooring in kitchen/dining room, light fixtures, fresh paint, Boiler system in 2015 & new shingles & outside painted in 2020. Beautiful immaculate landscaped property. Welcome Home.
-
2022-05-31$204,500 Active 773-char remark
Show marketing remark (773 chars)
Beautiful 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home located in Belgrade. It's within walking distance from local businesses, churches, & 2 blocks from BBE Jr/Sr high school. This home has a spacious layout with tall ceilings & original hardwoods. Main floor features office that could become 4th bedroom, large kitchen, dining room, 3/4-bathroom, TV/Living room, Family Room & 3 seasons front porch. Upper level has 3 Bedrooms & Full Bath W/ laundry. It has a 2.5 stall heated garage w bonus 10x8 storage room. Several updates have been completed, which include newer windows, new flooring in kitchen/dining room, light fixtures, fresh paint, Boiler system in 2015 & new shingles & outside painted in 2020. Beautiful immaculate landscaped property. Welcome Home.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,200 · $183/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,200 · $183/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,606
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,637
- − Property taxes
- −$2,200
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,168
- − Management
- −$1,168
- − Depreciation
- −$5,524
- Taxable loss
- −$7,042
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,690
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,871/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Belgrade-Brooten-Elrosa School District
- NCES district ID
- 2700105
- Math proficiency
- 55% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 64% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,799
- Composite
- 52.16/100
- National rank
- #3486
- State rank
- #156 of 467 in MN
Livability — Belgrade
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #359
- US rank
- #8409
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Belgrade, MN
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,224
Population outlook (Stearns County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 162,629 people
- By 2030
- 166,495 · +2.4%
- By 2040
- 172,661 · +6.2%
- By 2050
- 177,480 · +9.1%
- By 2075
- 192,907 · +18.6%
- By 2100
- 206,274 · +26.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (97%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 97% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 22% Iranian 3% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Stearns
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+26.8) · D 35.7% · R 62.5% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.8pp toward R · 2008: -7.0pp · 2024: -26.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+26.8 2020: R+22.5 2016: R+27.9 2012: R+12.1 2008: R+7.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 24.81%
- Current HPI
- 261.66
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
|
||
Price history
-7.1% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-12 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $189,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-11 Listed $199,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-07 Coming Soon $199,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-10 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-10 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-02 Price Changed $197,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-04 Price Changed $199,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-21 Price Changed $204,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-23 Listed $209,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-08-04 Sold (Public Records) $180,000 Public Records
- 2022-07-29 Sold (MLS) $180,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-07-25 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-06-24 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-06-10 Price Changed $197,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-05-31 Listed $204,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+4.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,200 · +18.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…