150 French Br · Madison, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 70.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.3/30.0
- ARV discount +8.5/15.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$334,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this beautiful home located in the highly desirable Lake Caroline community in Madison! This well-maintained 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home offers nearly 2,000 square feet of comfortable living space with a functional open-concept layout perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The spacious living area flows seamlessly into the kitchen featuring granite countertops, a gas range, a large pantry, and a charming breakfast nook. Hardwood floors run through much of the home, adding warmth and character. The primary suite offers plenty of space with a tray ceiling, double walk-in closets, and a large en-suite bathroom complete with double vanities, a separate shower and tub, and a dedicated makeup vanity. Additional highlights include plantation shutters, a coffee bar area, and thoughtful storage throughout. Major systems have been recently updated, including a newer roof and HVAC. Enjoy all the amenities Lake Caroline has to offer including a clubhouse, community pool, walking trails, golf, dining, and lake access. Conveniently located near top-rated schools, shopping, and dining, this home offers the perfect blend of comfort, convenience, and community living.
Key facts
- Breakfast nook
- Tray ceiling
- Large pantry
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $335k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-123 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $313k (6.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $272k (18.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $272k (18.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.8% in Madison — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#4 in MS, #1,556 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D-, commute F.
- Madison County School District (rural): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #3 of 130 in MS (top 2%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Mannsdale Elementary (633 students, 100% FRL); Germantown Middle School (math 55% / reading 58%, grade B, #14 of 179 statewide, top 7%, 1,008 students, 100% FRL); Germantown High School (math 34% / reading 41%, grade F, #59 of 197 statewide, top 30%, 1,396 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 29% district-wide (70 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 634 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 553 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Madison County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 99 days — a 9% lower offer ($305k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 70% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 99 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.58%
- DSCR
- 0.93
- GRM
- 10.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $342,655
- List price
- $334,900
- Delta
- -2.26%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 102 Hampton Chase | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 2,030 (+1%) | 2mo | $370,000 | $182 | 79 |
| 120 Hampton Chase | 0.18mi | 3/2.5 | 2,126 (+6%) | 1mo | $199,000 | $94 | 74 |
| 110 Hutto Ln | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,895 (-5%) | 2mo | $395,000 | $208 | 57 |
| 469 Caroline Blvd | 0.30mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,189 (+9%) | 1mo | $423,000 | $193 | 57 |
| 175 Shore View Dr | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,906 (-5%) | 1mo | $394,900 | $207 | 56 |
| 169 Shore View Dr | 0.54mi | 3/2.5 | 1,860 (-7%) | 3mo | $393,000 | $211 | 54 |
| 110 Brisco St | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,964 (-2%) | 2mo | $365,000 | $186 | 53 |
| 174 Shore View Dr | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,880 (-6%) | 2mo | $364,900 | $194 | 52 |
| 116 Springs Xing | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,899 (-5%) | 3mo | $378,000 | $199 | 50 |
| 140 Hampton Rdg | 0.58mi | 3/2.5 | 1,804 (-10%) | 3mo | $350,000 | $194 | 48 |
| 407 Belle Pointe Ln | 0.67mi | 3/2.5 | 2,250 (+12%) | 0mo | $435,000 | $193 | 42 |
| 104 Grayson Way | 0.65mi | 3/3.5 | 2,290 (+14%) | 2mo | $493,500 | $216 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.61% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.33×
- Total profit
- $-63,162
- Equity at exit
- $49,935
- IRR
- -12.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.26×
- Total profit
- $-69,370
- Equity at exit
- $28,956
Cash invested: $93,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39110
- Home prices YoY
- -28.3%
- Rents YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 634
- Price-to-rent
- 10.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,720 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,756
- Tax from tax record
- −$272 /mo · $3,258/yr
- Insurance
- −$140
- HOA
- −$105
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$571
- Net cashflow
- $-123
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $66 | -5% $-28 | +0% $-123 | +5% $-218 | +10% $-313 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-338 | -5% $-231 | +0% $-123 | +5% $-16 | +10% $92 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $45 | -0.5pp $-38 | base $-123 | +0.5pp $-210 | +1.0pp $-298 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $83,725
- Closing costs
- $10,047
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100 Mason Way Madison, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1614 | $2,600 | $1.61 | 45d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 108 Buckeye Dr Madison, MS | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2400 | $2,650 | $1.10 | 46d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 125 Memory Ln Madison, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1838 | $2,800 | $1.52 | 25d | 1 | 1.37mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $105 · $1,260/yr
- Likely covers
- gaspool
Listing history 40 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $334,900 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $334,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $334,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $334,900 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $334,900 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $334,900 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $334,900 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $334,900 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $334,900 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $334,900 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $334,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $334,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $334,900 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $334,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $334,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-05-10price $334,900 1188-char remark
Show marketing remark (1188 chars)
Welcome to this beautiful home located in the highly desirable Lake Caroline community in Madison! This well-maintained 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home offers nearly 2,000 square feet of comfortable living space with a functional open-concept layout perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The spacious living area flows seamlessly into the kitchen featuring granite countertops, a gas range, a large pantry, and a charming breakfast nook. Hardwood floors run through much of the home, adding warmth and character. The primary suite offers plenty of space with a tray ceiling, double walk-in closets, and a large en-suite bathroom complete with double vanities, a separate shower and tub, and a dedicated makeup vanity. Additional highlights include plantation shutters, a coffee bar area, and thoughtful storage throughout. Major systems have been recently updated, including a newer roof and HVAC. Enjoy all the amenities Lake Caroline has to offer including a clubhouse, community pool, walking trails, golf, dining, and lake access. Conveniently located near top-rated schools, shopping, and dining, this home offers the perfect blend of comfort, convenience, and community living.
-
2026-03-14$338,000 Active 1188-char remark
Show marketing remark (1188 chars)
Welcome to this beautiful home located in the highly desirable Lake Caroline community in Madison! This well-maintained 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home offers nearly 2,000 square feet of comfortable living space with a functional open-concept layout perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The spacious living area flows seamlessly into the kitchen featuring granite countertops, a gas range, a large pantry, and a charming breakfast nook. Hardwood floors run through much of the home, adding warmth and character. The primary suite offers plenty of space with a tray ceiling, double walk-in closets, and a large en-suite bathroom complete with double vanities, a separate shower and tub, and a dedicated makeup vanity. Additional highlights include plantation shutters, a coffee bar area, and thoughtful storage throughout. Major systems have been recently updated, including a newer roof and HVAC. Enjoy all the amenities Lake Caroline has to offer including a clubhouse, community pool, walking trails, golf, dining, and lake access. Conveniently located near top-rated schools, shopping, and dining, this home offers the perfect blend of comfort, convenience, and community living.
-
2026-03-02status Active
-
2026-03-02historical
-
2026-02-28historical
-
2025-10-24price $346,900
-
2025-08-30$357,998 Active
-
2023-02-14soldstatus
-
2023-02-13soldstatus Closed
-
2023-01-15status Pending
-
2022-12-14$315,000 Active
-
2020-01-06soldstatus
-
2020-01-02soldstatus
-
2019-10-08$249,900
-
2013-10-02soldstatus
-
2013-09-30soldstatus
-
2013-08-08$229,000
-
2008-06-02soldstatus
-
2008-05-29soldstatus
-
2008-03-23$229,500
-
2004-03-17soldstatus
-
2004-03-10soldstatus
-
2004-01-07$212,000
-
2003-08-14soldstatus
-
2003-07-16soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,258 · $272/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,258 · $272/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 70% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,645
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,760
- − Property taxes
- −$3,258
- − Insurance
- −$1,674
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,612
- − Management
- −$2,612
- − HOA
- −$1,260
- − Depreciation
- −$9,743
- Taxable loss
- −$7,273
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,746
- After-tax cash flow
- $267/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Madison County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2802790
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $70,579
- Composite
- 48.08/100
- National rank
- #2188
- State rank
- #3 of 130 in MS
Livability — Madison
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #4
- US rank
- #1556
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Madison County · 75,005 people
- City population
- 50,443
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,443
- Household income
- $125,506
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 227.0
Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 122,509 people
- By 2030
- 131,737 · +7.5%
- By 2040
- 148,930 · +21.6%
- By 2050
- 164,300 · +34.1%
- By 2075
- 197,495 · +61.2%
- By 2100
- 211,429 · +72.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Black 15% Asian 4% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 6% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Madison
- 2024 margin
- R (+17.3) · D 40.8% · R 58.0% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.7pp toward R · 2008: -15.6pp · 2024: -17.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+17.3 2020: R+11.8 2016: R+16.1 2012: R+15.7 2008: R+15.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -60.99%
- Current HPI
- 154.6909
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.61%
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+58.0% since first listed25 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-10 Price Changed $334,900 MLSU
- 2026-03-14 Listed $338,000 MLSU
- 2026-03-02 Relisted — MLSU
- 2026-03-02 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2026-02-28 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2025-10-24 Price Changed $346,900 MLSU
- 2025-08-30 Listed $357,998 MLSU
- 2023-02-14 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2023-02-13 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2023-01-15 Pending — MLSU
- 2022-12-14 Listed $315,000 MLSU
- 2020-01-06 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2020-01-02 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2019-10-08 Listed $249,900 MLSU
- 2013-10-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2013-09-30 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2013-08-08 Listed $229,000 MLSU
- 2008-06-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2008-05-29 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2008-03-23 Listed $229,500 MLSU
- 2004-03-17 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2004-03-10 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2004-01-07 Listed $212,000 MLSU
- 2003-08-14 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2003-07-16 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+4.9%/yrLatest (2025): $3,258 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…