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12188 Little Missouri Loop
B Composite 71.2
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.1/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0

$59,000

12188 Little Missouri Loop · Bonita, LA 71261
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 768 sqft · Other · 405 Days on market

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

As peaceful and quiet as it gets ~ a Sportsman's Oasis. Comfortable cabin with all the comforts of home. Fireplace, brick paver floors and custom wood work throughout. Two bedroom & one full bath with shower. This furnished camp or secluded home is situated on 1+ acres. Fire pit, BBQ pit, large barn to store equipment and gear, and a concreted dog pen.

Key facts

  • Barn
  • Concreted dog pen
  • Fire pit

Tags

FIREPLACEBRICK PAVER FLOORSCUSTOM WOOD WORKFIRE PITBARNCONCRETED DOG PEN

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $59k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $298 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($836 rent vs $59k).
  • Recommended offer: $52k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 41/100 on livability (#460 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, amenities F.
  • Morehouse Parish (town): math 10% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #83 of 98 in LA (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 11 units permitted in Morehouse Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($408 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.7% local appreciation)).
  • Morehouse County population projected at -29% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (2.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 405 days — a 12% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (34%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $25k; list at $59k implies a 136% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $51,920 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 405 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.42%
Cap rate
12.36%
Cash-on-cash
21.66%
DSCR
1.96
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.68% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
27.2%
Equity multiple
2.52×
Total profit
$25,078
Equity at exit
$25,459
10-year hold
IRR
28.1%
Equity multiple
4.87×
Total profit
$63,915
Equity at exit
$38,423

Cash invested: $16,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 71261

Home prices YoY
3.3%
Active inventory
10
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$836 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$309
Tax from tax record
$28 /mo · $337/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$176
Net cashflow
$298

Break-even live

Break-even rent $458
Max offer price $59,000
Occupancy floor 59%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $332 -5% $315 +0% $298 +5% $281 +10% $265
Rent -10% $232 -5% $265 +0% $298 +5% $331 +10% $364
Rate -1.0pp $328 -0.5pp $313 base $298 +0.5pp $283 +1.0pp $267

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,750
Closing costs
$1,770
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2025-11-03
    status Pending
  2. 2025-10-10
    price $59,000
  3. 2025-08-22
    status Active
  4. 2025-08-14
    status Pending
  5. 2025-05-21
    status Active
  6. 2025-04-24
    status Pending
  7. 2024-12-18
    price $74,000
  8. 2024-10-28
    price $79,000
  9. 2024-09-21
    price $84,000
  10. 2024-08-14
    listed $89,000 Active
  11. 2008-12-10
    soldstatus $25,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$337 · $28/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$337 · $28/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,029
− Mortgage interest
−$3,305
− Property taxes
−$337
− Insurance
−$295
− Repairs & maintenance
−$802
− Management
−$802
− Depreciation
−$1,716
Taxable income
$2,771
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$665
After-tax cash flow
$2,913/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Morehouse Parish
NCES district ID
2201110
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -29.00%
Reading proficiency
19% ▼ -29.00%
Median HH income
$30,482
Composite
11.46/100
National rank
#9704
State rank
#83 of 98 in LA

Livability — Bonita

Score
41/100
State rank
#460
US rank
#27136

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing F Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
1,429

Population outlook (Morehouse County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
23,631 people
By 2030
22,114 · -6.4%
By 2040
19,203 · -18.7%
By 2050
16,698 · -29.3%
By 2075
11,998 · -49.2%
By 2100
8,622 · -63.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (59%)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Black 40% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Italian 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Morehouse

2024 margin
R (+19.4) · D 39.7% · R 59.0% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-8.3pp toward R · 2008: -11.1pp · 2024: -19.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.4 2020: R+13.5 2016: R+11.4 2012: R+5.6 2008: R+11.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.68%
Current HPI
83.3317
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+136.0% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2025-11-03 Pending NELABOR
  • 2025-10-10 Price Changed $59,000 NELABOR
  • 2025-08-22 Relisted NELABOR
  • 2025-08-14 Pending NELABOR
  • 2025-05-21 Relisted NELABOR
  • 2025-04-24 Pending NELABOR
  • 2024-12-18 Price Changed $74,000 NELABOR
  • 2024-10-28 Price Changed $79,000 NELABOR
  • 2024-09-21 Price Changed $84,000 NELABOR
  • 2024-08-14 Listed $89,000 NELABOR
  • 2008-12-10 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…