12188 Little Missouri Loop · Bonita, LA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.1/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
$59,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
As peaceful and quiet as it gets ~ a Sportsman's Oasis. Comfortable cabin with all the comforts of home. Fireplace, brick paver floors and custom wood work throughout. Two bedroom & one full bath with shower. This furnished camp or secluded home is situated on 1+ acres. Fire pit, BBQ pit, large barn to store equipment and gear, and a concreted dog pen.
Key facts
- Barn
- Concreted dog pen
- Fire pit
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $59k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $298 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($836 rent vs $59k).
- Recommended offer: $52k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 41/100 on livability (#460 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, amenities F.
- Morehouse Parish (town): math 10% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #83 of 98 in LA (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 11 units permitted in Morehouse Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($408 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.7% local appreciation)).
- Morehouse County population projected at -29% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (2.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 405 days — a 12% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (34%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $25k; list at $59k implies a 136% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 405 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.42% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.66%
- DSCR
- 1.96
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.68% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.52×
- Total profit
- $25,078
- Equity at exit
- $25,459
- IRR
- 28.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.87×
- Total profit
- $63,915
- Equity at exit
- $38,423
Cash invested: $16,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71261
- Home prices YoY
- 3.3%
- Active inventory
- 10
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $836 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$309
- Tax from tax record
- −$28 /mo · $337/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$176
- Net cashflow
- $298
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $332 | -5% $315 | +0% $298 | +5% $281 | +10% $265 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $232 | -5% $265 | +0% $298 | +5% $331 | +10% $364 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $328 | -0.5pp $313 | base $298 | +0.5pp $283 | +1.0pp $267 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,750
- Closing costs
- $1,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 11 events
-
2025-11-03status Pending
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2025-10-10price $59,000
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2025-08-22status Active
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2025-08-14status Pending
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2025-05-21status Active
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2025-04-24status Pending
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2024-12-18price $74,000
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2024-10-28price $79,000
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2024-09-21price $84,000
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2024-08-14$89,000 Active
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2008-12-10soldstatus $25,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $337 · $28/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $337 · $28/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,029
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,305
- − Property taxes
- −$337
- − Insurance
- −$295
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$802
- − Management
- −$802
- − Depreciation
- −$1,716
- Taxable income
- $2,771
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$665
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,913/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Morehouse Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201110
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -29.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 19% ▼ -29.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,482
- Composite
- 11.46/100
- National rank
- #9704
- State rank
- #83 of 98 in LA
Livability — Bonita
- Score
- 41/100
- State rank
- #460
- US rank
- #27136
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,429
Population outlook (Morehouse County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 23,631 people
- By 2030
- 22,114 · -6.4%
- By 2040
- 19,203 · -18.7%
- By 2050
- 16,698 · -29.3%
- By 2075
- 11,998 · -49.2%
- By 2100
- 8,622 · -63.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (59%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Black 40% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Italian 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Morehouse
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.4) · D 39.7% · R 59.0% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.3pp toward R · 2008: -11.1pp · 2024: -19.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.4 2020: R+13.5 2016: R+11.4 2012: R+5.6 2008: R+11.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.68%
- Current HPI
- 83.3317
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+136.0% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2025-11-03 Pending — NELABOR
- 2025-10-10 Price Changed $59,000 NELABOR
- 2025-08-22 Relisted — NELABOR
- 2025-08-14 Pending — NELABOR
- 2025-05-21 Relisted — NELABOR
- 2025-04-24 Pending — NELABOR
- 2024-12-18 Price Changed $74,000 NELABOR
- 2024-10-28 Price Changed $79,000 NELABOR
- 2024-09-21 Price Changed $84,000 NELABOR
- 2024-08-14 Listed $89,000 NELABOR
- 2008-12-10 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…