819 Duane St · Hattiesburg, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.9/10.0
- 1% rule +7.4/10.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Located at 819 Duane St. , Hattiesburg, MS 39401, this 3-bedroom, 1-bath home is a solid income-producing property with strong rental appeal. Currently used as a single-family investment, it offers an affordable entry point for investors looking to grow their portfolio. The home features a functional layout, a 1-car attached carport, and a screened porch—perfect for relaxing evenings. The flat, fenced backyard adds privacy and usability, making it attractive for long-term tenants. Plus, it's within walking distance to Hattiesburg High School, adding even more convenience and rental desirability. At just $100,000, this is a smart opportunity to secure a cash-flowing property in a convenient Hattiesburg location. Buyer and Buyer's Agent to verify all information.
Key facts
- Attached carport
- Screened porch
- Functional layout
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $312 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $91k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 4.0% in Hattiesburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#5 in MS, #2,046 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D+, employment F.
- Hattiesburg Public School District (urban): math 25% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #81 of 130 in MS (top 62%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 261 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 121 units permitted in Forrest County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Forrest County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.6% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 109 days — a 9% lower offer ($91k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 109 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.35%
- DSCR
- 1.59
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $148,763
- List price
- $100,000
- Delta
- -32.78%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 203 Park Ave | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 | 1,140 (+2%) | 3mo | $174,900 | $153 | 80 |
| 1704 Louise St | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (+8%) | 11mo | $167,900 | $140 | 70 |
| 1014 W 5th St | 0.21mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,069 (-4%) | 14mo | $119,900 | $112 | 67 |
| 214 Park Ave | 0.27mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,219 (+9%) | 16mo | $149,900 | $123 | 53 |
| 317 N 20th Ave | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,014 (-9%) | 15mo | $162,500 | $160 | 49 |
| 1506 Mamie St | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,142 (+2%) | 21mo | $145,000 | $127 | 40 |
| 305 S 13th Ave | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,000 (-10%) | 8mo | $134,500 | $135 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.56% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.29×
- Total profit
- $8,221
- Equity at exit
- $14,910
- IRR
- 19.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.89×
- Total profit
- $52,954
- Equity at exit
- $8,646
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39401
- Rents YoY
- 6.6%
- Active inventory
- 261
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,235 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$98 /mo · $1,181/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$259
- Net cashflow
- $312
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $368 | -5% $340 | +0% $312 | +5% $283 | +10% $255 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $214 | -5% $263 | +0% $312 | +5% $360 | +10% $409 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $362 | -0.5pp $337 | base $312 | +0.5pp $286 | +1.0pp $259 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 416 N 19th Ave Hattiesburg, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 21d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1302 Hardy St Apt A Hattiesburg, MS | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 107 Kimball Ave Hattiesburg, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,375 | $0.92 | 21d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 217 Patton Ave Hattiesburg, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,300 | $1.29 | 21d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 2304 W 7th St Hattiesburg, MS | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1175 | $1,065 | $0.91 | 21d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 112 Dearborne St Unit B Hattiesburg, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,450 | $1.45 | 21d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 112 Dearborne St Unit A Hattiesburg, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,450 | $1.45 | 21d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 307 S 23rd Ave Hattiesburg, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,595 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 2501 W 7th St Hattiesburg, MS | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 753 | $740 | $0.98 | 21d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 801 N 28th Ave Unit 028 Hattiesburg, MS | 2.0 | 1.5 | 787 | $875 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 2808 W 7th St Hattiesburg, MS | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $899 | $1.38 | 21d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 901 W Pine St Hattiesburg, MS | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 930 | $1,200 | $1.29 | 21d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 720 N 28th Ave Hattiesburg, MS | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $1,307 | $1.09 | 44d | 3 | 1.16mi |
| 211 Chevy Chase Dr Apt 5 Hattiesburg, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 917 | $995 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 1205 N 25th Ave Hattiesburg, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $975 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
Listing history 35 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $100,000 Active 109 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $100,000 Active 108 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $100,000 Active 107 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $100,000 Active 106 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $100,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $100,000 Active 103 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $100,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $100,000 Active 100 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $100,000 Active 99 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $100,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $100,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $100,000 Active 94 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $100,000 Active 93 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $100,000 Active 92 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $100,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $100,000 Active 90 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $100,000 Active 89 DOM
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2026-04-03status Active 777-char remark
Show marketing remark (777 chars)
Located at 819 Duane St. , Hattiesburg, MS 39401, this 3-bedroom, 1-bath home is a solid income-producing property with strong rental appeal. Currently used as a single-family investment, it offers an affordable entry point for investors looking to grow their portfolio. The home features a functional layout, a 1-car attached carport, and a screened porch—perfect for relaxing evenings. The flat, fenced backyard adds privacy and usability, making it attractive for long-term tenants. Plus, it's within walking distance to Hattiesburg High School, adding even more convenience and rental desirability. At just $100,000, this is a smart opportunity to secure a cash-flowing property in a convenient Hattiesburg location. Buyer and Buyer's Agent to verify all information.
-
2026-03-20status Pending 777-char remark
Show marketing remark (777 chars)
Located at 819 Duane St. , Hattiesburg, MS 39401, this 3-bedroom, 1-bath home is a solid income-producing property with strong rental appeal. Currently used as a single-family investment, it offers an affordable entry point for investors looking to grow their portfolio. The home features a functional layout, a 1-car attached carport, and a screened porch—perfect for relaxing evenings. The flat, fenced backyard adds privacy and usability, making it attractive for long-term tenants. Plus, it's within walking distance to Hattiesburg High School, adding even more convenience and rental desirability. At just $100,000, this is a smart opportunity to secure a cash-flowing property in a convenient Hattiesburg location. Buyer and Buyer's Agent to verify all information.
-
2026-02-16$100,000 Active 777-char remark
Show marketing remark (777 chars)
Located at 819 Duane St. , Hattiesburg, MS 39401, this 3-bedroom, 1-bath home is a solid income-producing property with strong rental appeal. Currently used as a single-family investment, it offers an affordable entry point for investors looking to grow their portfolio. The home features a functional layout, a 1-car attached carport, and a screened porch—perfect for relaxing evenings. The flat, fenced backyard adds privacy and usability, making it attractive for long-term tenants. Plus, it's within walking distance to Hattiesburg High School, adding even more convenience and rental desirability. At just $100,000, this is a smart opportunity to secure a cash-flowing property in a convenient Hattiesburg location. Buyer and Buyer's Agent to verify all information.
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2025-12-10historical $1,250
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2025-11-19$1,250
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2025-11-18historical $1,250
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2025-11-13$1,250
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2025-11-13historical $1,250
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2025-11-01$1,250
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2025-11-01historical $1,250
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2025-09-21$1,250
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2024-04-18historical $1,400
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2024-03-24$1,400
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2024-03-04soldstatus
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2024-02-23soldstatus Closed 77-char remark
Show marketing remark (77 chars)
Walk to Hattiesburg High School! Adorable Cottage with nice, fenced backyard.
-
2024-01-25status Pending 77-char remark
Show marketing remark (77 chars)
Walk to Hattiesburg High School! Adorable Cottage with nice, fenced backyard.
-
2024-01-24$89,900 Active 77-char remark
Show marketing remark (77 chars)
Walk to Hattiesburg High School! Adorable Cottage with nice, fenced backyard.
-
2023-09-13$89,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,181 · $98/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,181 · $98/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,825
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$1,181
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,186
- − Management
- −$1,186
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $2,262
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$543
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,195/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hattiesburg Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2801800
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,058
- Composite
- 20.38/100
- National rank
- #8595
- State rank
- #81 of 130 in MS
Livability — Hattiesburg
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #5
- US rank
- #2046
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hattiesburg, MS
- County
- Forrest County · 65,413 people
- City population
- 87,151
- Metro
- Hattiesburg, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,531
- Household income
- $41,127
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2534.0
Population outlook (Forrest County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 79,264 people
- By 2030
- 80,822 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 82,979 · +4.7%
- By 2050
- 84,324 · +6.4%
- By 2075
- 84,942 · +7.2%
- By 2100
- 80,616 · +1.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 52% White 40% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Forrest
- 2024 margin
- R (+17.9) · D 40.3% · R 58.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.4pp toward R · 2008: -13.5pp · 2024: -17.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+17.9 2020: R+11.1 2016: R+14.2 2012: R+11.7 2008: R+13.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -148.93%
- Current HPI
- 137.87
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.56%
- Metro
- Hattiesburg, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+11.2% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-03 Relisted — HAAR
- 2026-03-20 Pending — HAAR
- 2026-02-16 Listed $100,000 HAAR
- 2025-12-10 Rental Removed $1,250 RENTALBEAST
- 2025-11-19 Listed for Rent $1,250 RENTALBEAST
- 2025-11-18 Rental Removed $1,250 PROPERTYWARE
- 2025-11-13 Listed for Rent $1,250 PROPERTYWARE
- 2025-11-13 Rental Removed $1,250 RENTALBEAST
- 2025-11-01 Listed for Rent $1,250 RENTALBEAST
- 2025-11-01 Rental Removed $1,250 PROPERTYWARE
- 2025-09-21 Listed for Rent $1,250 PROPERTYWARE
- 2024-04-18 Rental Removed $1,400 HAAR
- 2024-03-24 Listed for Rent $1,400 HAAR
- 2024-03-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2024-02-23 Sold (MLS) — HAAR
- 2024-01-25 Pending — HAAR
- 2024-01-24 Listed $89,900 HAAR
- 2023-09-13 Listed $89,900 HAAR
Property tax history
+2.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,181 · +16.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…