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2175 W Southern Ave #203
B- Composite 67.96
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.6/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$94,999

2175 W Southern Ave #203 · Apache Junction, AZ 85120
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,237 sqft · Manufactured · 25 Days on market
Built 1983 Good condition 3,500 sqft lot ↓ 15% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

INCREDIBLE OPPORTUNITY TO OWN A LUXURY REMODELED DOUBLE WIDE ON A LARGE LOT! THIS HOME COMES WELL APPOINTED WITH STYLISH FURNISHINGS, TURN-KEY & READY FOR YOU TO MOVE IN! CHEFS DREAM ISLAND KITCHEN WITH NEW STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES, NEW CABINETS & INCLUDES REFRIGERATOR/WASHER & DRYER! LUXURY VINYL PLANK FLOORS THROUGHOUT! PRIMARY IS EN-SUITE WITH CUSTOM BARN DOOR, WALK-IN SHOWER & CLOSET. HUGE ARIZONA ROOM PERFECT FOR ENTERTAINING! IN A QUIET INTERIOR LOCATION AT GATED BONITA VISTA 55+ RESORT OFFERING POOL/SPA, CLUBHOUSE, EVENTS, ACTIVITIES, PICKLEBALL & SO MUCH MORE! MUST SEE TO APPRECIATE! NEW HVAC, NEW ROOF, NEW WATER HEATER, NEW WINDOWS, 2 SHEDS FOR

Key facts

  • Huge arizona room
  • Pool spa
  • 3,500 sq ft lot

Tags

LUXURY REMODELED DOUBLE WIDECHEFS DREAM ISLAND KITCHENNEW STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESHUGE ARIZONA ROOMGATED BONITA VISTA 55+ RESORTPOOL SPA

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Land lease: $750 per month; Association covers sewer, grounds maintenance, street maintenance, and trash; Community amenities: pool, community spa (heated), pickleball courts, fitness center, community media room, biking/walking paths

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 covered parking spaces with direct access; 2 carport spaces
  • Security: Gated community
  • Utilities: City water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Manufactured/mobile home; Leasehold ownership
  • Construction: Wood siding and wood frame construction; Painted exterior; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Mountain views; Wrought-iron fencing; Storage shed(s); Synthetic grass in back; Gravel/stone in front; Private maintained road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Built-in microwave; Laminate counters; Non-laminate counters; Reverse osmosis; Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Disposal
  • Bedrooms: Up to 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring; Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Has heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: High-speed internet; Eat-in kitchen with breakfast bar; Kitchen island; Pantry; No interior steps; Full bath in primary bedroom; Storage; See remarks / Other / Furnished (see remarks)
  • Laundry & utility: Inside laundry with washer/dryer hookups

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $95k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $817 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $94k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 16.6% vs local median 3.5% in Apache Junction — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#70 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Apache Junction Unified District (4443) (suburban): math 15% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #195 of 249 in AZ (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Cactus Canyon Junior High (math 14% / reading 19%, grade F, #151 of 218 statewide, top 70%, 702 students, 50% FRL); Apache Junction High School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #267 of 381 statewide, top 72%, 999 students, 48% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.5%/yr); 468 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 27d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,504 units permitted in Pinal County in 2024 (776 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 5→12/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $93,574 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.96%
Cap rate
16.62%
Cash-on-cash
36.88%
DSCR
2.64
GRM
4.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$268,429
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2208 W Baseline Ave #137 0.70mi 2/2.0 1,232 (-0%) 2mo $50,000 $41 63
2101 S Meridian Rd #49 0.67mi 2/2.0 1,297 (+5%) 1mo $212,800 $164 58
2175 W Southern Ave #200 0.20mi 2/2.0 1,056 (-15%) 13mo $57,900 $55 53
3400 S Ironwood Dr #181 0.53mi 2/2.0 1,150 (-7%) 11mo $85,500 $74 52
2101 S Meridian Rd #99 0.64mi 2/2.0 1,153 (-7%) 9mo $308,500 $268 49
2101 S Meridian Rd #39 0.66mi 2/2.0 1,297 (+5%) 15mo $280,000 $216 47
2101 S Meridian Rd #72 0.65mi 2/2.0 1,082 (-12%) 3mo $310,000 $287 44
2101 S Meridian Rd #50 0.66mi 2/2.0 1,081 (-13%) 4mo $330,000 $305 43
3700 S Ironwood Dr Lot 124 0.74mi 2/2.0 1,056 (-15%) 3mo $34,990 $33 36
1567 S Lawson Dr 0.73mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,402 (+13%) 2mo $319,000 $228 35
2101 S Meridian Rd #85 0.52mi 2/2.0 1,405 (+14%) 19mo $305,000 $217 35
2101 S Meridian Rd #47 0.69mi 2/2.0 1,081 (-13%) 14mo $280,000 $259 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
29.3%
Equity multiple
2.17×
Total profit
$31,230
Equity at exit
$14,165
10-year hold
IRR
34.9%
Equity multiple
3.75×
Total profit
$73,217
Equity at exit
$8,214

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 85120

Home prices YoY
-29.0%
Rents YoY
-3.5%
Active inventory
468
Price-to-rent
4.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,866 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax est. 1.5%
$119 /mo · $1,425/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$392
Net cashflow
$817

Break-even live

Break-even rent $831
Max offer price $94,999
Occupancy floor 51%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $883 -5% $850 +0% $817 +5% $785 +10% $752
Rent -10% $670 -5% $744 +0% $817 +5% $891 +10% $965
Rate -1.0pp $865 -0.5pp $842 base $817 +0.5pp $793 +1.0pp $768

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2065 W 20th Ave Apache Junction, AZ 3.0 2.0 1110 $1,800 $1.62 1d 1 0.41mi
3454 S Warner Dr Apache Junction, AZ 3.0 2.0 1300 $2,500 $1.92 26d 1 0.64mi
2043 S Thunderbird Dr Apache Junction, AZ 3.0 2.0 1348 $1,925 $1.43 26d 1 0.66mi
3000 W Southern Ave Apache Junction, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 836 $1,719 $2.05 1d 13 0.69mi
1446 S Palo Verde Dr Unit apache Apache Junction, AZ 2.0 2.0 1210 $1,700 $1.40 26d 1 0.76mi
2061 S Apache Dr Unit 1 Apache Junction, AZ 2.0 1.0 800 $1,095 $1.37 7d 1 1.23mi
2101 S Yellow Wood #60 Mesa, AZ 2.0 2.0 1371 $2,600 $1.90 0d 1 1.31mi
2101 S Yellow Wood #45 Mesa, AZ 2.0 2.0 1081 $1,649 $1.53 46d 1 1.31mi
455 S Delaware Dr Unit 179 Apache Junction, AZ 2.0 2.0 1060 $2,395 $2.26 26d 1 1.36mi
455 S Delaware Dr Apache Junction, AZ 2.0 2.0 1060 $2,048 $1.93 22d 2 1.36mi
561 S Meridian Rd Unit 1 Apache Junction, AZ 2.0 1.0 700 $1,099 $1.57 26d 1 1.46mi
561 S Meridian Rd Unit 2 Apache Junction, AZ 3.0 2.0 1000 $1,395 $1.40 19d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $94,999 Active 25 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    pricedays on market $94,999 Active 24 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,900 Active 21 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,900 Active 20 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,900 Active 19 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,900 Active 18 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,900 Active 16 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,900 Active 12 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,900 Active 11 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,900 Active 10 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $99,900 Active 7 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $99,900 Active 6 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,900 Active 5 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,900 Active 4 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,900 Active 3 DOM
  16. 2026-05-28
    listed $99,900 Active
  17. 2026-05-21
    historical
  18. 2025-11-21
    listed $117,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 5 d/yr ≥111°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,389
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$1,425
− Insurance
−$475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,791
− Management
−$1,791
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable income
$8,822
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,117
After-tax cash flow
$7,692/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This remodeled double-wide mobile home is in excellent condition with modern updates and a turn-key move-in ready setup. It offers a chefs dream kitchen, luxury vinyl flooring, and a large Arizona room perfect for entertaining. The property is located in a gated community with amenities like a pool, clubhouse, and pickleball court.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Upgrade to smart home features — Improves convenience and marketability

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Upgrade to smart home features — Improves convenience and marketability

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Apache Junction Unified District (4443)
NCES district ID
0400790
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$44,930
Composite
15.34/100
National rank
#9325
State rank
#195 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Apache Junction

Score
66/100
State rank
#70
US rank
#11242

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Pinal County · 399,947 people
City population
56,611
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
Population (ZIP)
31,191
Household income
$57,786
Rent vs Own
17.8% rent · 82.2% own
Severe rent burden
686.0

Population outlook (Pinal County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
437,574 people
By 2030
446,903 · +2.1%
By 2040
452,589 · +3.4%
By 2050
444,126 · +1.5%
By 2075
430,300 · -1.7%
By 2100
393,536 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 10% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 13%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Portuguese 3%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 8% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pinal

2024 margin
Strong R (+22.1) · D 38.5% · R 60.6%
2008→2024 swing
-7.6pp toward R · 2008: -14.5pp · 2024: -22.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+22.1 2020: R+17.3 2016: R+19.3 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+14.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -128.31%
Current HPI
313.4666
Rent YoY
▼ -3.50%
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-14.6% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Listed $99,900 ARMLS
  • 2026-05-21 Listing Removed ARMLS
  • 2025-11-21 Listed $117,000 ARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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