2175 W Southern Ave #203 · Apache Junction, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 5 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +1.6/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$94,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
INCREDIBLE OPPORTUNITY TO OWN A LUXURY REMODELED DOUBLE WIDE ON A LARGE LOT! THIS HOME COMES WELL APPOINTED WITH STYLISH FURNISHINGS, TURN-KEY & READY FOR YOU TO MOVE IN! CHEFS DREAM ISLAND KITCHEN WITH NEW STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES, NEW CABINETS & INCLUDES REFRIGERATOR/WASHER & DRYER! LUXURY VINYL PLANK FLOORS THROUGHOUT! PRIMARY IS EN-SUITE WITH CUSTOM BARN DOOR, WALK-IN SHOWER & CLOSET. HUGE ARIZONA ROOM PERFECT FOR ENTERTAINING! IN A QUIET INTERIOR LOCATION AT GATED BONITA VISTA 55+ RESORT OFFERING POOL/SPA, CLUBHOUSE, EVENTS, ACTIVITIES, PICKLEBALL & SO MUCH MORE! MUST SEE TO APPRECIATE! NEW HVAC, NEW ROOF, NEW WATER HEATER, NEW WINDOWS, 2 SHEDS FOR
Key facts
- Huge arizona room
- Pool spa
- 3,500 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Land lease: $750 per month; Association covers sewer, grounds maintenance, street maintenance, and trash; Community amenities: pool, community spa (heated), pickleball courts, fitness center, community media room, biking/walking paths
Exterior
- Parking: 2 covered parking spaces with direct access; 2 carport spaces
- Security: Gated community
- Utilities: City water; Public sewer
- Home design: Manufactured/mobile home; Leasehold ownership
- Construction: Wood siding and wood frame construction; Painted exterior; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Mountain views; Wrought-iron fencing; Storage shed(s); Synthetic grass in back; Gravel/stone in front; Private maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in microwave; Laminate counters; Non-laminate counters; Reverse osmosis; Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Disposal
- Bedrooms: Up to 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate flooring; Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Has heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: High-speed internet; Eat-in kitchen with breakfast bar; Kitchen island; Pantry; No interior steps; Full bath in primary bedroom; Storage; See remarks / Other / Furnished (see remarks)
- Laundry & utility: Inside laundry with washer/dryer hookups
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $95k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $817 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $94k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.6% vs local median 3.5% in Apache Junction — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#70 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Apache Junction Unified District (4443) (suburban): math 15% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #195 of 249 in AZ (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Cactus Canyon Junior High (math 14% / reading 19%, grade F, #151 of 218 statewide, top 70%, 702 students, 50% FRL); Apache Junction High School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #267 of 381 statewide, top 72%, 999 students, 48% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.5%/yr); 468 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 27d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,504 units permitted in Pinal County in 2024 (776 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 5→12/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.96% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- 36.88%
- DSCR
- 2.64
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $268,429
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2208 W Baseline Ave #137 | 0.70mi | 2/2.0 | 1,232 (-0%) | 2mo | $50,000 | $41 | 63 |
| 2101 S Meridian Rd #49 | 0.67mi | 2/2.0 | 1,297 (+5%) | 1mo | $212,800 | $164 | 58 |
| 2175 W Southern Ave #200 | 0.20mi | 2/2.0 | 1,056 (-15%) | 13mo | $57,900 | $55 | 53 |
| 3400 S Ironwood Dr #181 | 0.53mi | 2/2.0 | 1,150 (-7%) | 11mo | $85,500 | $74 | 52 |
| 2101 S Meridian Rd #99 | 0.64mi | 2/2.0 | 1,153 (-7%) | 9mo | $308,500 | $268 | 49 |
| 2101 S Meridian Rd #39 | 0.66mi | 2/2.0 | 1,297 (+5%) | 15mo | $280,000 | $216 | 47 |
| 2101 S Meridian Rd #72 | 0.65mi | 2/2.0 | 1,082 (-12%) | 3mo | $310,000 | $287 | 44 |
| 2101 S Meridian Rd #50 | 0.66mi | 2/2.0 | 1,081 (-13%) | 4mo | $330,000 | $305 | 43 |
| 3700 S Ironwood Dr Lot 124 | 0.74mi | 2/2.0 | 1,056 (-15%) | 3mo | $34,990 | $33 | 36 |
| 1567 S Lawson Dr | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,402 (+13%) | 2mo | $319,000 | $228 | 35 |
| 2101 S Meridian Rd #85 | 0.52mi | 2/2.0 | 1,405 (+14%) | 19mo | $305,000 | $217 | 35 |
| 2101 S Meridian Rd #47 | 0.69mi | 2/2.0 | 1,081 (-13%) | 14mo | $280,000 | $259 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 29.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.17×
- Total profit
- $31,230
- Equity at exit
- $14,165
- IRR
- 34.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.75×
- Total profit
- $73,217
- Equity at exit
- $8,214
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85120
- Home prices YoY
- -29.0%
- Rents YoY
- -3.5%
- Active inventory
- 468
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,866 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$119 /mo · $1,425/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$392
- Net cashflow
- $817
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $883 | -5% $850 | +0% $817 | +5% $785 | +10% $752 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $670 | -5% $744 | +0% $817 | +5% $891 | +10% $965 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $865 | -0.5pp $842 | base $817 | +0.5pp $793 | +1.0pp $768 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2065 W 20th Ave Apache Junction, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1110 | $1,800 | $1.62 | 1d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 3454 S Warner Dr Apache Junction, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,500 | $1.92 | 26d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 2043 S Thunderbird Dr Apache Junction, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1348 | $1,925 | $1.43 | 26d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 3000 W Southern Ave Apache Junction, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 836 | $1,719 | $2.05 | 1d | 13 | 0.69mi |
| 1446 S Palo Verde Dr Unit apache Apache Junction, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1210 | $1,700 | $1.40 | 26d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 2061 S Apache Dr Unit 1 Apache Junction, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,095 | $1.37 | 7d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 2101 S Yellow Wood #60 Mesa, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1371 | $2,600 | $1.90 | 0d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 2101 S Yellow Wood #45 Mesa, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1081 | $1,649 | $1.53 | 46d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 455 S Delaware Dr Unit 179 Apache Junction, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1060 | $2,395 | $2.26 | 26d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 455 S Delaware Dr Apache Junction, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1060 | $2,048 | $1.93 | 22d | 2 | 1.36mi |
| 561 S Meridian Rd Unit 1 Apache Junction, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,099 | $1.57 | 26d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 561 S Meridian Rd Unit 2 Apache Junction, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,395 | $1.40 | 19d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $94,999 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-21pricedays on market $94,999 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $99,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $99,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-28$99,900 Active
-
2026-05-21historical
-
2025-11-21$117,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 5 d/yr ≥111°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,389
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$1,425
- − Insurance
- −$475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,791
- − Management
- −$1,791
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable income
- $8,822
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,117
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,692/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This remodeled double-wide mobile home is in excellent condition with modern updates and a turn-key move-in ready setup. It offers a chefs dream kitchen, luxury vinyl flooring, and a large Arizona room perfect for entertaining. The property is located in a gated community with amenities like a pool, clubhouse, and pickleball court.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Upgrade to smart home features — Improves convenience and marketability
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Upgrade to smart home features — Improves convenience and marketability ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Apache Junction Unified District (4443)
- NCES district ID
- 0400790
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,930
- Composite
- 15.34/100
- National rank
- #9325
- State rank
- #195 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Apache Junction
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #70
- US rank
- #11242
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Pinal County · 399,947 people
- City population
- 56,611
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,191
- Household income
- $57,786
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 686.0
Population outlook (Pinal County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 437,574 people
- By 2030
- 446,903 · +2.1%
- By 2040
- 452,589 · +3.4%
- By 2050
- 444,126 · +1.5%
- By 2075
- 430,300 · -1.7%
- By 2100
- 393,536 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 10% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Portuguese 3%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 8% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pinal
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+22.1) · D 38.5% · R 60.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.6pp toward R · 2008: -14.5pp · 2024: -22.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+22.1 2020: R+17.3 2016: R+19.3 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+14.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -128.31%
- Current HPI
- 313.4666
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -3.50%
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
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| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
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Price history
-14.6% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Listed $99,900 ARMLS
- 2026-05-21 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2025-11-21 Listed $117,000 ARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…