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200 NW Oregon Ave
D Composite 40.8
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.7/10.0
  • DSCR +3.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.0/10.0

$120,000

200 NW Oregon Ave · Irrigon, OR 97844
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 720 sqft · Manufactured public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1970 0.48 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

HUGE Lot with room to run and play... Large shade trees... Water rights! This home has new floor coverings within the last year...Fruit trees including apple peach and pear... WOW.. what a deal!

Key facts

  • Fully fenced
  • Half acre property
  • Water rights

Tags

HALF ACRE PROPERTYFULLY FENCEDCORNER LOTWATER RIGHTS

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Not a senior community; Zoning: R1

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer and septic tank; Electric service
  • Home design: Manufactured home on real property; Residential property; Single-story (main living on one level); Built in 1970; No notable view
  • Construction: Built in 1970
  • Exterior features: Aluminum exterior; Corner lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free-standing range; Free-standing refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (main level); Second bedroom (main level)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Wall unit cooling; Electric hot water
  • Interior features: Family room; Great room; Dining room; Living room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-52 ($-623/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $111k (7.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $84k (29.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $84k (29.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#232 in OR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Morrow SD 1 (town): math 15% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #49 of 58 in OR (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: A C Houghton Elementary School (reading 17%, 223 students, 67% FRL); Irrigon Elementary School (math 22% / reading 52%, grade F, #50 of 128 statewide, top 41%, 196 students, 69% FRL); Irrigon Junior/Senior High School (math 8% / reading 37%, grade F, #129 of 143 statewide, top 90%, 366 students, 68% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 57 units permitted in Morrow County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($830 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.3% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (3.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→13/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $84,454 (29.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.70%
Cap rate
5.77%
Cash-on-cash
-1.85%
DSCR
0.92
GRM
11.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.32% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.7%
Equity multiple
1.39×
Total profit
$13,154
Equity at exit
$56,149
10-year hold
IRR
9.3%
Equity multiple
2.45×
Total profit
$48,884
Equity at exit
$88,276

Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Oregon
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
SB608 (2019): statewide rent cap (7% + CPI) and just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr. Portland has relocation assistance ordinance.

ZIP-level market 97844

Home prices YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
32
Price-to-rent
11.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$845 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$40 /mo · $478/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$177
Net cashflow
$-52

Break-even live

Break-even rent $910
Max offer price $110,827
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,000
Closing costs
$3,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-05-31
    status $120,000 Pending 5 DOM
  2. 2026-05-30
    days on market $120,000 Active 5 DOM
  3. 2026-05-25
    listed $120,000 Active
  4. 2021-10-08
    soldstatus $105,000
  5. 2021-09-24
    soldstatus $80,000
  6. 2016-05-09
    soldstatus $50,950
  7. 2009-05-01
    soldstatus $27,500 195-char remark
    Show marketing remark (195 chars)

    HUGE Lot with room to run and play... Large shade trees... Water rights! This home has new floor coverings within the last year...Fruit trees including apple peach and pear... WOW.. what a deal!

  8. 2009-04-13
    historical 195-char remark
    Show marketing remark (195 chars)

    HUGE Lot with room to run and play... Large shade trees... Water rights! This home has new floor coverings within the last year...Fruit trees including apple peach and pear... WOW.. what a deal!

  9. 2008-09-09
    listed $35,000 195-char remark
    Show marketing remark (195 chars)

    HUGE Lot with room to run and play... Large shade trees... Water rights! This home has new floor coverings within the last year...Fruit trees including apple peach and pear... WOW.. what a deal!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$478 · $40/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,164 · $97/mo
Expected delta
+$686/yr (+$57/mo · 143.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥98°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 8/10 Severe 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 14 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,134
− Mortgage interest
−$6,722
− Property taxes
−$478
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$811
− Management
−$811
− Depreciation
−$3,491
Taxable loss
−$2,778
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$667
After-tax cash flow
$44/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Morrow SD 1
NCES district ID
4108520
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$48,315
Composite
23.46/100
National rank
#7881
State rank
#49 of 58 in OR

Livability — Irrigon

Score
63/100
State rank
#232
US rank
#15676

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Irrigon, OR
Population (ZIP)
3,569

Population outlook (Morrow County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
11,011 people
By 2030
10,944 · -0.6%
By 2040
10,946 · -0.6%
By 2050
11,054 · +0.4%
By 2075
11,568 · +5.1%
By 2100
11,688 · +6.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 13% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 30%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Iranian 2% Scottish 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada
Languages at home
76% English-only · Spanish 24%

Political lean MEDSL · Morrow

2024 margin
Solid R (+48.4) · D 24.1% · R 72.5% · Other 3.4%
2008→2024 swing
-21.3pp toward R · 2008: -27.1pp · 2024: -48.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+48.4 2020: R+43.3 2016: R+42.5 2012: R+34.8 2008: R+27.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.32%
Current HPI
257.1817
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+242.9% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-25 Listed $120,000 RMLS
  • 2021-10-08 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records
  • 2021-09-24 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
  • 2016-05-09 Sold (Public Records) $50,950 Public Records
  • 2009-05-01 Sold (MLS) $27,500 RMLS
  • 2009-04-13 Delisted RMLS
  • 2008-09-09 Listed $35,000 RMLS

Property tax history

+3.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $478 · +18.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…