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320 Freshwater Ln
D- Composite 38.19
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +8.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +5.6/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.3/10.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0

$284,900

320 Freshwater Ln · Ludowici, GA 31316
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,415 sqft · SingleFamily · 32 Days on market
Built 2024 Excellent condition 2.54 ac lot Est $273k · at est. $39/mo HOA · 2% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to your dream home in the Lanier Ridge Subdivision in Ludowici! This impressive new construction features 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms split floor plan, and a 2-car garage, offering a spacious and functional design with premium finishes. Tucked away in a quiet, family-friendly neighborhood, this home is ideal for creating lasting memories. Reach out today for more details, to receive a video or to schedule a personal tour.

Key facts

  • New construction
  • Split floor plan
  • 2.54 acre lot

Tags

NEW CONSTRUCTIONSPLIT FLOOR PLAN

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Subdivision: Lanier Ridge
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with an annual fee of $468 (about $39/month)

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 total parking spaces; 2 covered spaces; Attached 2-car garage with garage door opener
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Under construction
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built as new construction (under construction)
  • Exterior features: No notable exterior features listed; Level lot; Paved road frontage on a city street

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: 6 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living areas)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; See remarks
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Electric cooling; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; High ceilings; Smoke detectors
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $285k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-248 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $249k (12.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $223k (21.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $223k (21.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#74 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Long County (rural): math 26% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #115 of 174 in GA (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Smiley Elementary School (1,258 students, 67% FRL); Long County Middle School (math 21% / reading 27%, grade F, #311 of 470 statewide, top 68%, 945 students, 69% FRL); Long County High School (math 37% / reading 22%, grade F, #140 of 424 statewide, top 35%, 1,209 students, 70% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 412 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 298 units permitted in Long County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (1.2% local appreciation)).
  • Long County population projected at +72% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($276k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $222,767 (21.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.78%
Cap rate
5.25%
Cash-on-cash
-3.73%
DSCR
0.83
GRM
10.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$273,095
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
241 NE Freshwater Ln 0.05mi 3/2.0 1,415 (0%) 4mo $274,900 $194 94
53 Freshwater Ln 0.20mi 3/2.0 1,415 (0%) 3mo $274,400 $194 88
685 Doctor's Creek Rd NE 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,380 (-2%) 2mo $262,975 $191 88
263 Lanier Rd 0.25mi 3/2.0 1,415 (0%) 3mo $274,400 $194 86
707 Doctor's Creek Rd NE 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,527 (+8%) 1mo $274,830 $180 80
249 Lanier Rd 0.29mi 3/2.0 1,474 (+4%) 5mo $274,900 $186 75
74 Freshwater Ln 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,415 (0%) 1mo $278,000 $196 70
725 Doctor's Creek Rd NE 0.14mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,565 (+11%) 1mo $278,925 $178 70
555 Doctor's Creek Rd NE 0.13mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,565 (+11%) 3mo $277,625 $177 69
612 Doctor's Creek Rd NE 0.14mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,620 (+14%) 2mo $281,325 $174 62
52 Freshwater Ln 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,474 (+4%) 3mo $285,178 $193 62
92 Freshwater Ln 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,473 (+4%) 4mo $284,800 $193 61

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.16% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.0%
Equity multiple
0.90×
Total profit
$-8,195
Equity at exit
$99,617
10-year hold
IRR
2.9%
Equity multiple
1.36×
Total profit
$29,005
Equity at exit
$134,225

Cash invested: $79,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31316

Home prices YoY
0.6%
Active inventory
412
Price-to-rent
10.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,228 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,494
Tax est. 1.5%
$356 /mo · $4,274/yr
Insurance
$119
HOA
$39
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$468
Net cashflow
$-248

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,542
Max offer price $249,012
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-51 -5% $-150 +0% $-248 +5% $-346 +10% $-445
Rent -10% $-424 -5% $-336 +0% $-248 +5% $-160 +10% $-72
Rate -1.0pp $-105 -0.5pp $-176 base $-248 +0.5pp $-322 +1.0pp $-397

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$71,225
Closing costs
$8,547
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
15 Clark St Ludowici, GA 3.0 2.0 1497 $1,995 $1.33 45d 1 1.01mi
59 Forest St NE Ludowici, GA 4.0 2.0 1800 $1,900 $1.06 45d 1 1.33mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$39 · $468/yr

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $284,900 Active 32 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $284,900 Active 30 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $284,900 Active 29 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $284,900 Active 28 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $284,900 Active 27 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $284,900 Active 26 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $284,900 Active 24 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $284,900 Active 23 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $284,900 Active 21 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $284,900 Active 20 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $284,900 Active 19 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $284,900 Active 18 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $284,900 Active 15 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $284,900 Active 14 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $284,900 Active 13 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $284,900 Active 12 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $284,900 Active 11 DOM
  18. 2026-05-30
    days on market $284,900 Active 10 DOM
  19. 2026-05-20
    listed $284,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,732
− Mortgage interest
−$15,959
− Property taxes
−$4,274
− Insurance
−$1,424
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,139
− Management
−$2,139
− HOA
−$468
− Depreciation
−$8,288
Taxable loss
−$7,958
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,910
After-tax cash flow
$-1,066/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 30 photos

Excellent 100/100 None rehab

This new construction home in Ludowici is in excellent condition with modern finishes and a spacious layout. It is move-in ready and ready to be customized for maximum value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Resale Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained yard can increase the home's curb appeal and value.
  • Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase both resale and rental value by making the home more convenient and energy-efficient.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Resale Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained yard can increase the home's curb appeal and value.
  • Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase both resale and rental value by making the home more convenient and energy-efficient.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Long County
NCES district ID
1303360
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$45,958
Composite
22.51/100
National rank
#8090
State rank
#115 of 174 in GA

Livability — Ludowici

Score
72/100
State rank
#74
US rank
#6449

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment D Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Long County · 13,812 people
City population
13,812
Metro
Hinesville, GA
Population (ZIP)
13,812
Household income
$74,766
Rent vs Own
29.6% rent · 70.4% own
Severe rent burden
109.0

Population outlook (Long County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
24,669 people
By 2030
28,223 · +14.4%
By 2040
35,430 · +43.6%
By 2050
42,403 · +71.9%
By 2075
56,996 · +131.0%
By 2100
64,185 · +160.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 61% Black 23% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Long

2024 margin
Strong R (+29.5) · D 35.1% · R 64.6%
2008→2024 swing
-5.4pp toward R · 2008: -24.1pp · 2024: -29.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+29.5 2020: R+26.4 2016: R+30.8 2012: R+22.9 2008: R+24.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.16%
Current HPI
195.2978
Rent YoY
Metro
Hinesville, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $284,900 HABR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…