2028 4th St · Lake Charles, LA
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.65%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$60,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3BR/1.5BA that needs a little TLC. Includes a 20x20 guest house with 1BR/1BA. Will make a great home or investment property. Call for more details or to schedule a showing. Being sold as is where is. Seller will not provide utilities.
Key facts
- Guest house
- 9,147 sq ft lot
- Built 1970
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $51 ($607/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $53k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.8% vs local median 4.3% in Lake Charles — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#95 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, employment D-.
- Calcasieu Parish (other): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #29 of 98 in LA (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 363 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,298 units permitted in Calcasieu Parish in 2024 (526 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Calcasieu County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.2% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 318 days — a 12% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $12k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $24k; list at $60k implies a 155% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 318 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.81% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.83%
- Cash-on-cash
- 34.08%
- DSCR
- 2.52
- GRM
- 4.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $81,357
- List price
- $60,000
- Delta
- -26.25%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1725 8th St | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 | 1,088 (-6%) | 15mo | $76,500 | $70 | 58 |
| 2232 9th St | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,130 (-2%) | 24mo | $58,000 | $51 | 53 |
| 2318 9th St | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,275 (+11%) | 4mo | $94,500 | $74 | 52 |
| 2005 Evelyn St | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 1,230 (+7%) | 19mo | $70,066 | $57 | 44 |
| 1628 7th St | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,060 (-8%) | 22mo | $45,000 | $42 | 42 |
| 2213 11th St | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,000 (-13%) | 15mo | $59,000 | $59 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.18% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.84×
- Total profit
- $-2,663
- Equity at exit
- $8,946
- IRR
- 11.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.11×
- Total profit
- $18,569
- Equity at exit
- $5,188
Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70601
- Rents YoY
- 6.2%
- Active inventory
- 363
- Price-to-rent
- 4.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,085 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$315
- Tax from tax record
- −$41 /mo · $487/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$228
- Net cashflow
- $51
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $85 | -5% $68 | +0% $51 | +5% $34 | +10% $17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-35 | -5% $8 | +0% $51 | +5% $93 | +10% $136 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $81 | -0.5pp $66 | base $51 | +0.5pp $35 | +1.0pp $19 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,000
- Closing costs
- $1,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1915 Legion St Lake Charles, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 966 | $950 | $0.98 | 14d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 1505 7th St Lake Charles, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1054 | $900 | $0.85 | 44d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 333 Mill St Lake Charles, LA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 758 | $750 | $0.99 | 14d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 2405 9th St Lake Charles, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 788 | $850 | $1.08 | 14d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1906 8th Ave Lake Charles, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1001 | $1,350 | $1.35 | 44d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1105 Hunter Dr Lake Charles, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 849 | $900 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 2701 Cline St Unit C Lake Charles, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $700 | $0.81 | 21d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1300 16th St Lake Charles, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1344 | $1,295 | $0.96 | 21d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 628 Division St Lake Charles, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1007 | $1,250 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 1.30mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $60,000 Active 318 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $60,000 Active 317 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $60,000 Active 316 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $60,000 Active 315 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $60,000 Active 314 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $60,000 Active 312 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $60,000 Active 311 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $60,000 Active 309 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $60,000 Active 308 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $60,000 Active 307 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $60,000 Active 306 DOM
-
2026-06-05pricedays on market $60,000 Active 303 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $72,500 Active 301 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $72,500 Active 300 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $72,500 Active 299 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $72,500 Active 298 DOM
-
2024-09-16$72,500 Active 234-char remark
Show marketing remark (234 chars)
3BR/1.5BA that needs a little TLC. Includes a 20x20 guest house with 1BR/1BA. Will make a great home or investment property. Call for more details or to schedule a showing. Being sold as is where is. Seller will not provide utilities.
-
2015-11-13soldstatus 167-char remark
Show marketing remark (167 chars)
Cute cottage on very nice shaded lot. house has 3 bedrooms one bath. In the back there is an old apartment (needs work) which could be restored or just used as storage
-
2015-03-28$49,900 167-char remark
Show marketing remark (167 chars)
Cute cottage on very nice shaded lot. house has 3 bedrooms one bath. In the back there is an old apartment (needs work) which could be restored or just used as storage
-
2001-06-29soldstatus $23,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $487 · $41/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $487 · $41/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone AE · 65% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,023
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,361
- − Property taxes
- −$487
- − Insurance
- −$5,418
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,042
- − Management
- −$1,042
- − Depreciation
- −$1,745
- Taxable loss
- −$73
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$17
- After-tax cash flow
- $624/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Calcasieu Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200330
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -39.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -33.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,700
- Composite
- 31.45/100
- National rank
- #5979
- State rank
- #29 of 98 in LA
Livability — Lake Charles
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #95
- US rank
- #9820
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lake Charles, LA
- County
- Calcasieu Parish · 170,889 people
- City population
- 133,538
- Metro
- Lake Charles, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,872
- Household income
- $49,992
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1304.0
Population outlook (Calcasieu County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 212,179 people
- By 2030
- 218,199 · +2.8%
- By 2040
- 228,486 · +7.7%
- By 2050
- 236,208 · +11.3%
- By 2075
- 251,696 · +18.6%
- By 2100
- 247,848 · +16.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 59% White 31% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 7% Iranian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Calcasieu
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.6) · D 29.5% · R 69.0% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.0pp toward R · 2008: -24.6pp · 2024: -39.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.6 2020: R+35.2 2016: R+33.3 2012: R+28.7 2008: R+24.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -109.32%
- Current HPI
- 55.6127
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.18%
- Metro
- Lake Charles, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+208.5% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2024-09-16 Listed $72,500 SWLAR
- 2015-11-13 Sold (MLS) — SWLAR
- 2015-03-28 Listed $49,900 SWLAR
- 2001-06-29 Sold (Public Records) $23,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.6%/yrLatest (2025): $487 · +4.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…