1952 SW 12th St · Lincoln, NE
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,161 – $2,155
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.4/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- ARV discount +6.8/15.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$63,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome home to 1952 SW 12th Street in Harbour West Mobile Home Court. This home features 3 bedrooms, 2 baths and a spacious living room and kitchen area. Washer and dryer stay with the purchase of the home. Monthly rent is $625. Buyers must be approved through mobile park. Personal Property to be left in home for convenience of seller. Schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- Extra-wide lot
- Huge center island
- Double parking
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Association: Harbour West; Monthly association fee of $650; Association amenities include pool access, clubhouse, and playground
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking; Extra parking slab; Open parking available
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas available
- Home design: Residential mobile home; One-story (main floor living); Built in 2020
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof; Other foundation
- Exterior features: Front porch; Deck; City lot with irregular shape
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Microwave
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on main floor with walk-in closet; Second bedroom on main floor with walk-in closet; Third bedroom on main floor with walk-in closet
- Flooring: Luxury vinyl plank
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms, both on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Electric forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: No basement; Luxury Vinyl Plank flooring throughout; No fireplaces; Disposal
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry area with luxury vinyl plank
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $63k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $117 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $63k).
- Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 3.0% in Lincoln — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 85/100 on livability (#5 in NE, #545 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+.
- Lincoln Public Schools (urban): math 50% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #59 of 111 in NE (top 53%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Roper Elementary School (math 46% / reading 44%, grade D-, #287 of 502 statewide, top 57%, 863 students, 58% FRL); Park Middle School (math 37% / reading 37%, grade F, #99 of 128 statewide, top 79%, 834 students, 68% FRL); Northwest High School (499 students, 52% FRL) — zoned schools average 59% FRL vs 37% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 90 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,940 units permitted in Lancaster County in 2024 (895 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $436 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lancaster County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 43% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.42% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.93%
- DSCR
- 1.35
- GRM
- 3.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $62,016
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1800 SW 11th St | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,216 (0%) | 5mo | $41,000 | $34 | 86 |
| 1407 W Commodore Blvd | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (-5%) | 1mo | $49,000 | $43 | 86 |
| 1427 W Arlington Ave | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,216 (0%) | 14mo | $50,000 | $41 | 80 |
| 1021 Gordon Dr | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,056 (-13%) | 1mo | $46,000 | $44 | 73 |
| 1206 W Plum St | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (-5%) | 20mo | $60,000 | $52 | 73 |
| 1407 W Commodore Blvd #194 | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,088 (-10%) | 11mo | $60,000 | $55 | 69 |
| 1809 SW 15th St | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,280 (+5%) | 22mo | $65,000 | $51 | 63 |
| 1015 Gordon Dr | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,088 (-10%) | 20mo | $60,000 | $55 | 61 |
| 1305 W Arlington Ave | 0.16mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,305 (+7%) | 18mo | $81,500 | $62 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.38% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.81×
- Total profit
- $-3,302
- Equity at exit
- $9,394
- IRR
- 3.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.26×
- Total profit
- $4,582
- Equity at exit
- $5,447
Cash invested: $17,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Nebraska
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 68522
- Home prices YoY
- -31.6%
- Rents YoY
- 2.4%
- Active inventory
- 90
- Price-to-rent
- 3.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,522 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$330
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$79 /mo · $945/yr
- Insurance
- −$26
- HOA
- −$650
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$320
- Net cashflow
- $117
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $160 | -5% $138 | +0% $117 | +5% $95 | +10% $73 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-4 | -5% $57 | +0% $117 | +5% $177 | +10% $237 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $148 | -0.5pp $133 | base $117 | +0.5pp $100 | +1.0pp $84 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,750
- Closing costs
- $1,890
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1915 SW 12th St Unit 128 Lincoln, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 728 | $1,429 | $1.96 | 44d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 1309 W Plum St #73 Lincoln, NE | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1088 | $1,679 | $1.54 | 44d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 705 Folsom Ln Lincoln, NE | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1173 | $2,105 | $1.79 | 14d | 16 | 0.41mi |
| 1101 W C St Lincoln, NE | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 1045 | $1,385 | $1.33 | 14d | 9 | 0.54mi |
| 1500 S Folsom St Unit 6 Lincoln, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 766 | $975 | $1.27 | 22d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1500 S Folsom St Unit 8 Lincoln, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 766 | $950 | $1.24 | 22d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1500 S Folsom St Unit 4 Lincoln, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 766 | $975 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 760 W C St Lincoln, NE | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1018 | $1,419 | $1.39 | 14d | 8 | 0.69mi |
| 2960 S Coddington Ave Lincoln, NE | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 798 | $1,419 | $1.78 | 14d | 10 | 0.79mi |
| 1170 SW 27th St Lincoln, NE | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1022 | $1,349 | $1.32 | 14d | 12 | 1.13mi |
| 1708 S 6th St Unit 2 Lincoln, NE | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1444 | $1,800 | $1.25 | 14d | 1 | 1.44mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $650 · $7,800/yr
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $63,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $63,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $63,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-15statusdays on market $63,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-14statusdays on market $63,000 New 3 DOM
-
2026-05-01status Pending
-
2025-10-30$63,000 New
-
2023-01-30soldstatus $56,000 Sold 367-char remark
Show marketing remark (367 chars)
Welcome home to 1952 SW 12th Street in Harbour West Mobile Home Court. This home features 3 bedrooms, 2 baths and a spacious living room and kitchen area. Washer and dryer stay with the purchase of the home. Monthly rent is $625. Buyers must be approved through mobile park. Personal Property to be left in home for convenience of seller. Schedule your showing today!
-
2023-01-18status Pending 367-char remark
Show marketing remark (367 chars)
Welcome home to 1952 SW 12th Street in Harbour West Mobile Home Court. This home features 3 bedrooms, 2 baths and a spacious living room and kitchen area. Washer and dryer stay with the purchase of the home. Monthly rent is $625. Buyers must be approved through mobile park. Personal Property to be left in home for convenience of seller. Schedule your showing today!
-
2023-01-09$59,900 New 367-char remark
Show marketing remark (367 chars)
Welcome home to 1952 SW 12th Street in Harbour West Mobile Home Court. This home features 3 bedrooms, 2 baths and a spacious living room and kitchen area. Washer and dryer stay with the purchase of the home. Monthly rent is $625. Buyers must be approved through mobile park. Personal Property to be left in home for convenience of seller. Schedule your showing today!
-
2023-01-03historical
-
2022-12-03$63,900 New
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,258
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,529
- − Property taxes
- −$945
- − Insurance
- −$315
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,461
- − Management
- −$1,461
- − HOA
- −$7,800
- − Depreciation
- −$1,833
- Taxable income
- $915
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$220
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,180/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lincoln Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3172840
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,273
- Composite
- 44.05/100
- National rank
- #2880
- State rank
- #59 of 111 in NE
Livability — Lincoln
- Score
- 85/100
- State rank
- #5
- US rank
- #545
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lincoln, NE
- County
- Lancaster County · 291,509 people
- City population
- 291,509
- Metro
- Lincoln, NE
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,836
- Household income
- $77,597
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 366.0
Population outlook (Lancaster County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 352,806 people
- By 2030
- 377,899 · +7.1%
- By 2040
- 428,582 · +21.5%
- By 2050
- 483,103 · +36.9%
- By 2075
- 632,390 · +79.2%
- By 2100
- 759,513 · +115.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8% Black 8% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Arab 4% Italian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 4% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Lancaster
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.1% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.7pp no change · 2008: 5.0pp · 2024: 4.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.3 2020: D+7.8 2016: D+0.1 2012: R+1.0 2008: D+5.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -114.49%
- Current HPI
- 247.8809
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.38%
- Metro
- Lincoln, NE
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 0.68%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Conglomerate | 1 | $371B |
|
||
Price history
-1.4% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Pending — GPRMLS
- 2025-10-30 Listed $63,000 GPRMLS
- 2023-01-30 Sold (MLS) $56,000 GPRMLS
- 2023-01-18 Pending — GPRMLS
- 2023-01-09 Listed $59,900 GPRMLS
- 2023-01-03 Listing Removed — GPRMLS
- 2022-12-03 Listed $63,900 GPRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…