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2301 SE 33rd St 🌊 Lakefront
D- Composite 37.0
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +4.3/15.0
  • DSCR +4.2/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.2/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$225,000

2301 SE 33rd St · Taylor Creek, FL 34974
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,440 sqft · Manufactured public records · 274 Days on market
Built 1977 8,250 sqft lot Est $210k · 7% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

TAYLOR CREEK ISLES - Well maintained 3 Bd/ 2 Ba/ carport DWMH with LAKE "O" Access! Split floor plan, higher ceilings, walk-in closets in all bedrooms. Nice Master suite w/ separate tub and shower. Island Kitchen, cooktop, wall oven. Breakfast bar open to the family room. ALL Furniture included. 1362 Sf under air - 2748 TLA. Charming front porch. NEW back deck. Storage shed. Metal roof. This one has great curb appeal! Good Seawall. Here's Your FLORIDA GET-AWAY! All dimensions are approximate, must measure for exact

Key facts

  • Waterfront views
  • Launch your boat
  • Canal frontage

Tags

CANAL FRONTAGEACCESS TO LAKE OKEECHOBEESPLIT-BEDROOM FLOOR PLANWATERFRONT VIEWSLAUNCH YOUR BOAT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Circular driveway; 4 total parking spaces (including 2 open spaces)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Manufactured home; Single-story; Faces south; Resale property
  • Construction: Composition and rolled/hot mop roof; Skirt: Other; Construction materials: See remarks; Built as a manufactured home
  • Exterior features: Open patio; Patio; Shed(s); Fruit trees; Lake access (waterfront)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Kitchen island; Open patio
  • Laundry & utility: Indoor laundry; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $225k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $25 ($298/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $184k (18.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $184k (18.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 4.1% in Taylor Creek — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#874 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Okeechobee (town): math 44% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #58 of 73 in FL (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: South Elementary School (math 38% / reading 49%, grade F, #1,345 of 2,144 statewide, top 64%, 573 students, 61% FRL); Osceola Middle School (math 53% / reading 36%, grade D, #320 of 571 statewide, top 57%, 753 students, 67% FRL); Okeechobee High School (math 30% / reading 42%, grade F, #359 of 667 statewide, top 55%, 1,692 students, 62% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 402 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Okeechobee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Okeechobee County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 274 days — a 12% lower offer ($198k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $129k; list at $225k implies a 74% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $183,817 (18.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 274 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  8. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  9. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.82%
Cap rate
6.43%
Cash-on-cash
0.47%
DSCR
1.02
GRM
10.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$210,240
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2306 SE 31st St 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,362 (-5%) 9mo $275,000 $202 79
1903 SE 30th St S 0.32mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,441 (+0%) 4mo $267,000 $185 76
2128 SE 32nd St 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,296 (-10%) 4mo $250,000 $193 76
2408 SE 32nd St 0.07mi 3/2.0 1,296 (-10%) 15mo $141,300 $109 67
2224 SE 34th Ln 0.11mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,344 (-7%) 14mo $240,000 $179 67
2001 SE 27th St 0.43mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,476 (+2%) 5mo $197,000 $133 67
2200 SE 24th Blvd 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,512 (+5%) 2mo $220,000 $146 64
1601 Us Highway 441 SE #78 0.63mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,429 (-1%) 4mo $125,000 $87 61
1601 SE Us Highway 441 #86 0.63mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,389 (-4%) 1mo $220,000 $158 59
2521 SE 29th St 0.30mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,627 (+13%) 11mo $225,000 $138 50
1601 Us Highway 441 Hwy SE #73 0.63mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,329 (-8%) 4mo $80,000 $60 50
1601 U.s. 441 #71 0.63mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,276 (-11%) 2mo $142,500 $112 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.6%
Equity multiple
0.45×
Total profit
$-34,930
Equity at exit
$33,548
10-year hold
IRR
-7.1%
Equity multiple
0.55×
Total profit
$-28,586
Equity at exit
$19,454

Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34974

Home prices YoY
-15.6%
Active inventory
402
Price-to-rent
10.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,838 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,180
Tax from tax record
$154 /mo · $1,844/yr
Insurance
$94
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$386
Net cashflow
$25

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,807
Max offer price $225,000
Occupancy floor 94%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,250
Closing costs
$6,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 34 events

  1. 2026-06-16
    days on market $225,000 Active 274 DOM
  2. 2026-06-15
    days on market $225,000 Active 273 DOM
  3. 2026-06-14
    days on market $225,000 Active 271 DOM
  4. 2026-06-10
    days on market $225,000 Active 268 DOM
  5. 2026-06-09
    days on market $225,000 Active 267 DOM
  6. 2026-06-08
    days on market $225,000 Active 266 DOM
  7. 2026-06-07
    days on market $225,000 Active 265 DOM
  8. 2026-06-05
    days on market $225,000 Active 262 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    days on market $225,000 Active 261 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $225,000 Active 260 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $225,000 Active 259 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $225,000 Active 258 DOM
  13. 2026-05-30
    days on market $225,000 Active 257 DOM
  14. 2026-05-18
    price $225,000
  15. 2026-03-04
    price $229,800
  16. 2026-02-04
    price $234,800
  17. 2025-09-15
    listed $239,000 Active
  18. 2025-07-30
    historical
  19. 2025-06-24
    price $239,000
  20. 2025-04-03
    price $259,000
  21. 2025-02-11
    price $264,900
  22. 2024-09-03
    price $269,999
  23. 2024-07-19
    status Active
  24. 2024-07-05
    historical Active Under Contract
  25. 2024-06-11
    listed $274,900 Active
  26. 2021-04-20
    soldstatus $129,000
  27. 2021-04-17
    soldstatus $129,000 Closed 536-char remark
    Show marketing remark (536 chars)

    TAYLOR CREEK ISLES - Well maintained 3 Bd/ 2 Ba/ carport DWMH with LAKE "O" Access! Split floor plan, higher ceilings, walk-in closets in all bedrooms. Nice Master suite w/ separate tub and shower. Island Kitchen, cooktop, wall oven. Breakfast bar open to the family room. ALL Furniture included. 1362 Sf under air - 2748 TLA. Charming front porch. NEW back deck. Storage shed. Metal roof. This one has great curb appeal! Good Seawall. Here's Your FLORIDA GET-AWAY! All dimensions are approximate, must measure for exact

  28. 2021-04-01
    status Pending 536-char remark
    Show marketing remark (536 chars)

    TAYLOR CREEK ISLES - Well maintained 3 Bd/ 2 Ba/ carport DWMH with LAKE "O" Access! Split floor plan, higher ceilings, walk-in closets in all bedrooms. Nice Master suite w/ separate tub and shower. Island Kitchen, cooktop, wall oven. Breakfast bar open to the family room. ALL Furniture included. 1362 Sf under air - 2748 TLA. Charming front porch. NEW back deck. Storage shed. Metal roof. This one has great curb appeal! Good Seawall. Here's Your FLORIDA GET-AWAY! All dimensions are approximate, must measure for exact

  29. 2021-03-03
    status Pending 536-char remark
    Show marketing remark (536 chars)

    TAYLOR CREEK ISLES - Well maintained 3 Bd/ 2 Ba/ carport DWMH with LAKE "O" Access! Split floor plan, higher ceilings, walk-in closets in all bedrooms. Nice Master suite w/ separate tub and shower. Island Kitchen, cooktop, wall oven. Breakfast bar open to the family room. ALL Furniture included. 1362 Sf under air - 2748 TLA. Charming front porch. NEW back deck. Storage shed. Metal roof. This one has great curb appeal! Good Seawall. Here's Your FLORIDA GET-AWAY! All dimensions are approximate, must measure for exact

  30. 2021-01-29
    price $129,000 536-char remark
    Show marketing remark (536 chars)

    TAYLOR CREEK ISLES - Well maintained 3 Bd/ 2 Ba/ carport DWMH with LAKE "O" Access! Split floor plan, higher ceilings, walk-in closets in all bedrooms. Nice Master suite w/ separate tub and shower. Island Kitchen, cooktop, wall oven. Breakfast bar open to the family room. ALL Furniture included. 1362 Sf under air - 2748 TLA. Charming front porch. NEW back deck. Storage shed. Metal roof. This one has great curb appeal! Good Seawall. Here's Your FLORIDA GET-AWAY! All dimensions are approximate, must measure for exact

  31. 2020-12-10
    price $139,000 536-char remark
    Show marketing remark (536 chars)

    TAYLOR CREEK ISLES - Well maintained 3 Bd/ 2 Ba/ carport DWMH with LAKE "O" Access! Split floor plan, higher ceilings, walk-in closets in all bedrooms. Nice Master suite w/ separate tub and shower. Island Kitchen, cooktop, wall oven. Breakfast bar open to the family room. ALL Furniture included. 1362 Sf under air - 2748 TLA. Charming front porch. NEW back deck. Storage shed. Metal roof. This one has great curb appeal! Good Seawall. Here's Your FLORIDA GET-AWAY! All dimensions are approximate, must measure for exact

  32. 2020-08-25
    listed $149,000 Active 536-char remark
    Show marketing remark (536 chars)

    TAYLOR CREEK ISLES - Well maintained 3 Bd/ 2 Ba/ carport DWMH with LAKE "O" Access! Split floor plan, higher ceilings, walk-in closets in all bedrooms. Nice Master suite w/ separate tub and shower. Island Kitchen, cooktop, wall oven. Breakfast bar open to the family room. ALL Furniture included. 1362 Sf under air - 2748 TLA. Charming front porch. NEW back deck. Storage shed. Metal roof. This one has great curb appeal! Good Seawall. Here's Your FLORIDA GET-AWAY! All dimensions are approximate, must measure for exact

  33. 2020-03-12
    soldstatus $70,000
  34. 1976-09-01
    soldstatus $9,160

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,844 · $154/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,868 · $156/mo
Expected delta
+$24/yr (+$2/mo · 1.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,058
− Mortgage interest
−$12,603
− Property taxes
−$1,844
− Insurance
−$1,125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,765
− Management
−$1,765
− Depreciation
−$6,545
Taxable loss
−$3,589
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$861
After-tax cash flow
$1,159/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Okeechobee
NCES district ID
1201410
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$36,710
Composite
35.73/100
National rank
#4855
State rank
#58 of 73 in FL

Livability — Taylor Creek

Score
56/100
State rank
#874
US rank
#23017

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Taylor Creek, FL
County
Okeechobee County · 23,975 people
Metro
Okeechobee, FL
Population (ZIP)
23,975
Household income
$53,013
Rent vs Own
18.3% rent · 81.7% own
Severe rent burden
399.0

Population outlook (Okeechobee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
37,273 people
By 2030
35,885 · -3.7%
By 2040
32,931 · -11.6%
By 2050
29,433 · -21.0%
By 2075
19,607 · -47.4%
By 2100
11,814 · -68.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 8% Asian 2% Black 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Iranian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 16% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Okeechobee

2024 margin
Solid R (+53.8) · D 22.9% · R 76.7%
2008→2024 swing
-34.6pp toward R · 2008: -19.2pp · 2024: -53.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+53.8 2020: R+44.4 2016: R+39.5 2012: R+20.0 2008: R+19.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -64.47%
Current HPI
348.6692
Rent YoY
Metro
Okeechobee, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+2356.3% since first listed
21 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Price Changed $225,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2026-03-04 Price Changed $229,800 Beaches MLS
  • 2026-02-04 Price Changed $234,800 Beaches MLS
  • 2025-09-15 Listed $239,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2025-07-30 Listing Removed Beaches MLS
  • 2025-06-24 Price Changed $239,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2025-04-03 Price Changed $259,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2025-02-11 Price Changed $264,900 Beaches MLS
  • 2024-09-03 Price Changed $269,999 Beaches MLS
  • 2024-07-19 Relisted Beaches MLS
  • 2024-07-05 Contingent Beaches MLS
  • 2024-06-11 Listed $274,900 Beaches MLS
  • 2021-04-20 Sold (Public Records) $129,000 Public Records
  • 2021-04-17 Sold (MLS) $129,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-04-01 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-03-03 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-01-29 Price Changed $129,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-12-10 Price Changed $139,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-08-25 Listed $149,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-03-12 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
  • 1976-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $9,160 Public Records

Property tax history

+12.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,844 · +4.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…