3321 Rivulet Run · Huntertown, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.8/30.0
- ARV discount +6.2/15.0
- Schools +4.9/10.0
- Rent growth +4.4/5.0
- DSCR +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$299,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Located in the Lakes of Carroll Creek neighborhood, this 5-bedroom, 2.5-bath home offers a comfortable layout with thoughtful updates throughout and convenient access to nearby schools, shopping, and work commutes. Built in 2002, the home features a main-level living room that serves as a central gathering space, along with five bedrooms that provide flexibility for a variety of living needs. The primary suite includes its own private bath and double closets, offering both functionality and everyday convenience. A number of key updates have already been completed, including a new roof in 2021 and HVAC system in 2022. In 2026, the home saw extensive improvements such as new flooring, fresh p
Key facts
- 8,712 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Pool
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with two spaces; Garage door opener; Off-street parking
- Security: Smoke detectors; Carbon monoxide detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Site-built home; Two stories
- Construction: Brick and vinyl siding; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Covered patio; Porch; Landscaped, level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Disposal
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom; One main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air; Ceiling fans; Natural gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Walk-in closets; Ceiling fans; Tray ceilings; Disposal
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Main-level laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $300k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-84 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $285k (5.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $224k (25.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $224k (25.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 4.1% in Huntertown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#159 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Northwest Allen County Schools (rural): math 51% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #25 of 301 in IN (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 11% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Eel River Elementary School (math 56% / reading 41%, grade D, #304 of 994 statewide, top 31%, 412 students, 29% FRL); Carroll Middle School (math 39% / reading 55%, grade D+, #65 of 330 statewide, top 21%, 994 students, 29% FRL); Carroll High School (math 59% / reading 86%, grade B+, #10 of 369 statewide, top 3%, 2,554 students, 21% FRL) — zoned schools average 26% FRL vs 11% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.6%/yr); 327 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,861 units permitted in Allen County in 2024 (576 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($81k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Allen County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.75% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.21%
- DSCR
- 0.95
- GRM
- 11.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $291,200
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3514 Astoria Way | 0.16mi | 3/2.5 | 1,711 (+3%) | 2mo | $309,000 | $181 | 86 |
| 3206 Rivulet Run | 0.12mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,721 (+3%) | 1mo | $319,000 | $185 | 83 |
| 3510 Flowing Brook Dr | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,615 (-3%) | 3mo | $265,000 | $164 | 80 |
| 3632 Astoria Way | 0.26mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,634 (-2%) | 3mo | $279,000 | $171 | 77 |
| 3716 Winding River Ct | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,506 (-10%) | 1mo | $275,000 | $183 | 65 |
| 3120 Limerick Pl | 0.56mi | 3/2.5 | 1,600 (-4%) | 3mo | $279,499 | $175 | 64 |
| 12963 Rey Cv | 0.39mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,771 (+6%) | 2mo | $338,050 | $191 | 63 |
| 12960 Rey Cv | 0.40mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,771 (+6%) | 4mo | $329,900 | $186 | 61 |
| 2937 Ford Dr | 0.46mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,875 (+13%) | 2mo | $298,000 | $159 | 51 |
| 2607 Creeping Phlox Cv | 0.70mi | 3/2.5 | 1,839 (+10%) | 4mo | $284,900 | $155 | 47 |
| 11213 Robinair Dr | 0.71mi | 3/2.5 | 1,900 (+14%) | 1mo | $285,000 | $150 | 42 |
| 11426 Maywin Dr | 0.68mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,879 (+13%) | 3mo | $279,900 | $149 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.64% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.49×
- Total profit
- $-43,137
- Equity at exit
- $44,716
- IRR
- 0.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.05×
- Total profit
- $4,498
- Equity at exit
- $25,930
Cash invested: $83,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46818
- Rents YoY
- 7.6%
- Active inventory
- 327
- Price-to-rent
- 11.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,238 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,573
- Tax from tax record
- −$154 /mo · $1,853/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$470
- Net cashflow
- $-84
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $85 | -5% $1 | +0% $-84 | +5% $-169 | +10% $-254 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-261 | -5% $-173 | +0% $-84 | +5% $4 | +10% $92 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $67 | -0.5pp $-8 | base $-84 | +0.5pp $-162 | +1.0pp $-241 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $74,975
- Closing costs
- $8,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3115 Carroll Rd Fort Wayne, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1244 | $2,300 | $1.85 | 14d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 4722 Whittlebury Dr Fort Wayne, IN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1650 | $1,999 | $1.21 | 14d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 5045 Portney Pl Fort Wayne, IN | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2226 | $2,300 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1527 Flint Lock Ln Fort Wayne, IN | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1570 | $1,950 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 1.28mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-01status Pending
-
2026-04-30$299,900 Active
-
2026-04-24historical $299,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,853 · $154/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,201 · $183/mo
- Expected delta
- +$348/yr (+$29/mo · 18.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,852
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,799
- − Property taxes
- −$1,853
- − Insurance
- −$1,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,148
- − Management
- −$2,148
- − Depreciation
- −$8,724
- Taxable loss
- −$6,321
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,517
- After-tax cash flow
- $505/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Northwest Allen County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1808250
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $78,952
- Composite
- 49.26/100
- National rank
- #2027
- State rank
- #25 of 301 in IN
Livability — Huntertown
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #159
- US rank
- #7771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Huntertown, IN
- County
- Allen County · 326,813 people
- Metro
- Fort Wayne, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,954
- Household income
- $81,066
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 101.0
Population outlook (Allen County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 394,020 people
- By 2030
- 405,128 · +2.8%
- By 2040
- 423,476 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 435,137 · +10.4%
- By 2075
- 450,293 · +14.3%
- By 2100
- 424,101 · +7.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 4% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Slovak 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Allen
- 2024 margin
- R (+12.5) · D 42.9% · R 55.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.1pp toward R · 2008: -4.3pp · 2024: -12.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+12.5 2020: R+11.2 2016: R+19.6 2012: R+16.8 2008: R+4.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -217.71%
- Current HPI
- 228.1539
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.64%
- Metro
- Fort Wayne, IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Pending — IRMLS
- 2026-04-30 Listed $299,900 IRMLS
- 2026-04-24 Coming Soon $299,900 IRMLS
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2024): $1,853 · +16.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…