1429 Mimosa St · North Crossett, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 56.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.9/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +8.8/15.0
- 1% rule +8.4/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
1993 Mobile Home on 2.18 acres - 1,456 sq ft. 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, Large Living Room with new Gas Heater. (AC central unit works, but gas central unit does not. ) Eat in Kitchen, laundry room, nice size deck in back, with 2 storage buildings covered carport. There is a second home on the property. It has not been lived in 15 plus years. 1,118 sq ft - 3bed/2 baths. Property would need some TLC to make it livable. This could make a good rental investment property.
Key facts
- 2.18 acre lot
- Built 1993
- Listed 40 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Financing available: Conventional loan or cash
Exterior
- Parking: Parking pads
- Utilities: Public sewer; Public water; Natural gas available
- Home design: Manufactured single-wide home
- Construction: Metal/vinyl siding; Metal roof; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Deck; Partially fenced yard; Paved road access; Rural property setting
Interior
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central electric cooling
- Interior features: Washer connection; Electric dryer connection; Fireplace (see remarks); Sheetrock and wallpaper walls/ceilings
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $278 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $73k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#239 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+, crime B; Watch: employment D, health & safety D, schools F.
- Crossett School District (town): math 19% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #213 of 238 in AR (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 56 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ashley County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 56% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.34% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.88%
- DSCR
- 1.71
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $77,232
- List price
- $75,000
- Delta
- -2.89%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1432 Mimosa St | 0.06mi | 3/1.0 | 1,056 (-11%) | 16mo | $10,700 | $10 | 61 |
| 1632 Pit Rd | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 1,182 (-0%) | 24mo | $85,000 | $72 | 60 |
| 201 W Pierce St | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 1,124 (-5%) | 15mo | $80,000 | $71 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.27×
- Total profit
- $5,566
- Equity at exit
- $11,183
- IRR
- 16.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.32×
- Total profit
- $27,705
- Equity at exit
- $6,485
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71635
- Home prices YoY
- -30.4%
- Active inventory
- 56
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,008 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$94 /mo · $1,125/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$212
- Net cashflow
- $278
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $330 | -5% $304 | +0% $278 | +5% $252 | +10% $226 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $198 | -5% $238 | +0% $278 | +5% $318 | +10% $358 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $316 | -0.5pp $297 | base $278 | +0.5pp $259 | +1.0pp $239 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-17status $75,000 Under Contract 40 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $75,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $75,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $75,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 470-char remark
-
2026-06-12days on market $75,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $75,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $75,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $75,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $75,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $75,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $75,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $75,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $75,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $75,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-04$75,000 New Listing 469-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 56% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,095
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$1,125
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$968
- − Management
- −$968
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $2,277
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$546
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,789/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Crossett School District
- NCES district ID
- 0504800
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,682
- Composite
- 16.73/100
- National rank
- #9162
- State rank
- #213 of 238 in AR
Livability — North Crossett
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #239
- US rank
- #17857
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- North Crossett, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,368
Population outlook (Ashley County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 18,757 people
- By 2030
- 17,541 · -6.5%
- By 2040
- 15,243 · -18.7%
- By 2050
- 13,136 · -30.0%
- By 2075
- 8,901 · -52.5%
- By 2100
- 5,626 · -70.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 67% Black 28% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ashley
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+48.0) · D 25.2% · R 73.2% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.9pp toward R · 2008: -28.1pp · 2024: -48.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+48.0 2020: R+43.2 2016: R+36.5 2012: R+25.4 2008: R+28.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -54.73%
- Current HPI
- 125.616
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Pending — CARMLS
- 2026-05-04 Listed $75,000 CARMLS
Property tax history
-0.2%/yrLatest (2025): $135 · +8.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…