1521 N Haynie Ave · Tyler, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 60.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor Special! Welcome to 1521 N Haynie situated in North Tyler with convenient access to Hwy 271. This property features an approx. 1300 sq ft home and an approx. 775 sq ft guesthouse. It needs TLC, your vision and workmanship to bring it to life and once complete, it could make an excellent starter home with income potential or home with mother in law suite. Come visit this property and take advantage of this opportunity!
Key facts
- 0.23 acre lot
- Built 2014
- Listed 126 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $655 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.2% vs local median 3.5% in Tyler — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#147 in TX, #4,181 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D+, commute F.
- Tyler ISD (urban): math 39% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #449 of 826 in TX (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Douglas El (math 45% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,921 of 4,322 statewide, top 45%, 585 students, 97% FRL); Tyler H S (math 26% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,228 of 1,632 statewide, top 76%, 2,164 students, 90% FRL) — zoned schools average 93% FRL vs 66% district-wide (28 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 205 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 93d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 595 units permitted in Smith County in 2024 (45 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Smith County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.3% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 127 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 11 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.5% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 60% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 127 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.91% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.08%
- DSCR
- 2.25
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $192,691
- List price
- $99,900
- Delta
- -48.16%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 12 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1552 Crescent Dr | 1.42mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 2,080 (+0%) | 10mo | $64,999 | $31 | 50 |
| 2806 N Glass Ave | 1.23mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,970 (-5%) | 0mo | $140,000 | $71 | 47 |
| 1213 E Laurel St | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,591 (-23%) | 10mo | $215,000 | $135 | 40 |
| 546 W Erwin St | 1.35mi | 3/3.5 (+1) | 1,956 (-6%) | 2mo | $340,000 | $174 | 38 |
| 5347 County Road 35 | 1.04mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,943 (-6%) | 8mo | $125,000 | $64 | 38 |
| 522 W Erwin St #522 | 1.34mi | 3/3.5 (+1) | 1,894 (-9%) | 15mo | $359,900 | $190 | 23 |
| 1291 N Englewood | 1.37mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,588 (-24%) | 15mo | $249,900 | $157 | 18 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.27% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.87×
- Total profit
- $24,239
- Equity at exit
- $14,895
- IRR
- 29.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.49×
- Total profit
- $69,685
- Equity at exit
- $8,638
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 2 active · 1 under contract
- Median asking
- $194,400 ($121/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 82 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- -23.2% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 75702
- Home prices YoY
- -5.8%
- Rents YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 205
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,911 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$290 /mo · $3,476/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$401
- Net cashflow
- $655
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $711 | -5% $683 | +0% $655 | +5% $626 | +10% $598 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $504 | -5% $579 | +0% $655 | +5% $730 | +10% $806 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $705 | -0.5pp $680 | base $655 | +0.5pp $629 | +1.0pp $602 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1618 N Tenneha Ave Tyler, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1587 | $1,400 | $0.88 | 62d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 324 S Saunders Ave Tyler, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1650 | $2,100 | $1.27 | 93d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1523 N Englewood Ave Tyler, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1542 | $1,650 | $1.07 | 93d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 540 W Erwin St Tyler, TX | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1956 | $4,000 | $2.04 | 93d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 548 W Erwin St Tyler, TX | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1956 | $2,495 | $1.28 | 93d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 548 W Erwin St Tyler, TX | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1956 | $2,295 | $1.17 | 70d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 556 W Erwin St Tyler, TX | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1956 | $2,550 | $1.30 | 70d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 720 N Englewood Ave Tyler, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1856 | $1,650 | $0.89 | 93d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 1538 N Hill Ave Tyler, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1813 | $1,650 | $0.91 | 70d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $99,900 Active 127 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $99,900 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $99,900 Active 125 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $99,900 Active 124 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $99,900 Active 123 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $99,900 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $99,900 Active 119 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $99,900 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $99,900 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $99,900 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $99,900 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $99,900 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $99,900 Active 110 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $99,900 Active 109 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $99,900 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $99,900 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $99,900 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $99,900 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $99,900 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-07-12days on market $99,900 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $99,900 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $99,900 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $99,900 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-07-08days on market $99,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $99,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $99,900 Active 94 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $99,900 Active 93 DOM
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2026-07-04days on market $99,900 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $99,900 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $99,900 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $99,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $99,900 Active 88 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $99,900 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $99,900 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $99,900 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $99,900 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-25days on market $99,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-23days on market $99,900 Active 80 DOM
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2026-06-22days on market $99,900 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $99,900 Active 77 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $99,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,900 Active 74 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $99,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $99,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $99,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,900 Active 65 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,476 · $290/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,476 · $290/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 60% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,933
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$3,476
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,835
- − Management
- −$1,835
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable income
- $6,786
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,629
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,226/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos
This property requires significant repairs and updates to bring it up to a fair condition. Painting, landscaping, and updating the kitchen and bathroom would significantly increase its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Major Kitchen cabinets — The cabinets are visibly worn and in poor condition.
- Major Bathroom fixtures — The bathroom fixtures are visibly worn and in poor condition.
- Major Exterior paint — The exterior paint is peeling and in poor condition.
- Major Flooring — The flooring is visibly worn and in poor condition.
- Major Interior paint — The interior paint is peeling and in poor condition.
- Major Landscaping — The landscaping is overgrown and in poor condition.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting and repainting the exterior and interior — Painting will improve the curb appeal and interior aesthetics, making the property more attractive to potential buyers and renters. ↑
- Both Landscaping and yard maintenance — Landscaping and yard maintenance will improve the curb appeal and make the property more attractive to potential buyers and renters. ↑
- Both Kitchen and bathroom updates — Updating the kitchen and bathroom will improve the functionality and aesthetics of the property, making it more attractive to potential buyers and renters. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tyler ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4843470
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,090
- Composite
- 32.69/100
- National rank
- #5650
- State rank
- #449 of 826 in TX
Livability — Tyler
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #147
- US rank
- #4181
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tyler, TX
- County
- Smith County · 248,890 people
- City population
- 127,842
- Metro
- Tyler, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,927
- Household income
- $51,564
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 11% of renters
Population outlook (Smith County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 248,890 people
- By 2030
- 261,665 · +5.1%
- By 2040
- 286,114 · +15.0%
- By 2050
- 308,006 · +23.8%
- By 2075
- 354,171 · +42.3%
- By 2100
- 372,828 · +49.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 49% Black 37% White 12% Two or more races 11% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 47%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 20% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 56% English-only · Spanish 44%
Political lean MEDSL · Smith
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+45.1) · D 27.0% · R 72.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.6pp toward R · 2008: -39.5pp · 2024: -45.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+45.1 2020: R+39.4 2016: R+43.9 2012: R+46.9 2008: R+39.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -12.63%
- Current HPI
- 207.1573
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.27%
- Metro
- Tyler, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
-37.5% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Relisted — GTAR
- 2026-05-07 Pending — GTAR
- 2026-03-26 Listed $99,900 GTAR
- 2024-03-18 Sold (MLS) — GTAR
- 2024-03-08 Delisted — GTAR
- 2024-02-06 Price Changed $89,900 GTAR
- 2024-02-06 Listed $99,900 GTAR
- 2024-02-02 Relisted — GTAR
- 2023-12-14 Delisted — GTAR
- 2023-12-13 Relisted — GTAR
- 2023-11-29 Delisted — GTAR
- 2023-11-08 Relisted — GTAR
- 2023-11-04 Delisted — GTAR
- 2023-11-02 Listed $99,000 GTAR
- 2023-10-13 Listed $129,900 GTAR
- 2023-09-21 Listed $139,900 GTAR
- 2023-07-24 Listed $159,900 GTAR
- 2023-06-10 Listed $159,900 GTAR
- 1994-04-28 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+16.0%/yrLatest (2024): $3,476 · +17.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…